The two central banks were due to raise rates aggressively, but then came the banking crisis.
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Articles sur Interest rates
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Big interest rate hikes could cause more market turmoil, while doing too little could have the same effect.
The banking crisis has been caused by the interest rate rises, and further hikes were supposed to be a no no.
Large Canadian banks are likely not at risk of bank failures, but history suggests smaller, more niche financial service firms could be.
The latest consumer prices report shows cost of living is still rising far above the Fed’s target. But don’t expect monetary policymakers to aggressively hike rates.
Lenders face a lot of risks, but two of them – interest rate and liquidity – were the main drivers of the sudden and rapid failure of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank. That’s why more trouble may be ahead for the banking sector.
The speed of SVB’s collapse was a surprise but central bankers can learn lessons from this failure.
SVB, as it’s known, collapsed with lightning speed following a run on its deposits.
The Fed has been trying to tame employment and wages to keep inflation in check. It ain’t working.
Central banks have been signalling that rate rises are going to get more aggressive again, but can the economy actually take it?
Reserve Bank of Australia governor Philip Lowe is unrepentant about the prospect of further interest-rate rises. In fact, he says there’s a risk the bank is not doing enough.
The Reserve Bank of Australia tips economic growth to slow, inflation to remain high, spending to stagnate, unemployment to increase and real wages to fall further.
The Fed lifted its benchmark interest rate just 0.25 percentage point following a series of much more aggressive rate hikes in 2022.
The US spent $232 billion paying interest on the national debt in the first quarter of 2023 as the Fed jacked up borrowing costs.
The rising cost of living doesn’t hit all Americans equally. Yet the benchmark figure for charting the rising cost of living excludes people in rural areas.
The reputation of the Bank of Canada will be undermined if the public believes the bank’s method of controlling inflation is no longer the right move.
Interest rates are almost certain to rise again in February, after the latest Consumer Price Index figures showing inflation hitting a record high of 7.8% in 2022.
Mortgage rates – and repayments – have risen significantly since this time last year.
Since foreign owners only represent a tiny segment of the housing market, it’s unlikely that Canada’s new ban on foreign homebuyers will make homes more affordable for Canadians.
While UK inflation could drop again in 2023, there is a lot of work to do to support the country’s economy.
Les contributeurs les plus fréquents
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Professor of Economics, UNSW Sydney
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Senior Lecturer, Research School of Economics, and Research Associate, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Australian National University
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Professorial Fellow, University of Canberra
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Professor, Warwick Business School, University of Warwick
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Senior Lecturer in Economics, The Open University
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Associate Professor of Finance, Mississippi State University
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Lecturer in Economics, Monash University
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Senior Lecturer, Canberra School of Politics, Economics and Society, University of Canberra
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Visiting Fellow, Crawford School of Public Policy, Australian National University
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Associate Professor in Economics, University of Leeds
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Professor of Finance and Business Economics, University of Southern California
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Visiting Faculty in Economics, Emory University
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Professor of Finance, University of Liverpool
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Professor of Macroeconomics, University of Sydney
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Associate Professor of Markets, Public Policy and Law, Boston University
