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Contrary to expectations, Victoria failed to deliver a government majority to Labor. Wes Mountain/The Conversation, CC BY-ND

State of the states: Queensland and Tasmania win it for the Coalition

The Tasmanian seats of Bass and Braddon were always going to be key elements of a Coalition victory – and so it proved to be.
The betting market puts the chance of a Labor victory at about 77% nationally. Wes Mountain/The Conversation, CC BY-ND

State of the states: odds on for a Labor win, but don’t bet on it

Recent polling suggests the race is tightening. Then again, opinion polling suggested the recent Victorian state election would also be a close affair and it turned out to be a Labor landslide.

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