If you have been reenacting a crossing of the Simpson desert for the past two years, or are a recently returned hermit, they you are probably unaware of the forthcoming Mayan Calendar Apocalypse.
To briefly recap, the Mayan Long Count calendar ends on December 21, and various people are holding forth on the fount of all wisdom, the Internet, that this will result in Something Bad ™. Whether this Something Bad ™ will be catastrophic tectonic activity, asteroid impacts or rains of frogs is left unclear (as is why a changing of the calendar will result in more catastrophes than normally associated with New Year festivities).
A recent paper in the Canadian Medical Association Journal has investigated the effects of the Mayan Doomsday (hereafter called MaD) on the conduct of clinical trials.
They conclude that all clinical trials should stop immediately as MaD is a (ahem) significant confounder.
However, this landmark paper has alerted me to the fact that there has been little investigation of the toxicological effects of MaD. This requires us to define the survivor population of MaD, and the likely mechanism of MaD.
Fortunately Wheatley-Price, Hutton and Clemons have already defined the likely survivor population. This includes zombies, other undead, the Grateful Dead, Dungeons and Dragons players and men who have read “Fifty shades of Grey”.
As a member of the expected survival cohort (Dungeons and Dragons DM, ask me about my “Gilligan’s Island meets Call of Cthulhu” adventure), I have a vested interest in understanding the toxicology of MaD.
Now we have to identify key toxicological hazards in the post MaD environment.
If MaD is due to tectonic activity, as well as devastating earthquakes we can expect a large increase in volcanic activity and widespread lava flows. This will result in large amounts of carcinogenic polyaromatic hydrocarbons (PAH’s) such as benzo-a-pyrene from the widespread combustion of organic matter. As well, large amounts of fluorine will be released into the environment.
If MaD is due to an asteroid impact, we will get PAH’s from wildfires as with tectonic activity, and the release of large amounts of the heavy metal iridium into the atmosphere with dusty particulates. If the impact is big enough then we will get earthquakes and volcanic activity as well, adding fluorine to the atmospheric contamination.
If MaD is due to a rain of frogs, then aside from the obvious ickyness of having a landscape covered in swarming squamous amphibians, there is no toxicological issue unless the frogs are poisonous.
Zombies, by not breathing or having a functional circulatory system, should be immune to the effects of the carcinogenic PAH’s, fluorine, iridium and frog poison. If anything a slight coating of PAH with added iridium should make them slightly less subject to decay.
The effects on the zombies who consume the brains of living survivors who are contaminated with PAH’s, fluorine and iridium are conjectural, but this may coat and denature their decaying intestines, rending them unable to obtain whatever it is zombies get from eating brains.
Similar considerations apply to other undead, although vampires are generally more fastidious, and may shun contaminated survivors.
The Grateful Dead (and similar septuagenarian rock bands), having survived all the carcinogens and drugs consumed during the 60’s and 70’s and beyond, will be unfazed by PAH’s, fluorine and iridium (hey, it’s heavy metal after all). They are also likely to lick the frogs in the hope of obtaining a high (the frogs are more at risk here).
The Dungeons and Dragons players are mostly techno geeks, so we will have constructed chemical warfare protection from old plastic Macintoshes, half a coke bottle, and baking soda. And zombies? Pfft! We Geeks have been preparing for the Zombie Apocalypse [*] for ages. Who created the mathematical model of surviving the zombie apocalypse? Who was behind the American Center for Disease Controls’s Zombie Apocalypse preparedness sessions?
So who bears the brunt of the volcanic and asteroidal ash giving them silicosis? Who gets lung problems from the PAH’s? Who get fluorosis swelling their joints and crippling them? Who gets febrile hallucinations from the poison frogs? Who then can’t run away from the Zombies due to their crippling health problems?
Why, the Men who read “Fifty Shades of Grey”. While the Geeks inherit the Earth.
I can’t see any downside to this, can you?
[*] We will pass lightly over the inevitable battle between the Vampires and the Zombies for the last FSOG readers, although the D&D players have large quantities of popcorn stockpiled. Why won’t the vampires go after the D&D players? I told you that vampires have good taste.
Sean Lamb
Science Denier
I understand Dungeon and Dragons is a very enjoyable pastime.
neral
logged in via Twitter
I am (was?) A fan if irridium, so much so that I always sought after magical irridium weapons. I didn't know of its toxicity, but after years if handling it coupled with my magical nature I guess I've got an immunity so will survive the impending disaster. What's more I should be trying to establish now a party of adventurers to retake Earth.
Craig Minns
Self-employed
I'm glad someone's thinking about the big issues. However, with the greatest of respect I believe I've spotted an error, which may well invalidate the predicted outcome. To whit, it is my contention that the zombies, being fond of eating brains, will not see the FSOG readers as a source of food. As zombies are not themselves known for their intelligence, I am hopeful that merely carrying a copy will be adequately protective, whilst avoiding the consequences of actually reading it.
Can't be too careful, after all.
Sean Lamb
Science Denier
I had to google FSOG (50 shades of grey to the unintiated)
I plan to hide out in a climate change conference.
Grendelus Malleolus
Senior Nerd
Sean, I recommend not hangin out at this one: http://heartland.org/events/seventh-international-conference-climate-change
If you do the Zombie hordes may find you are the sole snack.
Swetha Srinivasa Murali
PhD Scholar at University of Sydney
This really brightened up my dreary day of experiments and writing! I think PhD students rushing to finish by a deadline should be added to the list: I spend my days in a very sheltered lab, with stockpiled food so I survive the university shutdown and irregular working hours, not to mention back-up generators that kick in when the power is out. All I need to do now is stock up on some scotch...
On a sidenote, I meant to have a chat with you at ASCEPT but the opportunity didn't avail itself :(
Ian Musgrave
Senior lecturer in Pharmacology at University of Adelaide
PhD students are already accommodated under "other undead" :-)
Catch up at the Melbourne ASCEPT meeting then?
Swetha Srinivasa Murali
PhD Scholar at University of Sydney
Hahaha, well, unwashed and sleep-deprived definitely falls under that category.
Yep, ASCEPT Melbourne it is. I'll keep an eye out for your articles in the meantime :)
Mark Harrigan
Dr
Chortle! Thanks Ian - brightened my day in what has been an extraordinarily sh1tty week for me (now I know why - blame those Mayans and their knotty calendars!).
As a former D&D DM who wrote competition dungeons for MUDDA with my co-PhD student housemate in the early 80's (he was studying neuro-physiology, me physics) I am pleased to discover this highly enjoyable pre-internet pass time has confered doomsday immunity upon me.
Whoda thunk it? Must be Level 30 Wizardy at work with a combination of Alter Reality and Permanence? Or maybe just a guaranteed 20 saving throw? Ah - those were the days!
See you all on the Astral Plane after the 21st? (or - not)
Peter Ormonde
Peter Ormonde is a Friend of The Conversation.
Farmer
I must say, post-apocalypse , I find myself somewhat let down by eternity so far. It looks and feels exactly like the last place. Perhaps a bit untidier.
I know we have clashed rigourously on occasion Dr Mark, but no one was killed. So have a good Xmas or whatever it is you do to mark these things, and I look forward to locking horns in 2013.
2013 ...that's such a dud number - gotta mean the end of the world innit?
Craig Minns
Self-employed
Are you sure you haven't come down with a bad case of zombieism, Peter? It might explain a few things...
Mark Harrigan
Dr
MerryChristmas and a Happy New Year to you too Mr Ormonde. I look forward to a casualty free but vigorous exchange in the future.
Paul Ernsberger
Assoc. Prof. of Nutrition
Thanks Ian! This reminds me of too many scientific articles, where a house of cards argument is built up using one established fact from which flows a series of highly improbable outcomes ultimately leading to an outlandish conclusion such as "...and therefore our discovery could ultimately cure cancer."
Emma Anderson
Artist and Science Junkie
I worship at your table top, Mr Musgrave
No I take it back, you're not our DM, so I'm not allowed.