The Conversation has assembled a forecasting team of 19 academic economists from 12 universities across six states. Together, they assign a 25% probability to a recession within two years.
Academic rigour, journalistic flair
Articles on US Economy
Displaying 1 - 20 of 131 articles
Donald Trump is eroding trust in the US – but the dollar's preeminence in global finance will easily withstand this.
With President Trump insisting on funding for his border wall and Democrats vehemently opposed, a partial government shutdown is possible. Here's what it could mean for the economy.
The rise of superstar companies that dominate their industries may be partly to blame for the lack of wage growth in the US in recent years. It could also suggest a solution.
With the unemployment rate at about the lowest level in almost 50 years, how much lower could it go? An economist explains.
Minister for Finance Mathias Cormann said corporate tax cuts in the US had led to 'stronger investment, stronger growth, a lower unemployment rate and higher wages'. Let's take a closer look.
The US economy has rarely looked stronger, but it could all come crashing down just in time for the next presidential election.
Across the US and the UK, major brick and mortar retailers are battling the effects of e-commerce – and town centres could be the next casualties.
The Trump administration wants China to cut its trade deficit with the US by more than half. An economist explains why that's not going to happen.
Chinese exports to the US grew rapidly during the quarter, but it could be a very different picture next time around.
While the tariffs are unlikely to stem Chinese intellectual property theft or reverse the steep trade deficit, they are certain to hurt American companies and consumers.
The collapse of an obscure corner of the financial market a decade ago foreshadowed the Great Recession. The stock-market swoon in February should offer a similar warning.
President Trump slapped steep tariffs on steel imports, echoing protectionist measures taken by Bush in 2002.
While many market observers blame growing concerns about inflation for the stock market crash, the real culprit may be fears that the economy is about to slow.
Trump touted his administration's economic successes and laid out his immigration plan in an 80-minute speech to Congress. Our experts weigh in.
The billionaires, business leaders and other elites who gathered in Davos praised the president's policies, yet research on the politics of economic growth suggests it's too soon to celebrate.
We asked four of our regular economics writers to examine a key theme they expect to flare up in 2018 and why.
The tax bill that just cleared the Senate contains sweeping changes to nearly every facet of American life.
The impetus to impose immigration restrictions to prevent entry of certain ethnic groups into the US is not a new one.
The House just passed its version of the tax plan, which includes about US$1 trillion in cuts for corporations. The question, who will be left holding the potato?
Top contributors
-
Australian Research Council Future Fellow, Griffith University
-
Senior lecturer, Boston University
-
Professor of Economics, UNSW
-
Associate Professor of Political Science, Georgia State University
-
Visiting Faculty in Economics, Emory University
-
Assistant Professor of Economics, University of California, Merced
-
Professor of Economics, Colorado State University
-
Assistant Professor, Miller Center, University of Virginia, and US Studies Centre, University of Sydney
-
Professor of Management, Co-Director of the MIT Sloan Institute for Work and Employment Research, MIT Sloan School of Management
-
Dean of the Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania
-
Lecturer, US Studies Centre, University of Sydney
-
US Election Analyst, University of Sydney
-
Associate Professor of Economics, Lehigh University
-
Associate Professor in the Practice of Finance, Emory University
-
Economist, Massachusetts Institute of Technology
