An adrenaline charged Rudd increases pressure on Gillard

Kevin Rudd attracted media attention at an event held by The Conversation AAP/Alan Porritt

If Kevin Rudd were to wrest the prime ministership back from Julia Gillard, this week might be seen as a tipping point.

After looking nearly dead at the start of the year, Rudd’s bid has revived on the back of the impression of government “chaos” that quickly took hold, following Gillard’s missteps and the coincidence of Craig Thomson’s arrest. “Chaos” was a beat up, but it was the perception which soon came through in the Coalition’s research.

The damage has been deepened by the revelation of just how badly the new mining tax has performed in its first six months, with figures showing it raised only $126 million from July to December, indicating it hasn’t the slightest hope of yielding the $2 billion that had been estimated for the whole of 2012-13.

In parliament, Gillard and Treasurer Wayne Swan were on the rack all week over the tax, the final shape of which was hammered out with mining giants, BHP Billiton, Rio Tinto and Xstrata immediately after the coup that deposed Rudd.

The miners, who had the new Gillard-Swan leadership team where they wanted them, extracted the best possible deal. Along the way, the government agreed to compensate them for any increase in state royalties; ever since, it has been trying to browbeat or cajole the states to stop such hikes.

The government blames a fall in commodity prices and the high dollar for the low collection, but the critics point to the political expediency which drove the tax’s design.

When Rudd chose to enter the debate on Tuesday, the critics got a big boost. He pointedly said he did not know the terms of the deal Swan and Gillard had reached. There was a further blow for the government in a Senate estimates hearing yesterday when Treasury secretary Martin Parkinson, quizzed on the forecasting error, pointed to what Treasury had not been able to see – notably the starting cost that firms were able to pick for depreciation – rather than blaming changes in commodity prices.

Rudd knew that by speaking out publicly, targeting Swan and Gillard for the difficulties in the mining tax and highlighting their deal with the companies, he was directly undermining the leadership.

While Rudd does not have the numbers in caucus, this week has seen more conversations about the state of play. People are observing Simon Crean, a year ago one of Rudd’s harshest critics. He was forced to insist nothing should be made of his dining with the former PM and his supporters on Wednesday. Just a get together for former attorney-general Robert McClelland, he said. (McClelland, dumped from the ministry by Gillard, retires at the election.) No doubt. But Crean was keeping interesting company.

Vital in what happens on the leadership will be Workplace Minister Bill Shorten, from the Victorian Right, and Minister for Mental Health and Ageing Mark Butler, from the Left. Shorten influences a cluster of votes and Butler a handful. Shorten was one of those behind the 2010 coup, and is now being watched with eagle eyes by colleagues. If these two moved, it would quickly have a domino effect. So far, they remain with Gillard.

In the Rudd camp, various scenarios are canvassed, and different timeframes, between mid March and late June (on Gillard’s calendar, the last sitting of this parliament). In reality the Rudd forces have little control over timing or process. Rudd has said he won’t challenge. It would send the wrong message to the public – already cynical about untrustworthy politicians – to go back on that pledge. If she holds her nerve this gives PM a strong advantage.

Rudd has to rely on bad polls coming and caucus members eventually panicking. His supporters must be careful in counting and canvassing; they also know, from experience last year, that promises of support can fall away at crunch time.

Rudd himself is a wild card. While some backers want him to take a lower profile, he is no mood to do so. He has the demeanour of the king in exile, bent on recapturing the throne. As a former Prime Minister, he has no intention of being silenced. Then there is the adrenaline. A danger is that all this could alienate rather than attract those colleagues who need to be won over.

Gillard’s toughness is legendary. She doesn’t flinch under enormous pressure. No one believes she would stand aside. And she is tactically canny and ruthless – a year ago the Gillard forces pushed Rudd into a premature challenge to rout him.

Labor MPs with seats at risk are living a double nightmare: the fear of political demise combined with trying to decide the best shot for saving some of their skins. They are alarmed by the electoral feedback on Gillard. The polling is turning down again; Essential this week saw her approval falling from 41 per cent in January to 36 per cent this month. They are holding their breath for the coming round of Nielsen and Newspoll.

Yet many of them hate Rudd, can’t bear the thought of what they would have to go through to install him, and don’t know what would happen if they did.

A restored Rudd would give Labor a sugar hit in the electorate, but how long would it last? His best hope probably would be to get the leadership in June and go to the people quickly (not that this worked too well for Gillard). There’d be the drag of internal schisms (with possible leaks like those from his camp in 2010). He’d have to cope with the NSW corruption inquiry stench – by casting himself as committed to reforming Labor.

Rudd’s best pitch, however, could go along these lines: “You know me – you’ve seen me in government. I was the guy who guided us through the global financial crisis (and I really have learnt lessons from those things we messed up along the way, like pink batts). You don’t know Tony Abbott. He’s scary. He’d be dangerous on the economy; can’t be believed even if he has a mild industrial relations policy; is unconvincing when he claims to have modern attitudes on women. Don’t risk the unknown. I’m Kevin. And by the way, if you’re in a Queensland marginal seat, remember I’m from Brissie.”

It might not win an election but it would be a narrative.

Join the conversation

215 Comments sorted by

  1. Geoff Henderson

    Graduate

    Rudd may be seen as rising but largely relative to a sinking Gillard/Swan ship. And one has to question the overall talent of the remainder, nor forget the heavy influence of the independents and greens. Labor is likely past its tipping point.
    Rudd would see that the top spot is something of a poisoned chalice wouldn't he?. It would look pretty odd on his CV to be firstly thrown out by his own team, and when re-instated to be voted out by constituents.
    And if the party did replace Gillard with Rudd, it would make their past behaviour towards Rudd even more unsavory to voters.

    It is also a possibility that the main protagonist is the media, not Rudd. He may be just quietly enjoying the passive revenge being extracted by the polls, media and government performance. At this moment, it is very likely IMO that Rudd would like to be invited but would decline a challenge. That would be interesting to watch.

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    1. Lynne Newington

      Lynne Newington is a Friend of The Conversation.

      Researcher

      In reply to Geoff Henderson

      Considering his comments on SkyeNews during the papal visit, [and obviously engratiating himself to the hierarchy], "that he was happy with the way the church was handling abuse, and it wasn't his place to tell them how to run it", I'm sure voters won't forget it was an athiest prime minister who called for a Royal Commission, not a closet Catholic.

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    2. alfred venison

      records manager (public sector)

      In reply to Lynne Newington

      you mean like the atheist prime minster whose legislation permits religious employers to continue to legally discriminate against gay people?

      last i heard rudd's a lapsed catholic anglican, probably high anglican. personally, and in the great spectrum of odious public piety by politicians, i find rudd's religiosity largely inoffensive & done for camera - the press statements outside his church for sunday news, e.g.

      but i think the prize for most heinous obsequiousness to organised religion in recent times would have to go to morris iemma, who proposed legislation (knocked back by court) making it illegal for demonstrators to upset christian pilgrim's in their beliefs while the jubilee shinding was on. i don't miss that guy at all - miss nathan a bit, like a guy who likes poetry a.v.

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  2. Stephen John Ralph

    carer

    It is becoming more apparent everyday that Labor may as well forget the next election and concentrate of the 2017 election.

    Mr Rudd is a divisive force for Labor - his arrogant and phoney butter doesn't melt in my mouth posturings only serve to highlight a party in a dire straits.

    Its damned if you do, damned if you don't for Labor.

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    1. Geoffrey Edwards

      logged in via email @gmail.com

      In reply to Stephen John Ralph

      "concentrate of the 2017 election"

      I think it would require the Libs to do something spectacuarly stupid to make even 2017 a realistic prospect.

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  3. Michael Shand

    Michael Shand is a Friend of The Conversation.

    Software Tester

    What difference would it make? im soo tired of hearing about challanges for the top spot without any substance - what would be different if Rudd was leader?

    The media seem to be fixated on leadership challanges as if this makes a difference in policy but fail to say what those differences would be -

    A common definition of insanity is repeating the same thing over and over again and expecting a different result - please stop this insanity

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    1. Daniel Carr

      Secondary Teacher

      In reply to Michael Shand

      Exactly - that The Conversation is now home to this garbage is a damn shame.

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    2. Craig Minns

      Self-employed

      In reply to Daniel Carr

      No, no, no, Michelle is an "academic" now, her fatuously shallow pronouncements have the weight of intellectual authority bestowed on them by her donning of a piece of cardboard wrapped in silk (with a lovely tassel, of course).

      Yeah, it is a damned shame...

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  4. Sean Lamb

    Science Denier

    Lies! Lies! All Lies!
    The Rule of Julia will last for a 1000 years.
    (just thought I would get in first, or rather 2nd behind Michael Shand. But you have to get up damn early in the AM to beat Michael)

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    1. Mike Hansen

      Mr

      In reply to Sean Lamb

      It has been obvious for a while Sean that Australia is in for a period of DLP rule. Which will obviously make you happy given your fellow science deniers will be in charge.

      With Abbott likely to be the most unpopular politician every elected Prime Minister it will be an interesting time.

      I look forward to Michelle's articles chronicling the soap opera.

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  5. Daniel Carr

    Secondary Teacher

    Great, a piece of rampant leadership speculation on The Conversation. A sad day.

    I wish The Conversation stuck to policy analysis and expert analysis on new developments in science, the arts etc.

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    1. Tony Grant

      Student

      In reply to Daniel Carr

      Daniel,
      Honestly, what did you expect from Grattan?
      And the "blog" is asking for donations, let there masters pay all the bills.

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    2. Daniel Carr

      Secondary Teacher

      In reply to Tony Grant

      These concerns were expressed several times to The Conversation when they announced she would be joining as the Political Editor. It's sad to see all the readers who expressed their concern have been ignored - this is just the kind of stuff I did not want to see!

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    3. Craig Minns

      Self-employed

      In reply to Lynne Newington

      I thought of opening my wallet, then rejected it. Whilst I have a great deal of respect for many of the contributors, the editorial hand is shaky at best.

      The final straw for me was the removal of inoffensive comments relating to Penny Wong's family arrangement, simply because a well-known public figure (Cheryl Kernot) objected to them, whilst far more egregious comments about other commenters are ignored.

      Double standards are not worth supporting.

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    4. Lynne Newington

      Lynne Newington is a Friend of The Conversation.

      Researcher

      In reply to Craig Minns

      I think the editorial team do their best, and I believe those commenting have a pretty fair go, recalling one particular person whose name no longer appears. and rightly so.
      I'm not aware of the comments you refer to, but I do respect the graciousness of Penny Wong for more than one reason.
      She's a loyal member of the Labour Party and you never hear her denegrating anyone therein, not like some we read of.
      I still believeThe Conversation is well supporting and I do enjoy many of the submissions, one can always learn something new.

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    5. Craig Minns

      Self-employed

      In reply to Lynne Newington

      I think she's among the best of the ALP talent pool, too. The comments were to do with her family arrangements and the lack of a father for her girlfriend's child and were quite innocuous despite Kernot's dudgeon.The haste of the editors to be seen to "do something" stands in stark contrast to their approach to much worse being said about contributors here, where they are simply not interested in maintaining the same standards. In the past I've taken the trouble to email the editors in regard to particular comments and they haven't even bothered to acknowledge the correspondence. I don't bother any more, it's clear they don't regard defamatory statements about their commenters as being worth the trouble of deleting, so I don't regard their salaries as worth paying with my dollars.

      It's the double standard that bothers me, especially when this site tries to pretend to better.

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  6. Vincent Restuccia

    retired senior technical officer

    Is it really all about Rudd or are we being lead down the garden path by a media that fixated on the Kevin and Julia road show. Michele's comments were all about Labor nothing about the Mr Abbott and co it seems to me if we are going to have a conversation then both parties should be involved. Kevin Rudd will never forgive Julia Gillard for his dumping he knows that Labor is for the chop so why not make her life as miserable as possible right up to the bitter end. An awful way for the government to operate in an election year. Mr Abbott is being given an easy run to the lodge by the media- why? what's he done for them.

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    1. Michael Ousley

      At large

      In reply to Vincent Restuccia

      He is going to destroy the NBN and keep the unwashed in the dark ages. In the view of the MSM, and it would appear, the "star" columnist on this very disappointing blog, that everything is expendable so as to preserve the Foxtel monopoly.

      Tony Abbott, he of the Northern Australia fiasco, the 100 dams, subsidised nannies for those on $150K, tax increases for the poor and cuts for the rich and 1000 other atrocities is 99% certain to become prime minister. The lack of scrutiny, while expected (and…

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    2. Craig Minns

      Self-employed

      In reply to Vincent Restuccia

      Abbott isn't being given an easy ride, the Gillard rabble of spivs and main-chancers are providing a huge amount of media fodder - none of it either edifying or good.

      I do hope the Victorian Major Fraud Squad decide to call her in soon, the nation can't stand a very extended period of this.

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  7. Ghazi Ahamat

    logged in via LinkedIn

    The main reason I loved the Conversation's political coverage was that it avoided this sort of horse-racing nonsense. A disappointing focus on personality over substance.

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  8. Peter Ormonde

    Peter Ormonde is a Friend of The Conversation.

    Farmer

    Aw strewth Michelle you couldn't resist it could you ... the comfort of a poll... even one from Essential Market Research? And it's only your first week!

    Now do you know how Essential does it's "research" Michelle ... last time I looked it was on page 11 of their reports published in full on their website. Well worth a look actually.

    An on-line poll of "consumers" drawn from the rolls of a marketing firm - 130,000 of them - who get paid for answering a questionnaire on toothpaste, detergent…

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  9. Sean Manning

    Physicist

    Michelle Grattan from her 'View from The Hill' promises 'Analysis and commentary on Australian politics'.

    Well I see plenty of commentary but very little analysis. This is a glorified opinion piece. The subject matter has been deliberately chosen to titillate and draw in readers but offers nothing in the way of facts or analysis.

    How this (and other articles by this author) has been elevated to the status of featured articles is completely beyond me.

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    1. Tony Grant

      Student

      In reply to Sean Manning

      Yes, the division in the "other media" this is part of leaving no stone UN-turned in their bid to have Abbott put in the lodge.

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  10. mike flanagan

    retired

    Professorial Fellow Grattan contiunes her slothful speculation on leadership rather than inform her audience of matters of importance.
    The constant speculation on Rudd's attempts to re-engender his political career does the nation a disservice.
    Although as a PM, Rudd was found wantingm, he is a talented operator in both politics and bureaucracy. He does have a number of talents that our body politics and the government could use, to all our benefits.
    The constant lazy speculation on which way he combed his hair each morning as a sign of his intending rush to the leadership is banal and poor journalism for this site.

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  11. Comment removed by moderator.

  12. Sophie Starfish

    logged in via Facebook

    Oh no, not moar leadership spekulation! This is an excellent way to drive away me and potentially many other readers seeking refuge from the mainstream media (and clearly not finding it here).

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  13. Comment removed by moderator.

  14. Stephen John Ralph

    carer

    Hi Geoffrey

    please don't ruin it completely for the Labor party....give them some hope.

    It would be interesting (though pointless really) to speculate who might be the leader at that time..........

    Stephen Conroy, Greg Combet................even the smiling assassin

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    1. Geoffrey Edwards

      logged in via email @gmail.com

      In reply to Stephen John Ralph

      "please don't ruin it completely for the Labor party"

      LOL. They don't seem to need my help, Stephen.

      While I believe the PM has done a reasonable job with a pretty crap hand, I think the brand is in serious need of repair.

      "the smiling assassin'

      Which one?

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  15. Stephen John Ralph

    carer

    Hi Geoffrey

    I wouldn't want to be accused of egregious gossip, but needless to say he sat on, or near, the right hand of JG is the infamous coup d'etat.

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    1. Craig Minns

      Self-employed

      In reply to Stephen John Ralph

      Stephen, is it too much to ask you to click "reply" under the post you're responding to? By failing to do so you make your comments difficult to follow.

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  16. Delete this account as requested!

    logged in via email @iinet.net.au

    "He has the demeanour of the king in exile, bent on recapturing the throne."
    Michelle, this is hyperbole of the lowest order. Stop trying to use rhetorical tricks to impose your opinions by authority and instead try to relate so analysis of facts.

    There is NO narrative!

    That's a fairy story made up for the hard of thinking, reality doesn't work like that no matter how much journalists try to impose it on the world. Reality is messy, complex and multi-faceted. And a lot more interesting than what you are trying to peddle.

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    1. Paul Savage

      Theme Leader, Biotechnology at CSIRO

      In reply to Delete this account as requested!

      Stephen are you saying that you *don't* believe Mr Rudd harbours any ambitions to regain the leadership of the Labor party, and that he will happily sit on the sidelines for the remainder of his political career? Put another way, if he actually did have the demeanour of a king in exile, bent on recapturing the throne, how would his behaviour be different?

      I'm not suggesting that he currently has a chance of regaining leadership of course, and I'm also not suggesting that the media beat-up doesn't contribute to the whole circus... but let's be fair here, Mr Rudd desperately wants to come back as leader one day and in the meantime there's no doubt he is both white-anting Ms Gillard and getting as much publicity for himself as possible. You may be tired of hearing about Mr Rudd's ambitions, as I surely am, but that behaviour from an ex-Prime Minister is undoubtedly legitimate news.

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    2. Peter Ormonde

      Peter Ormonde is a Friend of The Conversation.

      Farmer

      In reply to Paul Savage

      I'm sure Kevin would like to be restored to his position as our first popularly elected PM. I would like to win the lottery. Neither are news. Neither is likely - although the lottery has long but calculable odds. Kevin's odds are well beyond any calculating.

      Kevin will continue to do his hair differently, wear new shirts, be seen about town, to make veiled criticisms and to skulk about in dark corridors mumbling and plotting. But alone apparently. Other than the flotilla of press hacks…

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  17. James Dalmau

    logged in via Facebook

    A typical Grattan article that features many of her tropes.

    "The government blames a fall in commodity prices and the high dollar for the low collection, but the critics point to the political expediency which drove the tax’s design."

    Much easier to play a little nameless he said she said than it is actually analyse the details of the tax and give an opinion on the cause of the shortfall.

    "When Rudd chose to enter the debate on Tuesday, the critics got a big boost."

    Blithely talking…

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  18. Stephen John Ralph

    carer

    Hi Stephen

    I quite liked the metaphor. It had an authentic ring to it.

    Sort of like the Duke of Windsor in the later 20th century flitting around trying to find his place in the world.

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    1. Delete this account as requested!

      logged in via email @iinet.net.au

      In reply to Stephen John Ralph

      That's nice, but completely irrelevant and inaccurate.
      Once again I'll explain my position; narrative is something that exists only in the minds of journalists.
      They want to write stories but reality isn't made of stories.
      It's just what it is and doesn't operate like any of the homey little axioms they preach; the truth is not somewhere in the middle of two points, it is just where it is.

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    2. Geoffrey Edwards

      logged in via email @gmail.com

      In reply to Delete this account as requested!

      "reality isn't made of stories"

      No. But our experience of reality is.

      We do not possess all the facts.

      From the set of facts we do possess we tell ourselves nice little stories in order to make them fit together.

      The more facts we have, the fewer the fictions we need to create.

      That the truth is independent of these stories is useful to remember, but that doesn't free us from the requirement to connect the dots somehow.

      Even the messy complexity of the world is a part of the story.

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    3. Delete this account as requested!

      logged in via email @iinet.net.au

      In reply to Geoffrey Edwards

      "No. But our experience of reality is."

      Yours might be, mine certainly isn't.

      I don't experience stories, I acknowledged my lack of information and attempt to recognise and work around my own biases.

      Truth is not democratic, nor are facts. Pretending otherwise is counter productive.

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    4. Geoffrey Edwards

      logged in via email @gmail.com

      In reply to Delete this account as requested!

      "What then is truth? A mobile army of metaphors, metonyms, and anthropomorphisms -- in short, a sum of human relations, which have been enhanced, transposed, and embellished poetically and rhetorically, and which after long use seem firm, canonical, and obligatory to a people: truths are illusions about which one has forgotten that is what they are; metaphors which are worn out and without sensuous power; coins which have lost their pictures and now matter only as metal, no longer as coins." - Nietzcshe

      Personally, I recomend not taking truth to seriously.

      But then again, I try not to take anything to seriously.

      Bad for the digestion.

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  19. foibles58

    logged in via Twitter

    while we are speculating let's please repeatedly speculate about Malcolm Turnbull in the same vein - it can only do some good

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  20. Lucy

    logged in via Twitter

    Thats my last visit to The Conversation - I can get this rubbish anywhere. How many times do you have to get it wrong Michelle before you realise in the words of Keven 'it ain't gonna to happen'.

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    1. James Dalmau

      logged in via Facebook

      In reply to Lucy

      Take note, The Conversation. Try listening to your readership about this; they're speaking with one voice.

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    2. Felix MacNeill

      Environmental Manager

      In reply to Lucy

      Lucy - don't go - there's heaps of other quality stuff by some outstanding academics, scientists and researchers - don't let one rotten egg spoil the whole thing!

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    3. Lisa Jooste

      Research Assistant

      In reply to Lucy

      Well said Lucy. This is nonsense, not 'analysis'.
      I actually signed up this week thinking I might donate instead of buying newspapers. Changed my mind after reading Michelle Grattan's columns. Do some factual reporting or go and work for News Ltd Michelle.

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    4. Delete this account as requested!

      logged in via email @iinet.net.au

      In reply to Felix MacNeill

      Felix is right, it's sad this new contributor is diverting attention away from far more interesting, better written and well considered pieces.

      I wonder why a vibrant new media tries to seek 'wisdom' from the worst examples of the failing old system it is superseding?

      There's no added gravitas or respectability worth having to be earned from fawning over the people responsible for the dying system.

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    5. Joel Bateman

      logged in via Twitter

      In reply to Lucy

      It's becoming a joke. I now think this might actually be some long-range experiment on us.

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    6. Daniel Carr

      Secondary Teacher

      In reply to Lucy

      I hope The Conversation reconsiders publishing this stuff - it was also published on the Brisbane Times website and I think it should have stayed there. (http://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/queensland/im-kevin--and-im-from-brissie-20130215-2egt5.html)

      In the future, sticking to the charter of "[Giving] experts a greater voice in shaping scientific, cultural and intellectual agendas by providing a trusted platform that values and promotes new thinking and evidence-based research" would be well-received.

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  21. Stephen John Ralph

    carer

    C'mon Lucy & Lisa

    ok so "one man's(sic) meat is another man's poison",

    you can't pay for this stuff - its priceless

    Ce n'est pas moi... ( I really don't speak French - just showing off)

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  22. Stephen John Ralph

    carer

    Hi Stephen

    I often think truth is very subjective.

    As they say History is Written by the Victors.

    Your truths may not be my truths I'm sad to say.

    And also say a little narrative here and there makes the truth palatable.

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  23. John Clark

    Manager

    PM Gillard is a dead woman walking. Labour has no hope whatsoever of remaining in power. She is arguably the worst leader, of the worst Government to be inflicted on us in recent years, perhaps ever. She has lowered the tone and respect of Parliament, and divided the country on gender lines, overcoming years of progressive change and goodwill towards women in public life. Much is made of her toughness. Many of us would not see that as a desirable trait. A change to Rudd is unlikely to enable Labor to recover sufficiently to win an election. Labor powerbrokers have to deal with the problem that they hate him, but he is liked by Labor electors.

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  24. Michel Syna Rahme

    logged in via email @hotmail.com

    New Zealand is looking more and more attractive!

    Rudd would highly likely win! He is the best candidate for PM we have in this country. Bill Shorten, Simon Crean, ha who would vote for them. Malcolm might have some charm but he has no oommff - a toff. Abbott, nothing needs to be said.

    How sad politics has become in this corrupted country. Perhaps we should give Tom Albanese or Marius Cloppers citizenship so they can run for PM

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    1. Mat Hardy

      Lecturer in Middle East Studies at Deakin University

      In reply to David Stephens

      That The Conversation is the original source of the article is acknowledged at the bottom of the Brisbane Times piece. Anything from this site can be published elsewhere with that appropriate acknowledgement.

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  25. Andi Papageorge

    Teacher

    The Narrative

    Rudd might challenge, but then he might not. He might do it now, or maybe later, or maybe never. He said he wouldn't, so perhaps he can't, but he still might, if Gillard resigned, which she won't. But he still might challenge, if he had the numbers, which he doesn't, but perhaps he will, if the caucus didn't hate him so much, which they do. But perhaps they won't hate him if they think he can win the election, which perhaps he can, or maybe not...

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  26. Ruth Davies

    Urban Planner

    It really drives me crazy to see journalists effectively pandering to KRudd's narcissism in this way. It looks to me as though Kevin keeps this speculation going out of a combination of sour grapes and ego. It's not news, it's gossip, and it's boring gossip at that.

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  27. Alexander Strang

    logged in via Twitter

    Disagree KRudd would have any difficulty dissociating himself from the stench of the NSW Right. We was done in by them, and the main take-out from his reinstallation would the righting of wrongs, the diminution of their power. He is not beholden to them as JGillard is seen to be, hand tied by their support for her. He would also be able to hose down the Thomson furore as he hasn't had to stand by him the JGillard has had to.

    You look to all the significant c*ck-ups of the Rudd-Gillard Govt and the fingerprints of Wayne Swan are all over every single on of them, down to and including organizing the palace coup.

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  28. Delete this account as requested!

    logged in via email @iinet.net.au

    I also notice that Michelle hasn't deigned to visit BTL. Should the site rename itself 'the pontification' or perhaps 'the revelation' in reflection of this?

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  29. Geoff Henderson

    Graduate

    Grattans article seemed to have hit the wrong mark for so many of today's commentators.
    But the intensity of feeling against her surprises me. So does the rudeness from folks who are clearly capable of better.

    If you want a different approach from her, articles with your preferred merit and substance, I'm sure a simple request from sufficient readers would likely produce the change you want. It seems a needless exercise to crucify her.

    Like her or not, she has so much experience as a journalist that is worth harvesting: seek that out and we could well see the benefit of that experience in her work. Just days into the job, give her a break huh?

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    1. Riddley Walker

      .

      In reply to Geoff Henderson

      If Grattan has so much experience, why would she need a "break" just days into the job?

      This article like almost all of Grattan's recent work is nothing but a lazy confection of gossip and spin. It is a boring rehash of the "articles" she has been writing in the Age for the last 3 years.

      The reason Grattan attracts so much criticism from the commenters here is that "The Conversation" hitherto has always demonstrated a high standard of writing, opinions based upon research and facts.

      The addition of Grattan to the editorial staff has lowered this standard to that of tabloid journalism. Readers come here looking for insight and analysis, and if Grattan is not up to the mark then she should retire, or be sacked.

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    2. Geoffrey Edwards

      logged in via email @gmail.com

      In reply to Geoff Henderson

      Geoff,

      re: "the intensity of feeling against her surprises me"

      Starting with Nietzsche: "Corruption. The surest way to corrupt a youth is to instruct him to hold in higher esteem those who think alike than those who think differently."

      I think that it was probably inevitable that Grattan's arrival would spark a little bit of a frenzy. I also think that some of our fellow readers seem to objecting to Grattan on principle. She seems to have the ability to polarize no matter what she writes, which leads one to ponder where the "ability" actually rests.

      No matter how hard I tried, I struggled to find anything in her article to make my blood boil, or pustules break upon my scalp.

      I am sure she can handle whatever comes her way. And a lot of the responses are quite amusing.

      regards

      Geoffrey
      The League of Geoffs

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    3. Michael Ousley

      At large

      In reply to Geoffrey Edwards

      Geoff,
      That's because you having difficulty seeing thed iffernce in forests and trees. Same with Michelle. She has been writing paens to Abbott and Rudd for years at Fairfax while criticising Gillard, who she clearly hates, relentlessly. What she is doing here is no different to what she did at Fairfax. And if it was boringly repetitive there...

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    4. Diggo Diggo

      logged in via Facebook

      In reply to Geoffrey Edwards

      Geoffrey said: No matter how hard I tried, I struggled to find anything in her article to make my blood boil, or pustules break upon my scalp.

      =================
      You'll also struggle to find anything in Grattan's posts so far for TC which qualifies as insightful, cogent analysis.

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    5. Geoffrey Edwards

      logged in via email @gmail.com

      In reply to Michael Ousley

      "That's because you having difficulty seeing thed iffernce in forests and trees."

      - I don't know, but I am certainly having difficulty understanding why you have chosen that metaphor.

      "She has been writing paens to Abbott and Rudd for years at Fairfax while criticising Gillard, who she clearly hates, relentlessly."

      - But this is neither a celebration of Rudd or Abbot, nor a hate-fueled attack on Gillard.

      She is writing about politics. The murky tragi-comic reality that is party politics…

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  30. Ben H

    logged in via email @gmail.com

    Two vapid leadership speculation stories based largely on innuendo and a single poll in 3 days. Is there nothing else to report on in politics?

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  31. Helen Errington

    logged in via email @iinet.net.au

    Look Michelle I'm tired of your love affair with this issue and your love for Abbott. We can get this infantile stuff from Murdoch. This is lazy journalism rehashing the leadership issue. Lets talk about the alternative, would be government. What policies do they have, what they will cost, where they will get the money from and whether or not Abbott is a fit and proper person to lead this wonderful country. Or how about writing about what good shape the economy is in, low unemployment, low inflation…

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  32. wilma western

    logged in via email @bigpond.com

    So Michelle is determined to ignore the critics and forge ahead with the speculation re ALP leadership.No wider , less partisan focus. How disappointing. When you read the link it seems Michelle couldn't bear to be outdone by P Corey.

    Now Michelle writes that no-one expects Gillard to step aside . That's a change of tune compared with her article just before Rudd's bungled and humiliating 2012 challenge . That article purported to represent all the backbenchers frightened of losing their seals and wound up with the invitation to Gillard to resign for the good of her party and her colleagues.

    When will senior commentators accept that they should not be political players? Who elected them ? Imagine if old colleagues did not turn up to a goodbye do - what would the commentariat write then ?

    As is completely obvious from the statements of Opposition figures like Julie Bishop , the Opposition believes that the more focus they can keep on Rudd the better off the Opposition will be.

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  33. Michel Syna Rahme

    logged in via email @hotmail.com

    And by the way, pink bats was a bloody good idea, at the time. How many of the crooks who took advantage of the scheme and ripped people off with dodgy quality insulation and installation, and did the wrong thing by people of the community, were Liberal/ National voters??? Answer please!

    I personally do not know much about the author of this article, but if she is betting on an Abbott for Prime Minister and representative and face of Australia - then let her reputation rest on the outcome.

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  34. Peter Kington

    Raconteur, ideas man and food whore at Self Employed

    It seems to me that the editorial/management board of The Conversation is presenting a confused version of themselves.

    Has the Board been dazzled by the prospect of a star recruit?

    Notwithstanding her recent work at Fairfax, Grattan was a fair choice - 40 odd years journalistic experience, a previous career in academia and a number of books written under her name. Her forte, before the dumbing down of Fairfax, was long form analysis.

    But she was also no George Megalogenis (now, having…

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    1. Peter Ormonde

      Peter Ormonde is a Friend of The Conversation.

      Farmer

      In reply to Peter Kington

      Megalogenis would be a real asset ... and while we're star shopping - could I put in a bid for Ross Gittins. Only if he's in danger of disappearing into suburbia in silence with a huge payout.

      Seems he's got a free run at Fairfaxand can write on anything he fancies... gets better the older he gets... like a good cheese. But I for one would sadly miss him were he to take the money are run.

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    2. Craig Minns

      Self-employed

      In reply to Peter Kington

      Have to agree. Another great asset would be Jessica Irvine, for the same reasons.

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  35. Ian Milliss

    logged in via Twitter

    OK, The Conversation has just lost me as a reader. This is just mainstream media propaganda, the same garbage that we came to The Conversation to get away from. If the editors are not listening to the hundreds of comments saying we do not want this drivel then the only solution is to boycott The Conversation just as we have been boycotting newspapers.

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    1. Tony Dummett

      Optical Engineer

      In reply to Ian Milliss

      Just hopeless.

      More Ruddstoration. More gossip. More convoluted, confected, prosthelytizing.

      Get a life Ms. Grattan. Quickly.

      The Conversation used to be a nice, relaxed place to read informative columns.

      What happened?

      And while we're at it, why not answer some of your critics? Join in "the conversation" instead of delivering a sermon. This isn't The Age anymore. The punters here can think.

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    2. Geoffrey Edwards

      logged in via email @gmail.com

      In reply to Tony Dummett

      "The punters here can think."

      Excellent.

      Some of them might want to think about how juvenile their attiudes are.

      One (1) contributor, no matter how little respect they have for her, hardly seems a good reason to boycott a site that contains a large amount of really good material.

      Seriously, if someone is so offended by Grattan's mere presence on this site that they feel they can no longer visit it is difficult to concieve why anyone, let alone the editors, should feel threatened by their departure. It seems something to be welcomed.

      If such people don't even have the wit to realise that reading her contributions is entirely VOLUNTARY, then one wonders how they get any value at all out of the articles they deem worthy of being here.

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    3. Ian Milliss

      logged in via Twitter

      In reply to Geoffrey Edwards

      It's simple, the employment of Grattan as editor compromises the publication at the editorial level. It indicates a tolerance of the sleazy and slipshod "news values" that have made the mainstream media increasingly unreadable. And as has been said repeatedly, The Conversation built its reader base on the idea of difference from the mass media. There is nothing juvenile about expecting The Conversation to live up to its promises and to cultivate a superior set of values that attempts to present facts…

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    4. Geoffrey Edwards

      logged in via email @gmail.com

      In reply to Ian Milliss

      "condemnation of the poor quality writing"

      There is nothing wrong with the quality of her writing. I have read some very bad writing on the conversation. Unless of course you have a very different concept of "quality" to mine.

      "and blatant bias"

      I see no obvious bias in the piece above. Please point it out to me.

      Remember - disagreement is not bias.

      " Nor has she been prepared to engage and defend what she has written. "

      There are plenty of articles on this site where the author doe not engage. I have actually found the authors who do, to be in the minority.

      Nor do I think that Grattan is required to respond to most of the responses here. Most of them are personal attacks as opposed to genuine responses to what has been written. I imagine she is above that.

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    5. Michel Syna Rahme

      logged in via email @hotmail.com

      In reply to Geoffrey Edwards

      It's true, the Conversation does contain mostly quality articles and analysis. It's true also that the failure of mainstream media in this country is why we are here. Editors of course want to attract a variety of readers both from left and right, and centre - that's understandable, and healthy, but Editors must also be accountable.

      Every little persons action adds up. I boycotted Matt Hardy's articles on the Middle East a long time ago because I found them mostly 'fluff' and simplistic. Also…

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    6. Geoffrey Edwards

      logged in via email @gmail.com

      In reply to Michel Syna Rahme

      "I boycotted Matt Hardy's articles on the Middle East a long time ago because I found them mostly 'fluff' and simplistic."

      Mat Hardy is pretty upfront about the attitude he bring to his contributions, But I think it is wrong to mistake flippant for simplistic. Given that Mat is still contributing the obvious question is: what is it you believe your boycott achieved?

      "Also, last year I decided to boycott the Conversation entirely until 2013 because of a complete and utter shithouse article on…

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    7. Michel Syna Rahme

      logged in via email @hotmail.com

      In reply to Geoffrey Edwards

      "The choice to read is yours to make" - and I choose not to read his articles, nor comment on his articles - nothing personal towards him. I visit other sites for serious news and analysis on the Middle East, no skin of my back buddy.

      Can you please explain what the difference is between 'boycotting' an author and 'choosing' not to read articles by an author? Please.

      If Michelle's next article does not explore Tony Abott with the same standard as her last, I will choose not to read her articles…

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    8. Geoffrey Edwards

      logged in via email @gmail.com

      In reply to Michel Syna Rahme

      "Can you please explain what the difference is between 'boycotting' an author and 'choosing' not to read articles by an author? Please."

      - A boycott is generally accepted as a form of protest. Protests usually have a desired end.

      "I am a nobody, she isn't, she has more to lose, with respect."

      - What does she lose beyond you readership?

      "...there are many comments here by people unimpressed by her bias and spin.'

      - You can go back through her contributions at Fairfax and find multiple…

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    9. Michel Syna Rahme

      logged in via email @hotmail.com

      In reply to Geoffrey Edwards

      Geoff, sorry but I will not go back and read anything in Fairfax because in my opinion Gina Reihart is unAustralian, like Murdoch. Boycott! Hehe. Comedy and a laugh sometimes good, as is a bit of drama to stoke the fire yea.

      Look at the numbers of Fairfax and News ltd, in decline, dying, perhaps she has contributed to that, I don't know of her enough. I am only interested in what she contributes here in The Conversation, and I want balance, and I want fairness, and if she is the big political…

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    10. Geoffrey Edwards

      logged in via email @gmail.com

      In reply to Michel Syna Rahme

      "Let her earn our respect'

      Only valid way to get it is to earn it.

      "However, the article above subtly implies like the spin of the day going around town that Abbott has already won the next election and that is total crap."

      Personally, I wouldn't call that spin. I think that there is a real sense that this election is Abbott's to loose. To my mind, spin involves putting a positive gloss on a really bad deal. Basically fibbing.

      I don't think the widespread belief that Abbott is an unbackable favourite alone constitutes spin. Crap? Debatable. Crap that could compromise the vote? Possibly. But I don't see it as spin.

      Nice chatting, have a good weekend.

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    11. Michel Syna Rahme

      logged in via email @hotmail.com

      In reply to Geoffrey Edwards

      I'm already in trouble with the mrs for tonight's computer session. Imagine on top of that, she finds out that I said I might fall in love with Michelle! Chop chop like Chopper Reid.

      "To my mind, spin involves putting a positive gloss on a really bad deal". To my mind, an Abbott victory is a really bad deal for you, for me, for Australia. I have more faith in Australians it seems, as you have at the moment.

      But really, based on what poll (do you really trust polls this far out?) and what real information, do you arrive at the conclusion that the election is Abbott's to lose?

      I think u better sleep, you have some dance moves to bust out tomorrow!

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  36. Ronald Ostrowski

    logged in via Facebook

    Well, you can take the journo out of the anti-Labor political soap opera MSM, but you can't take the flibbertigibbet MSM out of the socalled insider journalist.

    Let's do a quick basic analysis on a leadership change to Kevin Rudd this very minute. If it occurs then the LNP and their MSM mates in News Ltd, Our ABC, Fairfax and scream radio will drag out all the character assination and leaked stuff about Rudd, which got great media coverage when he last had a tilt for the PM job role. As a saleable…

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  37. JL Broadstock

    logged in via email @bigpond.com

    More perception, journo spin and nonsense. Why is this deemed satisfactory for The Conversation.

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  38. geoff mcquinn

    pensioner

    Grattan has indulged in the same tired rumour /gossip type articles for some years now . No longer informative or any meaningful analysis just a rehash of the same theme over and over again . Like many people who had talent above a lot of others the decision to retire was left too late .

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  39. Marilyn Shepherd

    pensioner

    The standard of the Conversation has been lowered by the tone of Grattan's same old inane drivel.

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    1. David Hickling

      Digital Records Coordinator

      In reply to Marilyn Shepherd

      Exactly my thoughts. she's not getting any better...
      I thought The Conversation was about exploring ideas not cheering for a team.

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  40. Brian Boss

    Architect

    Did I stumble on the herald sun? where am I?

    Great, just great, News Ltd's 'talking points' have infected the conversation.

    A damn shame.

    Goodbye...

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    1. Sue Hanley

      Owner, Coach Works , Sydney at Coach Works, Sydney

      In reply to Brian Boss

      I don't think Michelle Grattan has added much in the way of insightful political analysis for some years. I am disappointed that she has kicked off in The Conversation with the usual cliches, platitudes and speculation. It is boring.

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  41. Kelly Schofield

    Intern

    Rudd claims he can't stop speculation by others over the possibility of him mounting a leadership challenge.

    He can stop it very easily: He can resign.

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    1. Peter Ormonde

      Peter Ormonde is a Friend of The Conversation.

      Farmer

      In reply to Kelly Schofield

      The real pity of this Kelly is that there were hands reaching out to welcome Kevin back into the government and give him a higher profile in the campaigning ahead... senior Labor figures who recognise his talent and at least his apparent popularity.

      And what does he do? He blows it. Again. With his injured pride and churlish asides. Playing to the gallery ... couldn't resist.

      Kevin and Julia will never be bosom buddies - fine. But Kevin must realise that this was not Gillard acting alone - this was the party room - his colleagues... the folks who put him there and who could take it all away. And they did.

      And he clearly still has no idea why.

      He also doesn't seem to realise that it is they - not us, not the gallery - that he must win back And there is only one way to do that... by rejoining the team.

      Not much of a future for slow learners with a messiah issue in Canberra.

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  42. Peter Muhleisen

    logged in via Facebook

    And Grattan has the demeanour of a highly paid "insider" who missed the Rudd coup and most other developments related to the Gillard government and can never forgive that. Time to move on, nothing to see here

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  43. Nicholas Sands

    logged in via Facebook

    A turgid, morphine infused article from bullshit mountain increases the pressure on Michelle Grattan to do some investigative journalism about what is really going on in politics. The sermon from bullshit mountain is sounding more and more like the media covering itself on an issue that won't go away for them. Meanwhile, a cabal of politicians and a "journalist" in the conservative ranks get away with attempting to circumvent democracy by using sexual harassment laws for a base political purpose aimed at increasing their numbers in the house and forcing an election.

    Where is your concern or research on this topic Michelle? Surely someone's willing to talk to you about this? You're currently allowing ghosts to destroy your credibility as a journo.

    I'm giving this just 1 star John.

    Nick's Rating: *

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    1. Tony Dummett

      Optical Engineer

      In reply to Nicholas Sands

      Michelle's comment was one of the worst,most cynical I have ever seen in Australian print:

      "Ashby has lost the battle but won the war."

      With that, she dismissed the Federal Court's judgement, the patent concoctions Ashby had developed to get his man, the low rent PR libelling of Slipper before the documents were withdrawn, stealing of the Speaker's diaries, abuse of process, and what amounted to a conspiracy to bring down the elected government.

      Michelle may not like it, she may have (as Margot Kingston put it) problems with a hung parliament, but this government WAS elected.

      She and her colleagues in the Media Ivory Tower that is the Press Gallery have been so wrong, so often that it's an outrage she should be given a desk and a title here.

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    2. Geoffrey Edwards

      logged in via email @gmail.com

      In reply to Tony Dummett

      "government WAS elected"

      No. This government was formed. Legitimately. But I wouldn't say it was elected.

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    3. Nicholas Sands

      logged in via Facebook

      In reply to Geoffrey Edwards

      Yes Geoffrey. Way to find the error and miss the point. An attempt to use our courts to circumvent our Parliament in order to force an election, semantics over "elected" or "legitimately formed" aside as we can never have a truly "elected government" in this country governed under a "representative democracy" formed by the members of the House of Reps., is the biggest story in Australian politics for some time. That contempt of the system shown here and by Obeid's cabal of cronies are what's wrong…

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    4. Geoffrey Edwards

      logged in via email @gmail.com

      In reply to Nicholas Sands

      "That contempt of the system shown here and by Obeid's cabal of cronies are what's wrong with politics"

      It probably goes a lot deeper, and a lot wider. I would say, politics is whats wrong with politics. It's a job lot. Any age, any time, people will seek advantage where they can get it. Machiavelli wasn't writing something new, just what he knew.

      "The article above is drivel when one considers the material available to write about in politics."

      The problem , of course, is that there is…

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    5. Nicholas Sands

      logged in via Facebook

      In reply to Geoffrey Edwards

      Machiavelli was lamenting a lost republic and the return of an autocracy led by a Medicci while trying to become gainfully employed in the court of said Medicci through demonstrating his understanding of the cut and thrust of ancient politics, while maintaining plausible deniability of it, if his gift was taken the wrong way. We live in a democracy.
      You left out the "LNP Ashby" debacle in your quotation of me, I assume intentionally, as the other example of what's wrong with politics. I'm an Australian…

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    6. Geoffrey Edwards

      logged in via email @gmail.com

      In reply to Nicholas Sands

      "I assume intentionally"

      Assume away.

      "I assume you are less concerned about ...'

      I am "less concerned" about a lot of things that other people are concerned about. I guess you are also "less concerned" about many of the things I am concerned about. The abundant use of false dichotomies, for example. Especially ones premised on assumptions. That's pretty spectacular.

      What was that you said before? Peace?

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    7. Nicholas Sands

      logged in via Facebook

      In reply to Geoffrey Edwards

      Oh my god! You're a troll! I thought you were genuinely wishing for a conversation. No worries Geoffrey, my mistake.
      On a lighter and more friendly and conversational note, I am genuinely concerned about the lack of coverage of the Ashby affair in the media. Are you?
      The forensic wash perpetrated against the PM over the AWU affair seems to have less leads than the LNP/Ashby debacle and yet I don't see anywhere near as much coverage of it.
      What are your opinions on the Ashby matter Geoffrey?
      I look forward to your response as I would dearly love to discuss what ramifications, if any, you believe it may have on accountability of elected representatives and those that wish to be?
      Best regards,
      As Above

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    8. Nicholas Sands

      logged in via Facebook

      In reply to Geoffrey Edwards

      One last observation. It wasn't a false dichotomy I was presenting to you. It was the logical fallacy of a straw man argument. I was setting you up with assumptions that were in fact wrong and was then showing what it would mean for the polity. Points for picking it up though. Again. Peace. :)

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    9. Geoffrey Edwards

      logged in via email @gmail.com

      In reply to Nicholas Sands

      Nicholas,

      "Oh my god! You're a troll!"

      Sorry, but when you make such an obvious logical fallacy on the back of an assumption, I see no reason to let it pass. You can call it trolling. That doesn't worry me.

      "On a lighter and more friendly and conversational note, I am genuinely concerned about the lack of coverage of the Ashby affair in the media. Are you?"

      Do I believe it is a serious issue? Yes.

      Am I concerned? I think we each choose our battles.

      "What are your opinions on the…

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    10. Nicholas Sands

      logged in via Facebook

      In reply to Geoffrey Edwards

      Again, on the tone you used with regard to calling me out on the use of an "obvious" logical fallacy which, I might add, was employed by allowing my emotions about the issues to cloud my logic. If it was so obvious as you put it, why did you use the incorrect category to describe it? :)
      Please have a sense of humour about this.

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    11. Geoffrey Edwards

      logged in via email @gmail.com

      In reply to Nicholas Sands

      Do you mean my call of False Dichotomy is the incorrect category?

      If not then ignore the following.

      If so read on.

      I call it a false dichotomy, because you imply that if I we do not agree in all respects on P, then I must desire Q to the exception of other possibilities.

      The fact that we do not express equivalent opinions on P does not mean I must necessarily desire Q.

      "A false dilemma (also called false dichotomy, the either-or fallacy, fallacy of false choice, black-and/or-white…

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    12. Nicholas Sands

      logged in via Facebook

      In reply to Geoffrey Edwards

      Yes I do. That isn't what I did. It was a straw man argument. Have a look again. I never once stated that we didn't agree on P, therefore you must think Q, and Q is wrong. I developed a straw man. It's just semantics, but you seem to enjoy that. Sadly, it appears you don't have a sense of humour either. More's the pity.

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    13. Geoffrey Edwards

      logged in via email @gmail.com

      In reply to Geoffrey Edwards

      Nicholas,

      Sorry to bail, but this old man needs to go to bed.

      My partner wants to get Rockabilly at the Ballarat Beat festival tomorrow.

      http://ballaratbeat.com.au/

      Contrary to opinions expressed way below, there isn't much left in the tank.

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    14. Geoffrey Edwards

      logged in via email @gmail.com

      In reply to Nicholas Sands

      "Sadly, it appears you don't have a sense of humour either."

      I would argue that it doesn't always come across in my writing. And I hate emoticons. Internet laugh tracks. [laugh] ...[/laugh]. So I just have to deal with it. The cat doesn't get me either.

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    15. Geoffrey Edwards

      logged in via email @gmail.com

      In reply to Nicholas Sands

      " I never once stated'

      Implication, not explicit.

      "strawman"

      Usually a specious argument built in order to be then knocked down

      I saw no negation of your specious argument.*

      * that bit is meant to be funny.

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    16. Geoffrey Edwards

      logged in via email @gmail.com

      In reply to Nicholas Sands

      Hi Nicholas

      If you can be bothered,

      NYRB is celebrating it's 50th by posting tasty old articles including

      Isaiah Berlin on Machiavelli

      "....if not all values are compatible with one another, and choices must be made for no better reason than that each value is what it is, and we choose it for what it is, and not because it can be shown on some single scale to be higher than another. If we choose forms of life because we believe in them, because we take them for granted, or, upon examination…

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    17. Tony Grant

      Student

      In reply to Geoffrey Edwards

      2PP 50.02% Labor Vs Rest 49.98%...30,490 votes. Informal was approx 5 % up approx 2%.

      1998 election 2PP 51.02% Vs Rest 49.98% approx...Rest won by 6 seats (?) from memory.

      Safe to say 100's of K of voters "not well represented in that democracy"?

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    18. Tony Grant

      Student

      In reply to Tony Grant

      Correction 1998 Rest 48.98%. Didn't contest Newcastle (coalition).

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  44. Ian Ritchie

    mad

    How is this article helpful on any level. According to Ms Grattan and the MSM the government is a goner anyway.

    Why does she not concentrate her efforts (if they are efforts) on analysing the potential new leader and his band of merry men and women. And their policies if she can find any.

    I've said it before. Ms Gillard and Co. may be incompetent politicians but they are certainly not incompetent managers. Not brilliant by any stretch but competent nevertheless.

    So the mining tax only raised…

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    1. susan walton

      logged in via email @live.com.au

      In reply to Ian Ritchie

      You are not taking into account the cost of setting up and implementing the Mining Tax, on current estimates it appears the Mining Tax will be lucky to break even over the next 3 years.

      "The cost was revealed as the Association of Mining and Exploration Companies estimated the administrative and set-up costs for small iron ore and coalminers and junior exploration for the MRRT at more than $20m.
      Digital Pass $1 for first 28 Days

      The MRRT failed to raise any revenue in the first three months…

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  45. Paul Pfluger

    retired

    It should be obvious that MG will ruin The Conversation's viability. I am no longer thinking of donating, as I imagine are many others.

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    1. Geoffrey Edwards

      logged in via email @gmail.com

      In reply to Tony Dummett

      I wasn't considering donating, but after reading today's comments I will do it just for the laughs.

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  46. Andrew Smith

    Education Consultant at Australian & International Education Centre

    Quality journalism? If I want to read about sports, sorry political contests, News Ltd., Fairfax etc. provide such a "news service". This only adds to the shallow depth and breadth of Australian media obsessed by personalities, but policy free..... then again that's the point isn't it? Moving Australia to a more feudal or mediaeval society as opposed to an enlightened egalitarian one?

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    1. Tony Dummett

      Optical Engineer

      In reply to Andrew Smith

      Look at their circulation numbers released today: in the toilet. Dropping nearly 15% in a quarter.

      And they STILL don't get it.

      If you destroy confidence in the way we are governed by turning all politics into petty ego trips, then the public gradually drift away. This is death for newspapers. So many of Michelle's colleagues have either left or been shoved out the door because of the loss of readership their doom and gloom message presents.

      Its vandalism, pure and simple. Great publications wrecked because of the bloated egos of their "senior" journalists. They're like a disease that is forever in search of a host to destroy.

      And it's going to happen here at The Conversation pretty soon too.

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    2. Geoffrey Edwards

      logged in via email @gmail.com

      In reply to Tony Dummett

      "look at their circulation numbers released today: in the toilet. Dropping nearly 15% in a quarter."

      Is that Physical Paper or online numbers? I think the distinction is probably relevant.

      "So many of Michelle's colleagues have either left or been shoved out the door because of the loss of readership..."

      Nothing to do with the well documented problem that is almost universal in print media - you know that thing called the internet you are using and the decline of traditional revenue streams…

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    3. Tony Dummett

      Optical Engineer

      In reply to Geoffrey Edwards

      "Average net paid print sales" down 14.5% for both The Age and SMH. I guess that's layman's talk for "circulation".

      "Readership" down 12.7% for The Age and 10% for the SMH.

      Satisfied? That's hard copy, printed sales down the toilet.

      On-line comparative figures not given.

      Face it, Geoffrey, newspapers are soon to be history. Everything about them - the need for brevity (and hence the rise of pundits) to conserve page real estate, the linear and slow means of production and logistics, the physical clumsiness - is trumped by on-line publications.

      Grattan brings old memes and practices to this site, as well as an unhealthy dose of Gillard hatred. It's plain they can't stand each other, but one of them is the Prime Minister of Australia and the other is just a journo recycling tired ideas.

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    4. Geoffrey Edwards

      logged in via email @gmail.com

      In reply to Tony Dummett

      "Face it, Geoffrey, newspapers are soon to be history."

      This is not something I need to "face up" to. Print sales decline has been discussed at great length for a number of years. This is not news to me.

      I raised the issue of print vs online that you skipped over. I raised because I believe it provides a much better explanation for job losses in the media.

      "an unhealthy dose of Gillard hatred"

      Criticism is not hatred. Would you like to provide examples of Grattan's hatred for the PM?

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    5. Tony Dummett

      Optical Engineer

      In reply to Geoffrey Edwards

      "Criticism is not hatred. Would you like to provide examples of Grattan's hatred for the PM?"

      Not running away. Just bored with this conversation. I'm not your research assistant. Go find the evidence yourself.

      You sound like someone who loves to have the last word, so I leave the floor to you Geoffrey.

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    6. Geoffrey Edwards

      logged in via email @gmail.com

      In reply to Tony Dummett

      Thanks Tony, very kind.

      I have not observed this hatred. I have seen Grattan criticised from both sides of the political spectrum. She seems to "hate" everyone equally.

      "What can be asserted without evidence, can be dismissed without evidence."
      - everyone under the sun.

      Sleep well.

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  47. alfred venison

    records manager (public sector)

    dear Michelle Gratton

    thanks for this one, liked it more than the first one. that's life.

    i appreciate hearing about rudd & crean coming together at mcclelland's farewell dinner function. that's news to me & a significant development by my reckoning. especially given crean's importance in the balance of factions & his staunch opposition to rudd's last push - the one they brought on to smoke him out while he was abroad serving his country.

    that's the thing that bugs the hell out me about…

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  48. Simon Black

    logged in via Twitter

    Wow. The ALP are in dire trouble and there is leadership speculation and journos are reporting on it? Well, what is the world coming to?
    The ALP is heading for a Whyalla wipeout under the failed Gillard leadership experiment. If they let her lead, she'll also go down in history as facing 2 elections and never winning 1.
    The worst thing about these Gillard supporters is they seem to prefer destroying the ALP than letting Kevin Rudd lead and give them some chance of winning.
    Shrill complaints of Rudd destabilising the party with his public profile are rubbish. If he wasn't out campaigning, the ALP would be polling even worse than they are now.

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    1. Geoffrey Edwards

      logged in via email @gmail.com

      In reply to Mike Hansen

      The summation of Green's article:

      "What works politically is in fact a compelling, ahem, narrative - whether it be manufactured from fact or fiction is not really to the point.

      Which is what the left and Labor doesn't get. Fact checks, the record-correcting fleets of the blogosphere ... these things have right on their side but they are not making the winning
      argument."

      The summation of Grattan's article:

      "Rudd’s best pitch, however, could go along these lines:
      ...

      It might not win an election but it would be a narrative."

      =======================

      So...

      Green acknowledges the role of political narrative and is insightful.

      Grattan suggests a possible Rudd narrative and is...?

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    2. Ian Milliss

      logged in via Twitter

      In reply to Geoffrey Edwards

      Brevity is the soul of wit so why do right wingers, denialists, etc all think that they can bore us into submission with endless dull verbose comments? Give it a rest Geoffrey Edwards, your nagging is not convincing anyone.

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    3. Geoffrey Edwards

      logged in via email @gmail.com

      In reply to Ian Milliss

      Ian,

      I have voted Labor since I first attained the right. Hawke 1990.

      Even the idea of voting for the Liberal Party is foreign to me.

      Would you like to rephrase your comment to remove the implication?

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    4. Geoffrey Edwards

      logged in via email @gmail.com

      In reply to Ian Milliss

      I am pretty sure that bullying is not solely a quantitative assessment.

      If you believe this is bullying I recommend a formal complaint to the editorial staff.

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    5. Ian Milliss

      logged in via Twitter

      In reply to Ian Milliss

      No, it's the attitudes you display here that I'm commenting on, not your voting history.

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    6. Geoffrey Edwards

      logged in via email @gmail.com

      In reply to Ian Milliss

      So, I am not a right-winger and I am not a Climate Change Denialist.

      I assume that makes me an etc.

      So, what are the attitudes of these etc, and why should I stop exhibiting them?

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    7. Craig Minns

      Self-employed

      In reply to Geoffrey Edwards

      Isn't it fascinating that some see any criticism of labor as an indication of LNP partisanship?

      I, like you, have never voted for the Coalition, since I first gained the right in 1981 and first exercised it in '83. I deliberately chose not to vote against the party in the last Qld State election and the last federal one, instead not voting at all, for which I have been fined ($158 for each "offence"). This election will be different - the ALP has kost my support to such an extent that I will vote…

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    8. Geoffrey Edwards

      logged in via email @gmail.com

      In reply to Craig Minns

      Hi Craig,

      Fascinating and frustrating in equal degrees. Though you may have been engaged in a little irony so that probably doesn't need to be states.

      It seems for some that unless a political commentator writes unstinting praise of their team then they are somehow "the heart of the problem in the media" or and indubitably partisan advocates for The Reich or Uncle Joe.

      Megalogenis was mentioned in reference to star-shopping somewhere above.

      Crikey interviewed him about quality journalism a while back. Grattan is in his top ten by lines and this quote seems pertinent:

      "With each of these people, even if I know how they feel on certain topics, I don’t know how they vote when I read them. To me that’s the most important thing reading a print journalist. I don’t want to be able to guess having read their first paragraph how the rest of the story will read."

      http://www.crikey.com.au/2011/09/14/george-megalogenis-profile-quality-journalism/

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    9. Craig Minns

      Self-employed

      In reply to Geoffrey Edwards

      The problem is that while Grattan is undoubtedly talented and well-connected, her "analysis" is shallow and facile. Perhaps that's simply an inevitable consequence of her years of having to produce a regular piece to a formula demanded by newspapers and over time she will get better under the rules of her engagement here, whatever they may be.

      I hope so, the current iteration looks pretty poor.

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    10. Tony Dummett

      Optical Engineer

      In reply to Geoffrey Edwards

      "I have voted Labor since I first attained the right."

      The Conversation's first concern troll.

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    11. Michael Ousley

      At large

      In reply to Geoffrey Edwards

      The last time I saw someone do the circle the wagons thing with just one wagon was in Blazing Saddles. That was great, but you're simply brilliant, Geoffrey.

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  49. David Doe

    Videogame Producer

    Thanks Conversation, we had a good run. You were an interesting experiment in what could happen if academics wrote a daily.

    Five articles from Ms. Grattan in her first week, and the only decent one was where over 50% of the content wasn't hers.

    If this is the kind of unadulterated rubbish you are now seeing fit to publish, thanks but no thanks.

    Good luck to the rest of you commenters, it sure looks like you're going to need it.

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  50. Simon Mann

    Armchair Observer

    Grattan posted an article on Rudd a few days back and got 100+ comments. Yesterday she posted an article that may not have been the best, yet still concentrated on policy, and got only about 20 comments. Now she does Rudd again... and 100+ comments.

    Perhaps The Conversation made the Rudd stories more visible, or perhaps superficial Rudd stories just generate more comments? But it seems to me that if you want to train your dog, you don't reward it for being a bore... and if I wrote crap I would regard more comments as a reward.

    And yes, I do understand that I am paradoxically rewarding crap with this comment.

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  51. Stephen John Ralph

    carer

    Hi Ian

    perhaps you'd like GE to paint you a picture....that will take the place of 1000 words.

    But it MAY be the picture of a finger me thinks.

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    1. Geoffrey Edwards

      logged in via email @gmail.com

      In reply to Stephen John Ralph

      Reminds me of a story about Wittgenstein in Logical Positivist mode, probably apocryphal.

      GE Moore gave him the finger and asked: "what is the logical form of this?"

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  52. John Fraser

    logged in via email @iinet.net.au

    Oh yeah ... print media is dead and dying all at the same time ... just like "peak" oil.

    Murdoch doesn't give a rats, its all about power .... and as long as people are paying to view (Fox ) he will continue to heavily subsidise "The Joe McCarthy/"The Australian" and the rest.

    The sooner people here wake up again and start getting their kicks into Abbott via the MSM the sooner you will start to change the tide (yeah yeah I know Labor have to get their finger out as well).

    Do what "A country gal" does, kick, and drop "The Conversation" in, along with "Independent Australia" and "Australians for Honest politics".

    As long as the "Comment" is somewhat on topic and is a reasonable critique you can get it posted and then others can find this site and get more information ... that's the real power.

    Don't just let these bast*rds give Australia to "No Show" Abbott.

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    1. Simon Mann

      Armchair Observer

      In reply to John Fraser

      I seriously can't think what the ALP can do about the MSM Fraser. My farther thinks it's all about how the ALP should "sell" themselves... but it just isn't an even playing field.

      Grattan thinks Rudd can do it... not without destroying the NBN he can't... because the NBN kills Foxtel dead.

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  53. Lorraine Muller

    PhD - eternal student

    Enough of the Pink Batts.

    It was dodgy contractors, who were illegally using builders foil insulation that was specifically identified as not to be used, that caused the deaths of ill trained workers.

    It was not Rudd that was overseeing the program, but Peter Garret and Arbib (I think) that ran the show.

    All 4 of my adult kids got insulation batts fitted to their homes, as did many of their friends, and they got a good quality product from reputable contractors and are highly delighted with the insulation.

    The insulation scheme, know as the Pink batts scheme, was great except for a few dodgy contractors.

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    1. Simon Mann

      Armchair Observer

      In reply to Lorraine Muller

      Wow, you manage to say it was a good policy, and then put down Garret.

      It was a good policy, and yes, people died. But less people died at work that year than for many years before. You can't die at work if you don't have a job.

      Rudd's "me culpa" was pathetic, he basically gave away all the good work his government had done during the GFC and shirked his responsibility into a trite "forgive me" (but blame others).

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    2. Michel Syna Rahme

      logged in via email @hotmail.com

      In reply to Lorraine Muller

      Great point Lorraine! It's also ironic that, as far as I'm aware, Peter Garrett, Arbib, and also others such as Nicola Roxon were some of the backstabbers that knifed Rudd of the leadership - leadership that he was democratically elected by the people to represent us. I still can't get my head around it - what were they thinking. Now I think about it, unless Rudd returns, I'm voting Greens, perhaps Labour needs to lose to rout out the right faction scum that inflicted this treachery. Shame! Rudd…

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    3. Craig Minns

      Self-employed

      In reply to Lorraine Muller

      The dodgy contractors were accredited under the scheme, so what does that say about the way it was run?

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    4. Lorraine Muller

      PhD - eternal student

      In reply to Craig Minns

      Craig, it means that Garret and Arbib were too busy plotting against Rudd to do their job properly.

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  54. susan walton

    logged in via email @live.com.au

    I'm wondering what the critics here are going to say if Rudd does challenge...they went very, very quiet after it was proved the media was correct last time.

    Yes, they certainly did. The silence was deafening, the apologies to the media for getting it right were nil.

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    1. Tony Dummett

      Optical Engineer

      In reply to susan walton

      This is a common argument: "the media got it right about the last challenge".

      That's only if you don't count the umpteen other "challenges" that were spruiked as dead certs, but never happened.

      The media has been predicting a Rudd Comeback every week for the last 130 or so weeks. It's all based on fevered midnight phone calls from dummy-spitting, disaffected wannabees who think the world - or in Labor's case, Julia - owes them a living.

      That the media "get it right" just the once in two years is hardly the kind of record that breeds confidence in their prognosticating abilities.

      A chimpanzee with a phone, a Ouji board and a typewriter could do better.

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    2. Peter Ormonde

      Peter Ormonde is a Friend of The Conversation.

      Farmer

      In reply to Tony Dummett

      The only reason the meeja "got it right" with the last failed attempt to restore the Rudd epoch was that the Press Gallery were in it up to their hairy little armpits.

      Rudd and a sprinkling of plotters were feeding the speculation, white-anting and leaking away to anyone who'd listen - and wasn't that everyone. So Gillard pulled him on and forced him and his cabal to move when they didn't have the numbers - cut the ground out from under him and left him exposed and isolated.

      It's the only time I can ever recall the meeja actually getting it right - only because they'd been doing everything so wrong. The meeja was being played - allowing itself to played. Taking shallow to new depths.

      Time was one could get a few decent horse tips from the Gallery ... but lately they just seem to be backing anything that fancies itself a starter - even a restarter. Even if they have to saddle it up themselves.

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  55. Stephen John Ralph

    carer

    Hi Susan

    without getting into furious debate over Labor v Liberal, this tax from a layman's p.o.v does seem a little curious.
    No less because it was trumpeted as being one tool to take from the rich and give to the poor - so to speak.

    And to a certain extent I agree that the stuff in the ground could be said to belong to ALL Australians.
    But that could apply to things like trees as well.

    A question I have is that IF the tax is based on "super" profits (whatever they are), can't the mining companies hide profit in a multitude of places with the help of a good tax lawyer....thus minimising money paid to the government.

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    1. Russell Y

      Financial planner

      In reply to Stephen John Ralph

      I would have thought that in an election year a program of a policy each week could be investigated in detail from each side of politics with a comparisan for the benefits or otherwise for several different income groups. Which industrys would be effected? So much to report on, alas nowhere to obtain it. Seems the NBN is going to be eviscerated so that people here in Newcastle, Geelong, Gold coast, Wyalla (The combined large regional centres have around a million residents) will still have ADSL…

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  56. Chris Saunders

    retired

    I've noticed at long last you are using links to try to support your assertions. It's still not analysis. It's gossip and incredible feats of mind reading. But you win a point by not referring to unnamed "reliable sources".

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  57. Stephen John Ralph

    carer

    Ah..the Artz Russelll...and culcha - what ever happened to it.

    These days its all politics and economics.

    May i quote two great philospohers...Jerry Herman & Larry Hart

    Says Dolly Levi to Horace Vandergelder - "And at night Horace you can snuggle up to your cash register - its a little lumpy.......but it rings"

    And sad, alcoholic and tragically gay Larry Hart - "Alas I missed the Beaux Art Ball, but what is twice as sad, I was never at a party where they honoured Noel C'ad"

    At least they went down singing on the Titanic.

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    1. Craig Minns

      Self-employed

      In reply to Stephen John Ralph

      Another disconnected comment, Stephen. Surely it's less effort to simply click "reply" than scroll all the way back to the top to "Comment on this article"?

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    2. Stephen John Ralph

      carer

      In reply to Craig Minns

      You're right Craig - so much easier.

      Everything's connected in one way or t'other.

      And from all the crapola that seems to filter its way thru to this forum I thought I'd add a bit more.

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    3. Craig Minns

      Self-employed

      In reply to Stephen John Ralph

      Ah well, Stephen, if you want to play silly games, I'll know not to bother reading stuff under your byline. I can't be bothered looking for the comment you're responding to and without context your comments aren't useful.

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    4. Stephen John Ralph

      carer

      In reply to Craig Minns

      Craig

      i know you're reading this even tho you said you wouldn't.

      I read the comments and digest the opinions and thoughts of not only you but most of the others.

      Russell was commenting in part that Malcolm Turnbull couldnt get anyone to go to Margaret Ollie's funeral.

      I find that interesting and sad in that MO was a major figure on the Oz art scene.

      Hence my (silly) comment about the overwhelming disregard for The Arts in Australian society.

      The Australian psyche these days is to its detriment (in my opinion) only wrapped around sport,
      with a sprinkling of politics, facebook & twitter and My Kitchen Rules, and more sport.

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    5. Craig Minns

      Self-employed

      In reply to Stephen John Ralph

      Yes Stephen, I'm reading it, and I appreciate your choice to reply in context, thanks.

      Our society has always been somewhat anti-intellectual and minimally interested in the arts. We're a pretty rough-hewn mob when it comes down to it.

      However, given Ollie's status as an iconoclast with little respect for the powers-that-be, I don't think she'd have been appreciative of her death being hijacked for the personal exposure of politicians. Perhaps Turnbull was paying her his genuine respects?

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  58. Stephen John Ralph

    carer

    Hi Craig

    hear ya

    Can i add my two bob's worth on context.

    The article under this comment banner is about Kevin Rudd - MG brings other comments she makes back to a Rudd context.

    And yet many of the comments are not about Rudd, but about politics and politicians and opinions thereof.
    You made at least 2 comments that were not about the content (as such) of the article.

    Many of the comments under a banner article are endless repititions of the same thing. Many also veer off topic and into other realms completely. I see this as an extension of any conversations taking place between people.

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    1. Craig Minns

      Self-employed

      In reply to Stephen John Ralph

      The article is the stimulus for those individual conversations, which all then take on their own context. If a response is orphaned by being directed at the article rather than the conversation to which it belongs, it loses that context and hence becomes less meaningful.

      The comments become a cacophony of unconnected statements rather than a discussion. I can get that in any pub, I don't need it here.

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    2. Stephen John Ralph

      carer

      In reply to Craig Minns

      Hi Craig

      with respect your last comment seems to be having two bob each way.

      And in many instances comment lines are already (as you say) -
      a cacophony of unconnected statements rather than a discussion.

      In point - this one we are having right now.

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    3. Craig Minns

      Self-employed

      In reply to Stephen John Ralph

      I'm not sure how you arrive at that conclusion, Stephen. The conversations between commenters are contextually related - certainly this particular thread is - even if they're tangential to the article, or completely unrelated to it.

      The article provides the jumping-off point and the comments then take on a life of their own. Digression is a natural part of any live conversation, surely? We aren't arguing a point of law or holding a formal debate, after all.

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  59. Robin Garden

    logged in via email @vtown.com.au

    Yes - Labor would receive a "sugar hit" under a restored Rudd. Presumably like the sugar hit Grattan thoughtfully offered Rudd in a Parliament House corridor earlier this week, in the form of a tray of baked goodies. If ever an image typified the problems of the CPH-press gallery-politician bubble, that was it. We stopped reading the 'Age' and started reading the 'Conversation' to escape this dross.

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  60. Paul Felix

    Builder

    Perhaps if everyone ignores the writer she will go away. Though I am disappointed that she is allowed to repeat here the vacuous nonsense she has been writing for the past 3 years.

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  61. Garry Baker

    resarcher

    Apart from the stories headline grabber - “View from the Hill” - It's sad when a conversation gets down to considering Rudd as a political leader, given that he's a proven fruit loop(as most of our "elected" politicians seem to be these days). Oddly enough the traditional 'born to lead' set, tend to be the only candidates in these discussions, when in truth most of them should be ushered to the scrap heap - such are their inabilities to work for the country in a meaningful way, let alone work for…

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  62. Kate Swanton

    retired cleaner

    I've been amused by the negative response to Grattan on this site - many are expressing what I've been feeling for years. The worst aspect of her now being at The Conversation though, is that this dross is being syndicated throughout Australia - today I notice the same article in The West Australian - so instead of less Michelle since she's left The Age, we get more - in fact she's everywhere you look.

    In The West she rubs shoulders with another Gillard hater, Paul Murray (not the Sky one) so its stereo bile now. Balance? I don't think so.

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    1. Craig Minns

      Self-employed

      In reply to Kate Swanton

      I think Gillard is woeful but I don't think much of the Grattan analysis.

      Perhaps you're simply seeing what you want to?

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    2. Kevin Bain

      Teacher

      In reply to Kate Swanton

      There was talk above on the pros and cons of a boycott of Grattan's sludge but the reverse has already happened: she has boycotted her readers. After a brief digression into reporting the reflections of journalism prof Robert Picard, she now returns to the atmospherics and gossip widely rejected on this site. "Never apologize and never explain" seems to be the attitude.
      The views expressed since she arrived here have ranged across many issues but have usually been issue-based and sophisticated…

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    3. Craig Minns

      Self-employed

      In reply to Kevin Bain

      Lenore Taylor sounds like an excellent fit for an Oz Grauniad. Perhaps Fairfax will be able to find room for a genuine quality journalist to replace her and MG, preferably someone who doesn't do journalism as an exercise in reworking press releases or have one foot in the grave.

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    4. Simon Black

      logged in via Twitter

      In reply to Kate Swanton

      Kate, whenever someone writes an article that is even mildly critical of Julia, you can be assured that her supporters will swamp the comments section with complaints of bias. They seem to inhabit a different world to the rest of us who are witnessing utter chaos in the government at the moment and want to impose their Orwellian view of Julia's greatness on the rest of us.

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    5. Chris Reynolds

      Education Consultant

      In reply to Kate Swanton

      I'm inclined to agree with you and it is very much to the detriment of our political and democratic culture that this can be said of the journalist who is spoken of commonly as the doyenne of the Canberra Press Gallery. The preoccupation with leadership and personalities goes from top to bottom in our political journalistic culture to the great detriment of the need for proper policy critique.

      The Opposition pleads that even though it styles itself the alternative government it does not need to put out policies for the electorate, the Government hangs a new policy shingle out every other day. The Opposition simply takes shots (most of them cheap) and the Press Gallery brays its approval. Give me good, old-fashioned, one-eyed journo barracking Piers Ackermann style rather than the weasel words of the commentariat who seemed interested only in the latest gossip rather than in what the Government can and should be doing for Australia.

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  63. Garry Baker

    resarcher

    Make no bones about it, Michelle Grattan is honest enough, reporting things as she sees them without too much slant - However, the point here is that she too has been overtaken by the juvenile noise and flurry of the Canberra pantomime, where the antics of the 'born to rule set' take precedence over the welfare of the populace at large. Whereas truly objective reporting rises above the bar room chatter, and keeps is focus on the bigger picture - Like, when will Australia's beer run out. As it…

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    1. Craig Minns

      Self-employed

      In reply to Garry Baker

      I couldn't agree more, Garry. There is an uncomfortably close relationship between media and politicians, especially on the Left, with more than one senior journo being in a personal relationship with a politician. The journalists do not disclose these relationships as a matter of course and there is a tacit agreement among all the players, both political and jounalistic, not to publicise them. While I accept that journos are entitled to protect their privacy, it seems to me a serious ethical breach…

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    2. geoff mcquinn

      pensioner

      In reply to Craig Minns

      Craig
      I think you are seeing things not there and missing things that are there . Chris Ulhman and Abbott , Gina and Joyce/Bishop for starters . The PMs involvement with the AWU thing ? Perhaps the AWU acknowledges that it was one or two of their own that that let them and Gillard down . Would Emilys list be disapproving of the Peris pick ? How you come to make a statement regarding that group and the PM in a negative way eludes me . Abbott has his buddy interviews with the usual suspects including the ABCs Chris but comes a cropper against Sales . Forget it , your post makes no sense .

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    3. Craig Minns

      Self-employed

      In reply to geoff mcquinn

      You may be right, Geoff, I don't claim any special knowledge. However, I think you've missed my point, which is that such relationships represent potential interest conflicts that should be disclosed.

      I'm not talking about interviews here, but personal relationships, such as that between David Penberthy (editor of news.com.au among other roles) and Kate Ellis, a Gillard Govt minister, to whom he is engaged.

      Of course they are quite entitled to fall in love and marry and I wish them the very…

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    4. Simon Black

      logged in via Twitter

      In reply to geoff mcquinn

      Would Emily's list be disapproving of the Perris pick? Well, you'd think they would, seeing as how Trish Crossin was a founding member of Emily's list. Seeing as how they didn't seem to have a problem with it, you'd have to wonder how consistent their values are.

      As for Chris Uhlmann, you know who he is married to, don't you? I'll give you a clue - it's not Tony Abbott.

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    5. geoff mcquinn

      pensioner

      In reply to Simon Black

      Simon I was referring to Chris and his soft cock approach to interviewing Abbott and his rapid fire interruptions to the PM . One could be a fireside chat and the other an interrogation . Uhlmann may be m,arried to a labor woman , so what ? . He tried his hand in politics with the Osborne group , anti abortion and anti euthenasia . He is also like Abbott a former seminarian . Are you suggesting a man must vote or think to align with his spouse ? I have no idea if his wife is right , left or centre but makes no difference to what I said .

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    6. Craig Minns

      Self-employed

      In reply to geoff mcquinn

      A case in point: the news.com.au site had the recent Galaxy poll of women voters, which found that support for Gillard among that demographic is rapidly dwindling, while support for Abbott and the LNP is climbing, in the splash panel at the top left of the screen when I looked at 4:30 this morning.

      By 7 am it was nowhere to be seen, even as a secondary story, with the only evidence it existed being in the "most read" list.

      I have no evidence that Penberthy was involved in burying it, but perhaps…

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    7. Stephen John Ralph

      carer

      In reply to geoff mcquinn

      do we want and expect parents to take a partisan approach to their kids, and not choose a favourite.

      do we not expect teachers and lecturers to teach students an unbiased curriculum.

      doesn't an intelligent person want a balanced view of the world around him/her, and be given balanced information to make a decision.

      Why then should we accept a "one-eyed", partisan journalist, unless it is in the opinion section.
      If we want the news of the day, give us the news without bias.
      If we want opinion we can read The Conversation comments.

      Even tho I like David Marr as an individual, I can't watch him on TV because he is so partisan.(Labor).
      For the same reason I don't like Piers Ackerman (anti-Labor).

      Give them both their 5 minutes of opinion, but then we'd like a bit of objectivity from them and their ilk.

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    8. Craig Minns

      Self-employed

      In reply to Craig Minns

      A more egregious example, in which Penberthy praises Ellis and minimises her blunders in a hagiography of Emily's List.

      Not a word to be seen about the fact that they were in a relationship.

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    9. Craig Minns

      Self-employed

      In reply to Craig Minns

      Interesting, the story on the Galaxy poll has reappeared now, at just after midday. It would be fascinating to know the story behind those editorial decisions.

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    10. geoff mcquinn

      pensioner

      In reply to Craig Minns

      Craig
      Whatever our opinions are or how we view things we are not in the position of journos or paid commentators . Grattan has had the same article as this many times over the years with only some tweaks to make it relevant to the timeline . Stale , predictable and irrelevant and the pity is she didn,t retire to pass on her skills while she still had them . As it is Grattan may as well be doing cut and paste like Bishop .

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    11. Craig Minns

      Self-employed

      In reply to geoff mcquinn

      Sorry Geoff, I can't see the relevance to my comments. I agree with you with respect to Grattan though.

      Perhaps, as in any field, a long-term practitioner develops a set of boilerplate solutions that can be called on as required?

      Whilst I am hopeful her output will improve in her new gig, it should be remembered that her editor-in-chief is the former editor of the venerable Fairfax masthead The Age, so it may be reasonably expected that her standard fare will be met with some editorial approval.

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  64. Simon Black

    logged in via Twitter

    For those who think a Rudd challenge is a non-story - It's pretty simple. Rudd is popular. Gillard is unpopular. If the ALP sticks with Gillard, they will be utterly destroyed at the election. If they reinstate Rudd, they have a chance. What would you have journalists do? Cheer Gillard and the ALP on as they head for the abyss or provide some analysis as to their problems and possible solutions?

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    1. Craig Minns

      Self-employed

      In reply to Simon Black

      Simon, I say it's a non-story, because Rudd won't want a poisoned chalice.

      I think he'll continue to destabilise Gillard, out of both personal spite and in order to keep his face in front of the public and will allow the machine to instal someone else as leader, although who that might be escapes me.

      After the election debacle sees Labor reduced to a rump, he'll step up and "offer his services" as saviour, relying on an
      Abbott govt to do as the Newman one has in Qld and alienate the disaffected…

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    2. Chris Reynolds

      Education Consultant

      In reply to Simon Black

      It does not seem to have occurred to anyone that a proportion of survey/poll respondents are so partisan that they indicate support for the alternative leader in each major party as a political gesture of their own. the notion that poll surveys are "objective"or "scientific" Given this what sense can we make of these apparently contradictory poll results about leadership options? I think we should not take them that seriously.

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  65. John Clark

    Manager

    Despite the intense criticism of the article, the allure of gossip vs analysis is apparent with the number of contributions and interchanges. We are drawn in by the presentation despite ourselves. While an admitted conservative, I am struck by the way Gillard/Rudd morphs into denigration of Abbott. Could I pose a genuine question of contributors? I encounter a large number of people that express dislike/hate of Abbott, both as leader and person (by both Labor and Liberal voters). I have yet to hear any reasons to support this view. Why is it so?

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    1. Stephen John Ralph

      carer

      In reply to John Clark

      Hi John

      me thinks you just may have opened a can of worms.

      It probably isn't enough to say he can be soooo annoying (all politicians seem to learn that trait thru osmosis).

      Also like many other pollies he just keeps opening his mouth and spouting negative diatribe.
      In many instances it should be - if you dont have a policy to talk about in detail (cos we we want detail, not sketchy what ifs) dont say anything.

      But what should stand him apart is that he is seeking to become P.M. of Australia.

      Its one thing to have a cabinet minister or backbencher continually harping along party lines, but I believe a prospective P.M. should have a little more gravitas.

      Sure rebut the government de jour on its policies etc, but give us something more than we get.

      I think TA gets a lot of flack because he stands on top of his party's hill, and as such the buck stops right there.

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    2. Garry Baker

      resarcher

      In reply to John Clark

      That's a fairly simple one to answer. He's risen to a station in life beyond his level of expertise - And voters intuitively know it

      "Expertise" being the operative word, yet he's been elected as team leader of an even shallower lot, insofar as they put him there.

      Though to be fair, much the same could be said of the incumbents, where they have a proven track record of incompetence. - Thus, as a form of mutual disrespect, we make mirth of all of them, given that Australia is now in a big…

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    3. Mike Hansen

      Mr

      In reply to John Clark

      It is about his political views which are more Cory Bernardi than Malcolm Turnbull. He is not your typical Liberal - he started off in the DLP and it shows. He is much more conservative than mainstream Australia despite the attempts to redo his image.

      Abbott is also well out of his depth - a policy lightweight, he would make a good leader of the National Party. The Libs are doing their best to protect him from the media after the disastrous Leigh Sales interview. I suspect that they will succeed…

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  66. Lorraine Muller

    PhD - eternal student

    What I find really fascinating is that everyone, the media scrum, Gillard and co, seem to fully expect Rudd to keep his word not to challenge.

    How odd that generally the perception is that Rudd is a man of his word.

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  67. Michel Syna Rahme

    logged in via email @hotmail.com

    It's Sunday night and comments are still flowing on this article.

    It seems much more probable that Rudd will wait until September. If Gillard loses, it should be much easier for him to take over and gain the numbers. And he will destroy Abbott from the opposition. If the Labour caucus wake up, or they freak out about some lame poll as they did before axing Rudd, and he gains the numbers before the election, great, then we can get on with making this great country even better. Shame if we have to wait while Abbott takes us 100 steps back while the world laughs at us.

    Time to move on from this article and wait for Michelle's next article.

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  68. David Kenny

    Journalist/Writer

    I see Gratton's got nothing of any substance to write about so why not focus on a non story.....how about a bit more on the lack of any real policies by the opposition.....

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