Recent polling suggests the race is tightening. Then again, opinion polling suggested the recent Victorian state election would also be a close affair and it turned out to be a Labor landslide.
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Innovation and industry policy is receiving the least attention just when it may matter most to our economic future.
Young voters want leaders who are transparent, honest, and display integrity. They also crave stability.
What are the key policy issues on which the 2019 federal election will be fought?
If someone asked the “real Scott Morrison to please stand up”, two men might rise to their feet. The uncompromising, don’t-give-an-inch hard Scott, and a more conciliatory, flexible character.
Wentworth remains one of the most interesting individual contests in this campaign.
It remains to be seen whether the Liberals’ campaign woes in Lyons will have any impact on the neighbouring battleground seats of Bass or Braddon, which recent polls suggest the Liberals could regain.
The Christian Democratic Party in NSW could play a key role in the election by funnelling support from voters in electorates with large East Asian populations to the Liberal Party.
No gaffes, no real surprises – the third leaders’ debate was a fairly predictable affair, save for the testy conclusion
At this election there is a stark choice between the two major parties on industrial relations: the “small target” approach of the Coalition and the ALP’s more ambitious and detailed plan.
The reason we know more about a post-election Labor ministry is that most of its occupants are already “shadowing” the jobs they’d hold.
Inevitably much of the discussion and many of the clashes focused on money and tax – the conflicting arguments have been well rehearsed throughout the campaign.
In the second debate of the campaign, Scott Morrison and Bill Shorten answered questions from voters in a people’s forum on everything from franking credits to, yes, post offices.
Research shows that Australians are increasingly tuning out of leaders’ debates – just 21% reported watching a debate in 2016, down from 71% in 1993.
Pre-poll votes within the first 24 hours were almost double the number at the same stage in 2016. That could hurt some minor parties who traditionally spend big in the last few weeks of a campaign.
The major parties are focusing on social media like never before to get their messaging out – and finding more creative ways to do it.
After the backlash against the formal Labor-Greens alliance under the Gillard government, Shorten is anxious to keep maximum distance between the ALP and the minor party.
Labor Leader Arthur Calwell tried to leverage public opposition to conscription to gain support during the 1966 election, calling it a “sinister word” for Australians. The tactic failed.
All the polls suggested the Keating government would be finished at the 1993 election – until Opposition Leader John Hewson launched a 650-page policy document called “Fightback!”.
In 1960, Harold Holt, the then-treasurer, urged the government to abolish import restrictions, resulting in a minor recession. This nearly swung the election in the ALP’s favour.
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Top contributors
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Professorial Fellow, University of Canberra
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Election Analyst (Psephologist) at The Conversation; and Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Melbourne
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Associate Professor, Politics and Public Policy, Flinders University
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Professor of Public Policy & Law, Centre for Governance & Public Policy, Griffith University
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Program Manager, Journalism, RMIT University
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Senior Lecturer, School of Political and Social Inquiry, Monash University
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Deputy Program Director, Budgets and Government, Grattan Institute
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Professor, Australian Studies Institute, Australian National University
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Emeritus Professor, School of Environment and Science, Griffith University
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Honorary lecturer, School of Social Sciences, UNSW Sydney
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Adjunct Professor at the University of Canberra, University of Canberra
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Senior Lecturer of Australian Politics, Murdoch University
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Research fellow, University of Tasmania
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Senior Lecturer in Political Science: Research Fellow at the Cairns Institute; Research Associate for Centre for Policy Futures, University of Queensland, James Cook University
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Professor, School of Humanities and Social Inquiry, University of Wollongong
