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Articles on 2022 US midterm elections

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Pennsylvania’s independent voters helped elect Democrat John Fetterman, seen here, over the GOP contender for the U.S. Senate seat, Mehmet Oz. Jeff Swensen/Getty Images

Independent voters can be decisive in elections – but they’re pretty unpredictable, not ‘shadow partisans’

Pollsters, pundits and politicians all get it wrong when it comes to independent voters, who have become a crucial – and sometimes decisive – group in American politics.
Massachusetts Gov.-elect Maura Healey, at a Democratic election night party Nov. 8, 2022, in Boston. AP Photo/Michael Dwyer

A record-breaking number of women were elected governor in 2022 – here are 7 things to know about how that happened

Many factors contributed to a record number of women winning the governor’s office in 2022. Among them: It helps to have political experience.
Sen. Raphael Warnock, the incumbent Democrat, is up against Republican challenger Herschel Walker in a runoff election to choose who will represent Georgia in the U.S. Senate. AP Photo

Georgia runoff elections are exciting, but costly for voters and democracy

Georgians appreciate the national attention from the runoff election, but the cost and tendency for a drop in turnout may lead to reform of the state’s ballot contests.
Mehmet Oz speaks on Nov. 8, 2022, shortly before losing his bid for Pennsylvania senator during the midterm elections. Ed Jones/AFP via Getty Images

Celebrities in politics have a leg up, but their advantages can’t top fundraising failures

Celebrity politicians have instant name recognition. But unless they trump competitors in fundraising, and hit other check boxes, they aren’t any more likely to win than traditional politicians.
Andrew Harnik/AP/AAP

Think Trump is done for? Think again

Yes, the Republicans had a poor showing at the midterms and Trump’s 2024 announcement has had a muted reception. But there is still plenty of support for the former president and his MAGA movement.
Voters in the midterm elections decided that the GOP would run the House, while the Democrats would run the Senate. Liu Jie/Xinhua via Getty Images

Midterm election results reflect the hodgepodge of US voters, not the endorsement or repudiation of a candidate’s or party’s agenda

Lots has been said about the 2022 US midterm elections. But a scholar of democracy says there’s really only one conclusion that can be made about how voters behaved.
A prominent GOP poll said Democratic U.S. Sen. Maggie Hassan of New Hampshire would lose her re-election bid to a Republican. Hassan won by 9 percentage points. AP Photo/Charles Krupa

Some midterm polls were on-target – but finding which pollsters and poll aggregators to believe can be challenging

Polling for the 2022 midterms was more accurate than the dramatically wrong predictions of 2016 and 2020, leading one pollster to boast, ‘The death of polling has been greatly exaggerated.’
A young voter fills out her ballot at a polling site in Brooklyn, N.Y., on Nov. 8, 2022. Public polling underestimated the strength of the youth vote in the recent U.S. midterms. (AP Photo/John Minchillo)

Young U.S. voters reduced the ‘Red Wave’ to a ‘Pink Splash’ in the midterm elections — why didn’t polls predict it?

The U.S. midterms revealed a generational shift away from youth voter apathy. The apathetic, in fact, seem to be those trying to accurately measure public opinion using outdated methods.
Jim Marchant, Republican candidate for Nevada secretary of state, arrives at a rally in Henderson on Nov. 6, 2022. Anna Moneymaker/Getty Images

Voters largely reject election deniers as secretaries of state – but the partisan battle for election administration will continue

Voters mostly did not cast their ballots for chief election administration officials who deny the 2020 election. But the hyperpartisan trend could further erode trust in elections.

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