Things will continue to look good enough for long enough to help the government fight the election. Beyond that, the Conversation Economic Panel is worried.
Wes Mountain/The Conversation
The Conversation has assembled a forecasting team of 19 academic economists from 12 universities across six states. Together, they assign a 25% probability to a recession within two years.
With President Trump insisting on funding for his border wall and Democrats vehemently opposed, a partial government shutdown is possible. Here's what it could mean for the economy.
An Amazon employee applies tape to a package before shipment.
AP Photo/Patrick Semansky
The rise of superstar companies that dominate their industries may be partly to blame for the lack of wage growth in the US in recent years. It could also suggest a solution.
Minister for Finance Mathias Cormann said corporate tax cuts in the US had led to 'stronger investment, stronger growth, a lower unemployment rate and higher wages'. Let's take a closer look.
While the tariffs are unlikely to stem Chinese intellectual property theft or reverse the steep trade deficit, they are certain to hurt American companies and consumers.
An ice sculpture titled ‘Main Street Meltdown’ melts near Wall Street.
AP Photo/Frank Franklin II
The collapse of an obscure corner of the financial market a decade ago foreshadowed the Great Recession. The stock-market swoon in February should offer a similar warning.
Bush, seen here in 2006, revoked his steel tariffs less than two years after imposing them in 2002.
Reuters/Jason Reed
While many market observers blame growing concerns about inflation for the stock market crash, the real culprit may be fears that the economy is about to slow.
President Donald Trump delivers his State of the Union address to a joint session of Congress.
Reuters/Jonathan Ernst
Steven Pressman, Colorado State University; Greg Wright, University of California, Merced, and Stephanie L. Canizales, University of Southern California – Dornsife College of Letters, Arts and Sciences
Trump touted his administration's economic successes and laid out his immigration plan in an 80-minute speech to Congress. Our experts weigh in.
SAP CEO Bill McDermott and Siemens chief Joe Kaeser flank Trump as they praise him for his tax cut.
AP Photo/Evan Vucci
The billionaires, business leaders and other elites who gathered in Davos praised the president's policies, yet research on the politics of economic growth suggests it's too soon to celebrate.
At least one economist worries we’ll be mostly poorer.
AP Photo/Go Nakamura
The House just passed its version of the tax plan, which includes about US$1 trillion in cuts for corporations. The question, who will be left holding the potato?