To quote American baseball manager Yogi Berra, it was “déjà vu all over again” last night when I listened to Tony Abbott’s budget reply. I was back in the 1970s but without the big-collared shirts and clunky shoes. And I felt like invoking Hawaii Five-0, saying “Book ‘em, Danno" for the crimes of partisan hyperbole and assassination of complexity.
When I heard Abbott shrilly asserting the crime of “class warfare” by Labor, I thought of Malcolm Fraser and his rhetoric about radical, socialist big government. Likewise, there was Abbott glorifying the Coalition as the party supporting small business, self-reliant citizens and reward for hard work.
It is amusing to think that only Abbott and Trotskyists talk publicly these days about class struggle. You won’t find the Labor Party walking that talk any more. That stopped in the 1960s under Whitlam, and the Hawke and Keating governments certainly put paid to such notions. So Abbott’s accusations sit awkwardly next to the complaints on the left about the selling-out of Labor.
Even John Howard highlighted the changed Labor philosophy in his recent autobiography by strongly contrasting Whitlam, who expanded government spending to replace private enterprise, with Kevin Rudd, who expanded government spending to help private enterprise.
Meanwhile, Swan and Gillard still tried to stir some ghosts of Labor past by claiming theirs was a traditional Labor budget that helped the battlers.
Of course, the contradictions continue to pile on top of each other. Last night Abbott invoked an archaic piece of left terminology in order to frighten swinging voters about the radicalism (eh?) of Labor, as if denying tax write-offs for business trips and reducing superannuation contributions was some Marxist monstering of the ruling classes.
If those are the measures of radicalism, then Robert Menzies and Dwight Eisenhower must be revolutionary communists: much higher and more widespread tax rates were quite acceptable during their times.
While conjuring ghosts of Labor past with clarion calls of class struggle, Abbott was also trying to deny Gillard and Swan their claims to it, using his speech to mourn a “once honourable party”. This was, of course all done with tongue firmly planted in his check. Abbott wants to replace the Light on the Hill with the Right on the Hill by appealling to Labor voters.
And, of course, right-wing, capitalist Abbott refused left-wing, socialist Labor the chance to reduce company tax, but blames Labor for cancelling the commitment. He did remind me of the hysterical complaints from the right of rampant socialism in 1973 when Whitlam reduced tariffs by 25% and removed the superphosphate bounty. Think about that for the current parallels: free-market reforms introduced by a Labor government attacked by the guardians of free enterprise.
Both left and right have always used each other as means of navigating their own quests for meaning and ideology. Each party, then, cannot do without the other, just as the terms left and right have no meaning without each other. Thus, the Coalition has always used Labor to complain of big government while proclaiming their own capitalist purity. Therefore, last night Abbott mouthed the usual stuff of hard work, small business and reward and insisted the government live within its means just as households have to, and reducing the “massive” debt.
Despite implications, Abbott has not declared himself a believer in small government with a desire to slash government spending across the board. He just talks of reducing Labor’s spending, not of reducing spending for constituencies he wants to attract. And lots of Australians believe in reduced government spending – for other people but not for themselves for they, of course, are hard-working battlers who are hard done by.
Neither party is willing to annoy too many constituencies. That’s why the government turned around the budget without making hard cuts. That’s also why Abbott talked of cutting the carbon and minerals taxes and why there were the usual attacks on the “tribes of public servants” (boo hiss to them for wasting all our hard earned dollars; they’re not battlers like us).
With Tony, it will be all so easy to get rid of all that nasty debt and reduce government spending – while also covering the income lost from carbon and mineral taxes. And, like the proverbial magic pudding, more would suddenly spew forth from the Australian economy.
On matters of debt, he treats Australians as if they are paragons of virtue. But the dirty secret of the past 20 or more years is that no politician has wished to commit political hara kiri by telling many Australians to pull their heads in. Private debt stands at 150% of GDP. It’s only gone down because the GFC frightened many people into cutting back spending. If only private debt was as low as our government debt!
Abbott complained about government measures that mean “a full pensioner faces up to $10,000 a year more for in-home aged care and up to $25,000 a year more for residential care”.
Is he backing the Coalition away from means-testing social security, the bedrock of our welfare system, for more universal entitlement? If so, that is truly Whitlamesque. Similarly, he complained the government’s National Disability Insurance Scheme “was short-changed $2.9 billion from the Productivity Commission’s version”. Will Abbott also pony up to that?
On this matter of the Alice in Wonderland unreality of Abbott’s stand, he repeated the intention to turn back the refugee boats, even though the Indonesians and the Immigration Department either refuse to cooperate or deny that it can work.
As I said, things have always been messier than the usual partisan labels allow and it is always useful to probe partisan hyperbole of either side.
However, now I think we are in the era of zombie politics when the party corpses mouth words that remind us of the past but are effectively brain dead. Recently, the conservative American thinker Francis Fukuyama wrote an essay challenging the left for its failure in ideas for social justice in this age of globalisation. “This absence of a plausible progressive counter-narrative” was, he said, unhealthy.
Equally, however, the right is effectively caught by this problem of globalisation. The nostrums from die-hard sections of the right are more economic rationalism, more of the same that got us into the global financial crisis in the first place. Mitt Romney is a zombie repeating such recipes for America’s malaise.
Yet most Australians are opposed to them, opposed to more privatisations and the other measures. What will Abbott do in power when faced by such voters on one side and by business on the other which still believes in such measures for their bottom lines?
Both sides are focused solely on the short-term battles and struggles of survival. This suits Abbott as, to borrow from his past time as a boxer, he is good in the clinches.
But we don’t know what he believes. It is a melange of things designed to carry him into the Lodge. It seems as though he is letting the mounting contradictions wait until he gets there. But he will find himself immediately backed into a place that the ALP took five years of political incompetence to nurture – a corner.
Leslie Cleary
Pensioner
I started watching Mr Abbott's reply to the budget but got lost after ten minutes in times gone past. Referring back to the Howard Government in a budget reply speech? I though he got voted out by his own electorate when Kevin 07 came into office. I thought, as you have written, that we had gotten over this class distinction between us and them. But apparently we are not. I can remember when the Howard Government was voted out of office and Mr.Abbott cried poor because he could not afford on opposition salary to send his daughters to their private school. So I suppose he has to look after the top end of town who appear to be doing it tough.
Ah the good old days,when we were promised that there would not be a GST while the Liberal Coalition was in power. And now when they get into power they are going to revoke the Carbon & Minerals Tax. So tell me Mr Abbott and Mr Hockey where and how are you going to plug that black hole of lost income?
Peter Ormonde
Peter Ormonde is a Friend of The Conversation.
Farmer
Good piece ....
The interesting thing about Abbott I reckon is his complete disinterest in policies. This is pretty unusual for a bloke who has dedicated his life to politics. Some have interpreted Abbott's policy vacuum as a strategic ploy but I wouldn't be too sure. It's not that he doesn't want to - it's that he actually can't.
Details and policies are for bureaucrats and advisers... not for a lean hungry political prowler like Tony... a rottweiler rather than a fox.
So, even when he has a chance to put some light between the Liberal Party and the Government - to show how they are different - to pick some winners and play to them at least - he can't. Instead he falls into an empty rhetorical attack from the distant days of his childhood.
It remains to be seen whether that grimacing and snarling will be enough to win an election, or if those more serious players in the Liberal Party can tolerate the empty racket.
carolyn fisher
life traveller
see my comment below re bets on!
Hugh Sturgess
Student
I think this is spot on. His absence of vision and his habit of making up new policies and "initiatives" on the spot isn't the kind of ideological one-mindedness of John Hewson or the vacuous conservatism of Howard, but simply disengagement. The carbon tax, the mining tax, maternity leave, engagement with Asia (his recent "40% of Year 12 students will learn a foreign language" surprise, or his promise of a "Jakarta focus" in an article in the SMH and nowhere else) - he doesn't seem to care about…
Read moreIan Ritchie
mad
'a place that the ALP took five years of political incompetence to nurture'
Politically incompetent they may be, but they (the ALP and the independents) are certainly not incompetent at governing and getting legislation through.
Mr Abbott on the other hand is, to my mind, very clever politically, however it takes more than political tricks and vitriolic bluster to be a true leader and to run a country. As for the rest of the team, well ...
I have a very bad feeling about this.
carolyn fisher
life traveller
Well said Ian. Couldn't agree more. Especially about the last line. Mind you, Malcolm is quietly sitting there in the wings. Friends have put money on him snatching back leadership just prior to the next election. Dunno about that one.
Jack Arnold
Director
The Opposition Leader without party support (Minchin & Slipper have departed the Liberal Party, so the Abbott's one vote majority has gone with them) is desperate for personal power & completely disinterested in improving Australia for the benefit of Australians. The two pretenders, Pyne & Hockey, are waiting in the wings for his "You're all Commos" moment to dispatch him to political oblivion. Meanwhile, waiting in the wings with the blessing of the numbers men is King Malcolm. Expect a tap on the shoulder about 30 June 2012.
Craig Somerton
IT Professional
Great article Mark.
Abbott may be a Rhodes Scholar and politically quite clever, but I fear deeply for the nation should he every reach ascendancy.
Abbott is the archetypal example of the worst elements pervading the political sphere; reactionary, opportunistic, pragmatic, populist, partisan, and short-sighted.
If this is the best leader the opposition can deliver, it is no wonder most Australians are frustrated with the current state of politics.
As much as many of my friends and colleagues may dislike Gillard, their opinion of Abbott comprises loathing, hatred and dread.
Aicha Marhfour
Student
'This was, of course all done with tongue firmly planted in his check' should be 'cheek.' :)
My thoughts are with Craig on this one.
Al Black
Business Analyst
Obviously none of you have actually met Abbott - he is very down to earth for a man of such intellectual abilities. The single lasting impression one gets of this man is his likable nature and his genuine desire to help his fellow Australians. He gave up his ambition to be a priest because he believed that through politics he could help the entire country, not just one parish.
Read moreThe contradictions you speak of are a Rhode's Scholar's ability to see both sides of an issue, rather than using ideology…
Mike Hansen
Mr
What does a Business Analist do Al? It sounds painful.
The problem with your narrative is that it does not accord with the facts.
Abbott may well be likeable on a personal level - I have never met him - but in your own words he strikes me as "one of the most cunning and unprincipled political schemers in Australian history."
On climate change, he changes his tune depending on the audience. In front of a far right audience where climate denial is a cause celebre it is "climate change is crap". In front of a more discerning audience he claims to have the same mitigation targets as the ALP although even his supporters acknowledge the policy as token.
We need a government that governs for all Australians - not just the mining billionaires.
Bob Weis
Film maker
hear hear Mike
Peter Ormonde
Peter Ormonde is a Friend of The Conversation.
Farmer
Yes I was wondering about that myself Mike - hoping against hope that I was wrong - but I suspect I'm not given the contribution.
Tony Abbott was my local member for far too many years on the Northern Beaches of Sydney. I got to know him pretty well largely becasue he would turnm up at anything from a fun run to the opening of a cereal packet, with a flock of cameras ... and effectively take it over. He would do this month after month. Everything and everyone was a backdrop.
And, to be…
Read moreCraig Somerton
IT Professional
I'm not judging him on whether he is a "nice bloke". I'm judging him on his leadership and whether I believe he would make a great leader for our nation. So far, I am not impressed.
Chris O'Neill
Telecommunications Engineer
"and his good mate Peter Costello..."
Yeah.
Bob Weis
Film maker
what a good piece although I was a little confused by the last comment from a self confessed business analist.
In any case what is more distressing is the media focus on destroying the government message on the economy and other issues of the day. While one can understand the problems of the Murdoch press and now the Fairfax (Rhinehart) media it is bewildering to watch the Budget live and then see the ABC "analysis". Poor old Aunty has not recovered from the days and years of bashing by John Howard and his cronies (remember Alston).
What we are looking at is not a right-left divide in pre-1960's terms but a minority government which is sticking to the main job of government and an opposition which will use any tricks, means or sordid tactics to gain what they believe is their god given right.
David Arthur
n/a
To date, the high point of Abbott's political career was the day when he despatched one of his electoral office staff to Queensland to advise Pauline Hanson and David Ettridge on the best way to establish their nascent political movement. It was Mr Abbott who subsequently took the hat around some WA Liberal Party donors to fund an action to recover Electoral Commission funds that had been claimed by One Nation - wrongfully claimed because One Nation hadn't been correctly constituted as a political Party.
To his credit, Mr Abbott subsequently displayed some chagrin after Hanson and Ettridge were subsequently imprisoned over the same issue.
The staffer's name was David Oldfield.
The staffer's name was David Oldfield.
David Arthur
n/a
Paul Keating adapted his politics and philosophy from Jack Lang. Tony Abbott seems to have developed his politics from the boxing ring.
His philosophy, on the other hand, is straight from Bob Santmaria.