As war drags on, more Ukrainians say that they are prepared to negotiate – but the majority still reject any deal with Russia.
Academic rigour, journalistic flair
Articles on opinion polls
Displaying 1 - 20 of 46 articles
Recent opinion polls show American are very gloomy on both the economy and Biden.
This method of predicting results has been shown to be accurate over 100 years of US presidential elections.
Political polls can make for dramatic headlines. But they are a snapshot of when they were taken, not a predictor of election outcomes. Follow these expert tips to make sense of the stats.
If elected, Biden would be the oldest person to occupy the White House. But he’s by far the most popular candidate the Democrats have.
Though public opinion surveys offer some hope, there are several concerns for democracy’s consolidation in West Africa.
What deep-dive polls reveal at the political landscape of America as the 2022 midterm election approaches.
Most Russians get their news from government-controlled television. But those who look to Telegram, an online platform, are more likely to have views that break from the official position.
The Greens and Labor have a mixed record of working together, but can learn from past experience.
Latest results show Labor ahead of the Coalition federally as well as in South Australia, Queensland and possibly NSW.
It’s been a tough year for the 47th US president.
Indonesian public support for the death penalty declines when they learn more about its scope and administration.
14% of the UK population often make up a much smaller proportion of people of people polled.
How many Americans really have lost touch with reality?
A survey of US voters shows that – on their most important issue, COVID-19 – the US president fared particularly badly.
People know a lot about their friends and neighbors – and pollsters can learn from that information, if they ask.
With the next federal election possible as soon as August 2021, the need for reform of polling standards in Australia is urgent.
Punters are more cautious than the polls, suggesting this election might be closer than the media is reporting.
Can political prediction models pick the election winner better than the polls, the weather or Washington’s football team?
You could compare election opinion polls to penalty shoot-outs at a World Cup final: there’s huge pressure to get it right and we remember the big misses most of all.
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Top contributors
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Professorial Fellow, University of Canberra
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Professor of Statistics, Queensland University of Technology
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Paul Whiteley is a Friend of The Conversation.
Professor, Department of Government, University of Essex
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Senior Research Fellow, National Centre for Social Research, and Professor of Politics, University of Strathclyde
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Election Analyst (Psephologist) at The Conversation; and Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Melbourne
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Professor, Future Fellow and Head of Statistics at UNSW, and a Deputy Director of the Australian Centre of Excellence in Mathematical and Statistical Frontiers (ACEMS), UNSW Sydney
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Adjunct Research Fellow; Journalist, University of Notre Dame Australia
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Professor of Political Science and Public Policy, University of Southampton
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Senior Lecturer of Australian Politics, Murdoch University
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Professor of Public Policy and Director of the Policy Institute, King's College London
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Adam Corner is a Friend of The Conversation.
Honorary Research Fellow in Psychology, Affiliate of the centre for Climate Change & Social Transformations (CAST), Cardiff University
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Professor and Program Head, Justice Health Research Program, UNSW Sydney
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Senior Lecturer in Politics, University of Manchester
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Research Associate, University of Groningen
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Senior Lecturer in Political Science, University of Canberra
