# Articles on Statistics

## How to boil down a pile of diverse research papers into one cohesive picture

Researchers need to be able to draw conclusions based on previously published studies in their field. A new aggregation method synthesizes prior findings and may help reveal more of the big picture.

## New statistical methods would let researchers deal with data in better, more robust ways

Any field that collects and analyzes data relies on statistical techniques to make sense of it all. Modern, more accurate methods should supplant the old ways... but in many cases, they haven't yet.

## Bayes’ Theorem: the maths tool we probably use every day, but what is it?

The decisions we make in life often come down to Bayes' Theorem, but most of us don't even realise what it is. So how does it work?

## The extraordinary return of sea otters to Glacier Bay

Sea otters had been absent from this Alaskan national park for at least 250 years. By marrying math and statistics, scientists map this animal's successful comeback.

## Maximizers vs. minimizers: The personality trait that may guide your medical decisions – and costs

Just about everyone wants medical care, but some want it a lot more. We discovered a personality trait that explains why it's hard to improve health care outcomes and costs.

## Paradoxes of probability and other statistical strangeness

Sometimes statistics and probability can produce unexpected or counter-intuitive results. If we're hoping to use numbers to make good decisions, we should be wary of the traps.

## Worried about shark attacks or terrorism? Here’s how to think about the real risk of rare events

We naturally overestimate the risk of rare events, like shark attacks or terrorism. But there are things you can do to think more rationally about the real risk.

## The seven deadly sins of statistical misinterpretation, and how to avoid them

Here are some all-too-common errors when it comes to interpreting statistics, and how to avoid them.

## Momentum isn’t magic – vindicating the hot hand with the mathematics of streaks

For 30 years, sports fans have been told to forget about streaks because the 'hot hand' is a fallacy. But a reanalysis says not so fast: Statistics show players really are in the zone sometimes.

## Regression to the mean, or why perfection rarely lasts

Things tend to revert back to their typical state over time, so we should be careful not to mistake that for some other trend.

## Errors in Centrelink’s debt recovery system were inevitable, as in all complex systems

The Centrelink debt recovery system reminds us that many data systems are prone to error, and that's built in to how they work.

## FactCheck Q&A: is violent crime getting worse in Victoria and do people feel less safe than ever?

Energy and Environment Minister Josh Frydenberg said he thought that Victorians have never felt more unsafe, and that burglaries, assaults and murders are rising year-on-year. Is he right?

## Beyond the data: five important lessons we can learn from Hans Rosling

Hans Rosling taught us more than just the facts the data presented

## Hans Rosling was an incredibly entertaining presenter of the facts – and he made a huge impact

The world has lost a fantastic statistician at a time when the communication of facts is crucial.

## We need to find new ways to measure the Australian labour force

The ABS' labour force survey is more than 50 years old. We need a new way of measuring employment for a new modes of work.

## In a world awash with data, is the census still relevant?

The Australian Census has been taken since 1911. But is it still necessary in today's world of mass digital data collection?

## Lies, damned lies and statistics: why reporters must handle data with care

Is the news media using data journalism properly?

## One reason so many scientific studies may be wrong

P hacking is manipulating data and research methods to achieve statistical signifiance. And it could be why so many research papers are false.

## Just how unpredictable is the Premier League? Scientists have done the maths

Turns out the English Premier League is a lot more unpredictable than Spain's La Liga, which could be why it attracts so much funding.

## Forget the Census undercount, what matters is bias

If the response rate to the 2016 Census is lower than expected, it could compromise our ability to draw meaningful information from the data.