Women in England, Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland will all soon be advised to start screening for cervical cancer at 25 years, and those aged between 50 and 64 years to screen every five years rather than every three. And a review of the Australian National Cervical Screening Program is considering whether it should make the same recommendations.
The Australian review is considering evidence on the screening starting age and the interval between Pap smears, as well as different screening technologies such as Liquid Based Cytology (LBC) and primary HPV testing. It coincides the with major changes in similar programs in the United Kingdom based on recommendations by the UK National Screening Committee (NSC).
The policy change was made in England in 2003 and Northern Ireland in 2010. And following a recent review, the protocol has been recommended for extension to both Scotland and Wales.
The changes are based on evidence that screening women under 25 offers little benefit. In fact, screening this age group arguably causes “more harm than good” with little or no health benefit, and potential physical, psychological, and economic harms. Cervical cancer is extremely rare in young women and the efficacy of screening drops as age decreases.
In a large UK population-based study, researchers found evidence that screening women aged 20 to 24 “has little or no impact on cervical cancer” and that there was virtually no difference in cancer incidence between women who were screened within that age range and those who were not.
These findings are supported by a better understanding of the cause and natural history of cervical cancer. Human papillomavirus (HPV) is the primary cause of cervical cancer and cervical abnormalities detected at screening. HPV infection in young women represents a transient or short-term infection that can be spontaneously cleared by the immune system. It’s only persistent infection that causes severe or clinically significant cervical abnormalities and cancer, and it’s this kind of HPV infection that is important to detect and treat.
Screening young women results in the detection and over-treatment of transient infections, which would otherwise clear naturally. Detection and treatment of inconsequential disease has important negative consequences for young women, with evidence of psychosocial harm (worry, anxiety, guilt and concerns about infertility and relationships), economic costs (treatment and sick leave) and potential physical harm because the treatment of the cervix is linked to perinatal mortality and adverse pregnancy outcomes.
The UK NSC also highlighted the impact of the HPV vaccine program on reducing infection and cervical abnormalities in young women, suggesting vaccination would further reduce any benefit of screening found in the younger age group.
The policy change is consistent with the International Agency of Research on Cancers (IARC) 2005 review of cervix screening, which states that “organised programs should not include women aged less than 25 years in their target populations”. The IARC also recommends a three-year screening interval for women aged 25 to 49 years and five years for women between 50 and 65.
The recommendation for longer screening intervals by both IARC and the UK NSC is based on evidence that the benefit of screening every two years, rather than three, is small. Similarly, screening every three years (rather than five years) from age 50 onwards offers little health benefit with a increase in protection of 4% (from 83% five yearly to 87% three yearly), yet a substantial increase in program costs of around 60% to 66%.
In Australia, two-yearly cervical screening begins at 18 or two years after the start of sexual activity, whichever is later. Approximately 450,000 women under 25, and 1.1 million women over 50 were screened in 2008-2009.
Australia has a high-quality and very effective cervical screening program and has taken a leading role in providing HPV vaccination in school-based programs. Cervical cancer incidence and mortality (nine in every 100,000 and two in every 100,000 women aged 20 to 69, respectively) are low by international standards, and the numbers have halved since the introduction of a national organised screening program in 1991.
Continuing this leading role, while minimising unnecessary harm, particularly the over-treatment of young women, should be a priority.
Nevertheless disparities remain. Cervical cancer incidence and mortality are significantly higher among Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander women compared to the rest of the Australian population, and are also higher in women living in remote and very remote areas. Women in the highest fifth of the social strata have the lowest cervical cancer incidence and mortality.
The current review offers an opportunity to renew the Australian cervical screening program to maximise benefit, while minimising harm and redirecting resources in beneficial and cost-effective ways. It’s an opportunity to deliver a cervical screening program that is beneficial, accessible and acceptable to all Australian women.
Elizabeth Hart
Independent Vaccine Investigator
Why isn’t Ian Frazer’s article “Catch cancer? No thanks, I’d rather have a shot!” linked to in the Related Articles section? Here’s the link: http://theconversation.edu.au/catch-cancer-no-thanks-id-rather-have-a-shot-7568
Read moreIn his article Professor Frazer says: “Through sexual activity, most of us will get infected with the genital papillomaviruses that can cause cancer. Fortunately, most of us get rid of them between 12 months to five years later without even knowing we’ve had the infection. Even…
Dave Hawkes
Research Officer (Viral tools and Neuropeptides) at The Florey Institute of Neuroscience and Mental Health
There is currently a 1.9/100,000 annual rate for deaths due to cervical cancer in Australia, and that approximately 70% of those cancers are associated with the two subtypes of HPV that are included in the vaccine. It has been well demonstrated that HPV infection is a critical component for the development of cervical cancer, in short the vaccine will, and is, preventing the development of cervical cancers. However as will all medical procedures there is a cost/benefit to be examined. There do not…
Read moreElizabeth Hart
Independent Vaccine Investigator
As mentioned in my first comment on this article, I’m not convinced that universal HPV vaccination can be justified, and I’m concerned about the possibility of ‘unintended consequences’ with the use of this vaccine.
Read moreFor example, Charlotte Haug raises questions about HPV vaccination, including “…another serious question that may be answered sooner: what effect will the vaccine have on the other cancer-causing strains of HPV? Nature never leaves a void, so if HPV-16 and HPV-18 are suppressed by an…
Dave Hawkes
Research Officer (Viral tools and Neuropeptides) at The Florey Institute of Neuroscience and Mental Health
The usual work from Elizabeth
" I’m not convinced that universal HPV vaccination can be justified"
Evidence for this statement?
In addition, if HPV strains 6, 11, 16 and 18 are eliminated then, by definition, the percentage of cases of HPV ocaused by the other 60 or so HPV strains would go up, it is known as natural selection. The question over how many are carcenogenic is a good one but since 70% of cervical cancers contain either HPV strain 16 or 18 it is a reasonable assumption that the other…
Read moreIngrid Suter
PhD Candidate at University of Queensland
While statistically it may make sense to screen women 25yrs and above, I was one of the outliers who was diagnosed with cervical cancer at age 20. I was stage 2, goodness knows how advanced my cancerous cells would have been by age 25. I was successfully treated at age 20 and remain cancer free since then. Based on my own experience my daughters will be having pap smears from a much earlier age than 25. I really can't see what the problems are with that, testing is surely a good thing.
Sue Ieraci
Public hospital clinician
Hi, Ingrid - what you are doing sounds appropriate for your family.
While these are population-wide recommendations, it makes sense for people at higher risk to have more frequent screening - whether it be for bowel, breast or cervical cancer.
Mary Payne
logged in via Facebook
Why are we even still talking about pap smears? - an antiquated test that can't differentiate between real cancer precursers or some transient abnormality. The pap smear would never be released as a screening tool today, as it so unreliable.
We have HPV tests, why isn't that being used as a first line of defence in cervical cancer? Some European countries have ditched the pap in favour of this and then only offer pap smears to those who are HPV positve.
It would easily protect many women from unnecessary treatment if we adopted that system. ( And yes I realise that not all HPV+ women develop cancer but we know that HPV- women definitely do not).
I don't know why Australia lags so far behind other countries in cervical screening, but as one doctor in the BMJ noted, Australian gynaecologists have a "lucrative sideline" in the pap smear branch of women's health.
Sue Ieraci
Public hospital clinician
Both Pap tests and HPV screening involve taking a smear of cervical cells. The samples are then sent for two tests - one to look for the implicated strains of HPV virus in the cells, and the other to look for abnormalities in the cells. The two results are complementary.
It seems unlikely that doing a smear would be a big money-spinner for gynaecologists - it only involves one procedure, and a vast number are done by GPs or women's health nurses on medicare anyway.
Debra Brown
logged in via Twitter
Actually there is no need for an invasive test. I know the Dutch and some other countries are offering women a self-test device to check for HPV, it was invented by Dutch gynaecologists.
Read moreThe "lucrative" nature of our program...that is probably referring to our very high referral rates. I know one study by Kavanagh et al put the lifetime risk of colposcopy and biopsy after an "abnormal"pap test to be 77% here in Australia, due to serious over-screening.(almost all are false positives)
The lifetime…
Sue Ieraci
Public hospital clinician
HI, Debra
What is the nature of this self-test device, and its accuracy and reliability? Who checks technique and reading of results?
Mary Payne
logged in via Facebook
I understand what is involved with the tests although as Debra Brown pointed out there are alternative ways of collecting cell samples by the way of self HPV test.
Read moreI also know that it is GPs and health nurses who take the vast majority of smears. The big money spinner that Dr O'Mahony in the BMJ2009:339:b3426 refers to is " In Europe and Australia the management of cervical cytology and lesions in women under 25 is a lucrative sideline for gynaecologists. They justify the practice by saying that…
Mary Payne
logged in via Facebook
I think you'll find studies comparing the senstitvity and specificity of self HPV tests to HPV test taken by doctors as well as comparisons to pap tests.
Read moreFor example "Accuracy and cost-effectiveness of cervical cancer screening by high-risk human papillomavirus DNA testing of self-collected vaginal samples." by Balasubramanian et al in the Journal of Lower Genital Tract Diseases.
"Compared to cytology-based screening, high-risk HPV DNA testing of self-collected vaginal samples was more sensitive…
Sue Ieraci
Public hospital clinician
Thanks, Mary
The trade-off with a test that is more sensitive (picks up more possible cases) but is less specific (more of the positive results are false-positives) is that more people then need to go on to further testing for confirmation.
One paper I read suggested that self-testing for vaginal HPV might be preferable to lack of screening in communities where routine pap smears are not accessed.
I'm not sure whether the same argument applies in our society, where there is easy access and…
Read moreDebra Brown
logged in via Twitter
Sue, The Delphi Screener is the self-test device invented by Dutch gynaecologists.
The Delphi Bioscience site can provide more information.
Studies have shown it's very reliable and as I mentioned, it's already being used in the Netherlands and elsewhere. I think many women would prefer the option of self-testing.
The important point: HPV primary triage testing (and self-testing) used properly, in "an evidence based" program, (like the new Dutch program) takes most women out of pap testing…
Read moreElizabeth Hart
Independent Vaccine Investigator
Debra, re your comment that only 5% of women aged 30 to 60 years are HPV+ and at risk”. Have you got a reference for that?
I was also interested in your comments: “HPV primary testing is not recommended for those under 30 as about 40% would test positive, almost all have transient and harmless infections that will clear in a year or so” and “but young women produce the most false positives, so testing leads to over-investigation and potentially harmful over-treatment”.
Debra, what is your opinion of HPV vaccination, i.e. vaccinating all girls and boys with 3 shots of HPV vaccine?
Dave Hawkes
Research Officer (Viral tools and Neuropeptides) at The Florey Institute of Neuroscience and Mental Health
Hi again Elizabeth,
Please try not to confuse the issue. HPV strains 16 and 18 have been associated with approximately 70% of cervical cancers. The current HPV vaccine targets 4 sub types of HPV including the strains 16 and 18. While contracting HPV is not enough to cause there current literature suggests that an absence of HPV heavily reduces the chances of having cervical cancer.
Isnt it easier to just prevent HPV rather than relying on screening measures (though these are still an important part of the public health approach).
Sue Ieraci
Public hospital clinician
Hi, Debra
The manufacturer's site confirms what I discussed above "High-risk HPV testing is 5-8% less specific than cytology and there is a need to find a strategy that increases the specificity of the high-risk HPV DNA testing while maintaining its high sensitivity."
Lower specificity means that there will be more false positives.
The site says that they are working on this. It certainly seems promising for when the specificity can be brought up to the level of cytology.
I agree with you, and the article, that young women are at very low risk of cervical cancer. Self-testing seems promising, but not yet ready to replace pap smears.
Sue Ieraci
Public hospital clinician
We are likely to see a big change in HPV and cervical cancer epidemiology when our current teenagers reach old age, as HPV transmission will be gradually reduced by vaccination.
Debra Brown
logged in via Twitter
Sue,
"Lower specificity means that there will be more false positives."
But a LOT less than with population pap testing...false positives and over-treatment are a BIG problem with our program. If used properly, confining HPV primary testing to women aged 30 to 60, only about 5% will be HPV+ and offered pap tests. About 95% of women aged 30 to 60 will avoid unnecessary pap testing and the risk of over-treatment. Surely the vast majority of women deserve some consideration, they cannot benefit…
Read moreDebra Brown
logged in via Twitter
Hi Elizabeth,
HPV Today, Edition 24, sets out in lots of detail the new Dutch program. (including the 5% figure) You'll need to register, but it's free.
I'd say be very careful with all official information and do your own research on Gardasil. I've found the information we receive on cervical and breast cancer screening to be one-sided, incomplete and even misleading. I haven't spent a lot of time researching Gardasil, but find it amazing there is seemingly limitless funding to fight this rare…
Read moreSue Ieraci
Public hospital clinician
Debra - if your assertion that the false positives are "a LOT less...", then why do the manufacturers and marketers themselves say:
""High-risk HPV testing is 5-8% less specific than cytology and there is a need to find a strategy that increases the specificity of the high-risk HPV DNA testing while maintaining its high sensitivity."
It seems to me that they are not recommending that their product replaces cytology until the specificity improves. Sounds sensible.
As for the population to be screened - it seems that we both agree with the article author - there is too low a yield to be screening young women.
Elizabeth Hart
Independent Vaccine Investigator
Gardasil was originally rejected by the Pharmaceutical Benefits Advisory Committee (PBAC) in 2006.
Read moreAn article by Matthew Stevens in The Australian at the time, reports the PBAC rejected Gardasil because it was "too expensive and, just maybe, not what it was cracked up to be anyway".(1) Apparently,Tony Abbott, then the Federal Health Minister "took to the airwaves, passing on PBAC's concerns about the efficacy of Gardasil and even floating the bizarre idea that a misplaced confidence in the effectiveness…
Dave Hawkes
Research Officer (Viral tools and Neuropeptides) at The Florey Institute of Neuroscience and Mental Health
Elizabeth,
Yet another post where you try and both promote your website and your unfounded hatred of vaccines. I looked up your citation of a newspaper article in 2006 and you appear to cherry pick quotes, here another from the same article;
"Well, any idea that Gardasil is not an effective preventive treatment for cervical cancer has been put to rest by the PM. The evidence is in. Professor Frazer, CSL and Merck say Gardasil provides 100 per cent protection from the cause of 70 per cent of…
Read moreChelsea Farry
logged in via Facebook
Hi,
My name is Chelsea and last year at age 23 I was diagnosed with cervical cancer - Stage 1B1. I had no symptoms. My previous pap smear was approximately three years earlier. I was approximately one year overdue from the recommended two yearly pap smears and if it weren't for those guidelines I would never have gone and had one.
The pap smear detected a 'possible high grade glandular lesion' and I was referred to see a gynaecologist.
Read moreAfter further testing a tumour was discovered in…