The Federal Reserve lifted rates for the second time this year and expects to do so once more, suggesting it’s fairly confident the economic recovery will continue. Is it overconfident?
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Treasurer Scott Morrison says Australia will “grow into growth”. Global economic conditions suggest otherwise.
House prices in Sydney and Melbourne are cooling, housing approvals are up, and everyone’s wondering if Australian banks have been lending too much.
Some seem to think the RBA is bullish on growth, but reading between the lines it seems to be hedging.
There’s been quite a bit of speculation over whether Australia has a property market bubble - where house prices are over-inflated compared to a benchmark - and when it might burst. According to housing…
In the lead-up to the federal budget, the government has made a number of significant and sometimes surprising policy announcements.
Wages are sluggish, underemployment seems stubbornly high, and there is a continued push to part-time rather than full-time employment.
Negative gearing plus inadequate supply plus low wage growth equals financial distress.
Economists struggle to agree on when and where housing bubbles occur, but bubbles all have similar characterisitics.
Declining interest rates has made housing more affordable over the past thirty years, but it has also increased the risk for homebuyers.
Australia’s central bank is still trying to walk a delicate tightrope.
While borrowers may not be thrilled by the Federal Reserve’s decision to raise rates, many of us have plenty of reason to celebrate.
Uncertainty about energy prices and political dithering on company tax rates point to businesses waiting before investing heavily.
It is a puzzle as to why businesses are reasonably confident but not willing to invest.
If the stars align, consumers will benefit from increased economic activity in the short term. And if they don’t, then the economic recovery will have consumers saving more in uncertain times.
Investor loans are on the increase again, causing pause for the regulators.
Home owners and first time buyers are right to be confused, so how should you play expected changes to a low rates environment?
Brexit and Trump pave the way for more financial market uncertainty.
My Christmas fiscal wish is that in 2017 both sides of politics treat the Australian public like adults.
The US Fed meets expectations for a rate cut, Australia’s unemployment rate heads upwards again, and all eyes look to the mid year budget update.
Les contributeurs les plus fréquents
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Professor of Economics, UNSW Sydney
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Senior Lecturer, Research School of Economics, and Research Associate, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Australian National University
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Professorial Fellow, University of Canberra
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Professor, Warwick Business School, University of Warwick
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Senior Lecturer in Economics, The Open University
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Associate Professor of Finance, Mississippi State University
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Lecturer in Economics, Monash University
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Senior Lecturer, Canberra School of Politics, Economics and Society, University of Canberra
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Visiting Fellow, Crawford School of Public Policy, Australian National University
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Associate Professor in Economics, University of Leeds
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Professor of Finance and Business Economics, University of Southern California
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Visiting Faculty in Economics, Emory University
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Professor of Finance, University of Liverpool
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Professor of Macroeconomics, University of Sydney
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Associate Professor of Markets, Public Policy and Law, Boston University
