The Australia Institute (TAI) has recently used Census data to claim that the Tasmanian forest industry employs only 975 workers.
Based on this, they argued that the size of the political debate about logging of native forests in that state is at odds with the economic importance of the industry. This statement comes at a time when ongoing negotiations to resolve the conflict over Tasmania’s forests – started in 2010 – have missed yet another deadline for achieving an outcome.
At the same time, the forest industry is in rapid decline, a consequence of multiple factors ranging from the effects of the strong Australian dollar on wood product markets, to campaigns by environmental groups to reduce demand for Tasmania’s forest products.
TAI’s employment figures are wrong, as is the implication that an industry is unimportant unless it employs a large proportion of the labour force. These types of arguments do little to help resolve one of the more bitter and divisive of Australia’s environmental conflicts.
Generating employment estimates is an art as much as a science, with endless debate about which jobs should be counted as part of which industry. TAI’s estimates conveniently leave out many of the jobs usually considered part of the forest industry; while they include jobs generated by forest management and logging, they leave out those in wood and paper product manufacturing.
A more accurate reading of Census data shows that the industry employed 3,410 people in August 2011, when the Census was last undertaken. This included 1040 in forestry and logging (not the 975 claimed by TAI), a further 123 in forestry support services such as the growing of tree seedlings, 1771 in wood product manufacturing, and 476 in pulp and paper product manufacturing.
The exact data sources used for these estimates are provided in this table:
| Forest industry sector | Number of workers, August 2011 |
| Forestry and Logging | 1040 |
| Forestry Support Services | 123 |
| Wood Product Manufacturing | 1771 |
| Pulp, Paper and Converted Paper Product Manufacturing | 476 |
|
Total Tasmanian forest industry employment (excluding employment in craftwood, furniture making and boat building dependent on special species timbers) |
3410 |
|
Data source: ABS Census of Population and Housing 2011, downloaded using ABS TableBuilder. All data are based on ‘place of residence’ on Census night, and the data include all workers resident in Tasmania on Census night. All industry sectors listed are defined using the Australia New Zealand Standard Industry Classification, 2 digit classification, with the exception of Forestry Support Services, which is at the 3 digit classification level. |
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This figure does not include the jobs generated in woodcraft, furniture making and boat building by the use of “special species” timbers such as blackwood, as the Census does not enable estimates of these jobs to be made.
While their estimates are wrong, TAI are right that the forest industry is not the largest employer in Tasmania: those 3,410 jobs represented approximately 1.6% of employment in Tasmania in August 2011. Of course, like any industry, the 3,410 jobs will generate “flow-on” jobs that in turn support more employment throughout the economy.
Even after taking that into account, forestry employs fewer people than many other industries in Tasmania, including agriculture and retail trade, for example.
Debate over the number of jobs generated by politically contentious industries is nothing new. Back in 2006, the forest industry commonly reported it employed over 10,000 people in Tasmania. The reality was more like 6,400 people, something I identified in research that tracked Tasmanian forest industry jobs between 2006 and 2011 (funded by the Cooperative Research Centre for Forestry).
The figures we generated in that work have been widely used by people on all sides of the forestry debate. In our concluding report, we estimated 3,460 people were employed in the industry in May 2011 – an estimate very similar to the Census data we now have access to.
Given that accurate figures are readily available, one has to wonder why it is considered necessary to so radically underestimate employment in Tasmania’s forest industries. Whatever the reason, underestimating employment has a number of important consequences.
In particular, undervaluing the importance of the jobs the industry generates risks reducing the attention given to how changes in Tasmania’s forests affect the people who work in the forest industry, their families and their communities. An industry that generates fewer jobs can be more easily dismissed.
Changes to the forest industry – such as those being proposed in the ongoing negotiations between environmental groups, union and industry representatives – have real impacts on real people. All those involved in debates about the future of Tasmania’s forests have a responsibility to acknowledge that forest industry workers, their families, and the communities they live in, currently experience real fear, anxiety and uncertainty about their future on a daily basis.
The research colleagues and I undertook in Tasmania in 2011 demonstrated that many of those who have lost employment, as well as the many who are currently underemployed due to lack of work in the industry, experience financial and personal loss on a daily basis.
TAI is right that Tasmania’s economy as a whole is not nearly as dependent on forestry as it was historically, and that several other industries in Tasmania employ more workers. But those forest industry jobs still matter. While Hobart may not be significantly affected by a loss of jobs in the industry, many other, smaller towns would be (and have been in recent years).
To suggest that the industry is too small to warrant attention demeans the profound difficulties faced by the 3000 workers who have lost jobs since 2008, as well as those still employed in it.
There is therefore a need to recognise the very real impacts that loss of jobs, and having an uncertain future, has on the health and wellbeing of the workers, their families, and their communities.
Unfortunately, the assessment processes undertaken as part of the Tasmanian forest peace negotiations have failed to adequately acknowledge these issues.
The Independent Verification Group’s reports (to which I contributed) did not assess the social impacts of proposed changes to the industry in any substantial detail, as I documented in my contribution to that process.
Despite the work of groups like Rural Alive and Well, ForestWorks, and some government programs to support forest industry workers affected by change in the industry, the health and wellbeing of these workers remains a secondary issue in the debate over the future of the forests.
While the future may or may not involve a forest industry like that of the past, it should ensure it still has a place for the people whose livelihoods traditionally depended on that industry.
Political arguments about forests are about more than jobs (although those jobs are important). They are about conflicting views regarding the appropriate way to sustainably manage Tasmania’s unique native forests, views that are deeply held and believed in on all sides.
This is why the current attempt to find some resolution to the conflict is so profoundly important. The groups who three years ago decided they would try to break the seemingly endless cycles of protest and bitter conflict have certainly not achieved it yet; they may not achieve it at all.
But the argument that the industry generates too few jobs to justify the size of the debate does little to address the real, profound issues that drive political debate over forestry in Tasmania, or to support the people affected by that debate on a daily basis.
John Newlands
tree changer
An industry that claims to be sustainable should harvest a product that is indefinitely self replenishing. This is clearly not the case with large aged trees which could be said to be 'mined'. In my opinion forestry had the whole of the 20th century to switch to 100% plantation timber on already farmed land. They didn't hence the need to further deplete old growth forest like thieves raiding a stash of unguarded treasure.
Therefore loggers must redirect their efforts to plantation wood or even selective logging. They have to solve the issues of cost and quality. If they can't the trees are doing a good job sucking up CO2. Until forestry becomes sustainable the workforce must do something else.
Murray Webster
Forestry-Ecology Consultant/Contractor
A couple of points:
I know of many areas that are being logged again and again many times over, and then have been re-zoned as national park as icons of nature., e.g redgum forest along the Murray River. This is inconsistent with the idea that logging necessarily destroys forests.
Managing conservation areas such as national parks does consume resources, and in many cases it is not working very well for conservation. E.g I recently quoted on a job to map areas of forest that are becoming prone…
Read moreMark Carter
logged in via Facebook
@Murray There are 101 reasons lands can be designated national park- being 'untouched' forest is only one of many.
I agree with you that hands-off management of wildlife habitats is rarely practical or beneficial in Australia, but I think you'll find that when this happens its as much to do with lack of resources by reserve managers...
Mark Poynter
Forester
I guess this is the sort of flippant comment that we can expect after decades of misleading and simplistic envirionmental activism. I mean, it must be pretty simple to just buy hundreds of thousands (or millions) of hectares of farmland and plant trees right?
Well, surprisingly its pretty expensive and then there is the problem of what to plant that will produce a similar wood product ... and then of course it takes decades to grow to a usable size.
We already have around 2 million hectares of plantations already, and very little of it will produce hardwood of the quality that can be readily obtained from native forests despite efforts in recent years to create a plantation hardwood sawn timber resource. There are problems with processing and drying fast-grown timber that are yet to overcome, but hey perhaps you can give us the benefit of your great expertise in this area.
Michael James
Research scientist
Mark Poynter
Your point about shortage of good hardwood simply shows up the short-termism of both the industry and governments over the two centuries of modern Australian history.
One of the most beautiful timbers from Australia, and the world, was Australian Red Cedar. This "Red Gold" was relentlessly harvested from the Northern Rivers until it was all gone. Guess what is the only source worldwide for this timber today? Hawaii ! Just like for a long time Hawaii was also the major world source of macadamia nuts (also from the same part of Australia). No doubt local pests may add an additional burden on local production/re-establishment in its native territory, but I would put naked greed and short-termism as the major culprits.
The fact that some jobs (the experts don't even know precisely) rely upon hardwoods from Tasmania first growth forests is not persuasive for continuing our long appalling tradition of mining this resource until none is left.
Bernie Masters
environmental consultant at FIA Technology Pty Ltd, B K Masters and Associates
Michael, I can only speak about WA but the anti-logging campaigns here have been just as intense as in Tasmania. However, we no longer harvest any old growth forest in WA and no one is growing native hardwood times for sawlogs because of several reasons, including the perverse taxation incentives brought in 20 or so years ago to encourage plantings of short rotation softwoods such as pine. With an 80 to 120 time period required for our two main hardwoods - karri and jarrah - to reach sawlog size and quality, the only way to access these timbers is from our native forests where there has been no loss of biodiversity as a result of logging. Yet the no logging campaigns continue, mainly whenever a non-Labor govt is approaching an election, and I can't help but conclude that the campaigns are more about increasing the Green vote than achieving on-ground environmental benefits.
Michael James
Research scientist
@Bernie Masters
Most people, including environmentalists, could be persuaded to support selected, limited logging of old-growth forests EXCEPT for the total lack of confidence in the industry to control itself. The history speaks for itself as my one example was meant to illustrate.
Of course the industry hates selective logging and only wants either clear-felling (cheapest, quickest, simplest, no skills needed) or want to take too much (mostly 100%) of a given timber from an area. Naturally…
Read moreAlex Tewes
logged in via Facebook
So there are 1040 persons employed in forestry and logging, and the minuscule contribution of this activity to the state's economic output is not disputed [or even mentioned].
So why is the state government bending over backwards to support this?
Mark Poynter
Forester
Again you are deliberately ignoring the fact that logging and forestry workers produce a raw material that is processed and manufactured by several thousand other workers.
The supposedly "miniscule contribution of this activity to the state's economic output" is also misleading given that the final value of wood products produced from Tasmania's State Forests in 2010/11 was $585 million. This is pretty significant for a small state.
Against this, it is almost laughable that Federal Minister Burke is dangling just $100 million to the State (to be delivered over 14 years - that's just $7 million per year) if the timber industry agrees to the mooted half a million hectares of new national parks.
Cheryl Arnol
logged in via Facebook
It is time that those who are so anti-logging realised that there are many others who rely on the industry as well. There are a large number of flow-on jobs that are indirectly linked to the industry but unfortunately not captured as forest industry in any data stream e.g. manufacturing engineers, tyre retailers, cafes and roadhouses, fuel outlets. Let's not forget those employees who are equally concerned about their future because of the loss of the public native forest industry.
Andrew Remely
logged in via Facebook
The article makes a good point that for these communities the impact will be significant. However, what the TAI is getting at is the debate about job looses is out of perspective and often miss-represented. While TAI might have got the figure wrong it’s not a massive error. I think the point still stands. The magnitude of the stalemate is grossly larger then problems facing communities involved.
After two years of peace talks it is clear that there is no ‘win win’ to be found here. There are going to be winners and loser. What needs to happen now is some tough love and some clear leadership. The loggin old growth forest is not viable, time to shut it down and deal with the issues.
Mark Poynter
Forester
Well it is a massive error really to say that just 975 are employed by deliberately leaving out all those who work with the raw material produced by forestry and logging workers. Jaqui S has said the total is 3400 jobs and then there are reportedly another 2,000 employed in the special timbers industry - so around 5,000 jobs all up.
By that reckoning the Australia Institute have deliberately understated the real employment figure by around 80% which is pretty significant.
That said, you also seem to be mistaking native forest timber production with old growth logging, which is only a subset of the former. Over 90% of Tassie's 1.2 million hectares of old growth forest will never be used for timber production, and most timber harvesting is already occurring in younger forests.
Mark Carter
logged in via Facebook
So when anti-logging interests mislead on the actual number of jobs by a few hundred its a dreadful scandal and a human tragedy, but when pro-logging interests inflate their employment count by thousands it barely gets a mention?
Industries rise and fall. Tourism right now across the country is on the bones of its arse thanks to the sky-high dollar affecting an order of magnitude more people and communities than the end of Tasmanian wood-mining. If only those workers attracted half as much attention and hand-wringing...
Mark Poynter
Forester
You clearly didn't read the article properly. The true figure for forest and timber industry employment is several thousand more (not a few hundred) than the 975 being promoted by the anti-logging interests when timber processing and manufacturing is included.
Then as the article points out, it hasn't included those working in the special timbers craft and boat building areas, which is reportedly another two thousand more on top of this.
Mark Carter
logged in via Facebook
@Mark Poynter as the author duly notes, estimates of employment within industries are notoriously difficult because the economy is a continuum- naturally pro-logging interests would like to include everyone who so much as looks at wood in their stats of dependents.
For your part, you ignore my point that the forest industry job losses are on a significantly lesser scale than those in other industries, industries the pro-logging welfare campaigners couldn't give a monkey's about.
Mark Poynter
Forester
@Mark Carter .... This is actually a response to your response to my comment on your original point, but there doesn't seem to be any mechanism for carrying on the conversation.
You make the point that job losses in forestry are comparatively low compared to some other industries. Perhaps so, but industries such as tourism sink or swim based only on the economic climate or their own internal failings such as an inability to properly market the attractions. Last time I looked they did not have…
Read moreBernie Masters
environmental consultant at FIA Technology Pty Ltd, B K Masters and Associates
In the 1980s, there was a federal govt enquiry into the proposal to mine mineral sands on Fraser Island. The final report stated there were only 311 jobs that would not be created if the mining did not proceed and this would represent just 0.01% of the Australian workforce. So minimising the economic benefits of development (operating or proposed) is a tried and true technique used by people opposed to development to minimise the benefits of development.
Read moreSimilar to what TAI has done in its comments…
Peter Volker
Professional forester
I am sick and tired of people using the term pro-logging in a derogatory manner, like it is a sin. Everyone on the planet must be pro-logging because we all use products from trees. I'm yet to meet one single person on the planet who does not use or benefit from wood or wood products at least once every day in their life.
Forestry is about so much more than logging. It's primarily about ensuring that forests around in perpetuity regardless of what they are used for today. But the Australian…
Read moreRussell Warman
Masters Candidate
Peter, not sure what you mean by '...Australia continues to consume more timber and forest products than it produces'?
My quick check of the ABARE figures for the last ten years (http://adl.brs.gov.au/data/warehouse/afwpsd9able001/afwpsd9able201205/afwpsSummaries201205_1.0.0.xlsx) shows that Australia has consistently produced more logs each year (Table 6 - Logs harvested) than its total log consumption (Table 10 - Estimated logs consumed). In the last decade Australia has produced in the order of 20 - 25 % more logs than we have consumed every year.
Greg Winning
Food Entreprenuer
This is just a typical debate generated in a society that is fast depleting it's resources. Timber, oil, fish...whatever they are about now, there'll be more topics and they'll be more vicious into the future - maybe even a war or two me thinks.
The fact is the resources of the earth are finite and we like to think they're not. Hard reality will bite us in the end, no matter who wins this little debate - the forresters or the conservationists. The forresters will eventually run out of the hardwoods they say they can't grow and the conservationsists will have nothing to sit on (whether it's made of wood or hydrocarbons). What's the solution then?
Peter Volker
Professional forester
Let he who doesn't want to consume resources shed all his worldly goods and stop eating.
Andrew Denman
logged in via LinkedIn
Have a look at this
http://www.forestrytas.com.au/uploads/File/pdf/pdf2010/special%20timbers%20strategy%20ssml.pdf
was meant to work on a sustainable basis but now nearly all areas set aside here are under claim by the ENGO's. The value adding sector employs in excess of 2000 FTE's and 8500 part time and hobbyists and is worth millions to the Tas economy every year. The industry is heavily dependant on acess to old growth forest and a complete lockup of old growth would wipe out the entire…
Read moreCaroline Wright
Retired Nurse Academic and Researcher
When I first visited Tasmania before we retired here 16 years ago as we drove around the state there was no difference between the old growth forests and protected forests. The same remains today. Forests after logging are left after burning the debris to regrow into old growth forests. This takes about 15 years. As this has been the practice of families of families of loggers in Tasmania we do them a disservice to tell them how to manage the forests so that they are sustainable. .
Chris Owens
Professional
15 years to regrow into old growth! Clearly you have no idea what old growth is. A tall tree is not old growth. Whilst an ambiguous term, for species such as mountain ash or swamp gum as its called in Tas, old growth is trees with hollows and trunk diameter of 2.5-3M+ with a minimum age of 150 - 200 years. Go back to those 15 year old forests and see if you can find a hollow. No? Then there will be no homes for arboreal mammals or nest sites for parrots, kookaburras or other hollow dependent fauna.
If you are going to advocate for a position, do some basic research first..
Peter Volker
Professional forester
Russell, you need to look at consumption of sawn timber, paper and paper products. Australia has a $2 billion trade deficit which has been at that level for two decades. Our native forests provide hardwood timber. A recent ANU study has demonstrated the decline in hardwood timber supply from Australian trees has been directly substituted by tropical hardwoods. Next time you go to Bunnings or Mitre 10, have a look at the outdoor furniture or decking timbers. If its hardwood, it's odds on it will be meranti or some other tropical timber. The advertising will tell you "it looks just like Jarrah."
Russell Warman
Masters Candidate
Peter, could you give a reference for the ANU study? I’d be interested to see how its authors arrive at such a conclusion. My read of the ABARE data for the last ten years would seem to contradict this finding.
Read moreUsing your example of sawnwood, over the last ten years Australian hardwood sawnwood production has declined pretty consistently, from 1,375,000 m3 in 2000-1 to 730,000 m3 in 2010-11, a drop of 645,000 m3. In 2010-11 Australia imported 88,000 m3 of hardwood sawnwood. That hardly seems a…
Mark Poynter
Forester
@ Michael James
There doesn't seem to be a facility to directly reply to your comments so I am doing so here. You raise the point that the timber industry can't be trusted and cite the example of Red Cedar to support this notion.
Lets be clear here - Red Cedar was virtually cut-out from coastal NSW and Qld in the latter parts of the 18th century which is 120 year ago!! To suggest that this period of uncontrolled exploitation during Australia's pioneering era bears some resemblance to today…
Read moreMichael James
Research scientist
(The commenting system has been changed to even less counter-intuitive than the one it replaced. But if you reply to the "top message" to which the person you want to reply to, had used, then after you submit it, and then refresh the page, our new post will be ordered correctly--in this example, under mine.)
Anyway your 120-years ago history is a very incomplete picture.
Read moreThe reason I mentioned Red Cedar is because I have in fact done some study of it--because I was born there and my father was…
Michael James
Research scientist
Mark Poynter.
My frustration with Australia's cavalier attitude to exploiting its primary resources has been moderated/exacerbated by observations of other countries. For example in South-West France, the area between Biarritz and almost up to Bordeaux known as Landes was pestilent swamp. Drainage was begun in the 19th century and, because of rather poor sandy soils (being shallow seas until relatively recently) it was eventually planted with vast pine plantations.
Hard to believe but these…
Read moreMark Poynter
Forester
@Michael James
This is a response to your two comments about the history of cedar cutting, France, and Australia's supposed cavalier attitude to natural resources.
Your anecdotes about cedar are interesting, but still suggest that you are somehow inappropriately linking what happened 100 - 150 years ago to resource use management today.
In the pioneering era there was no resource management, and arguably no timber industry as such, just individuals setting themselves up as sawmillers and…
Read moreMichael James
Research scientist
Mark P.
Read moreNothing you write negates my points. Indeed by repeatedly saying that forestry was a (anglo) free-for-all until quite recently is exactly the problem. The point about France-Landes is that they were into this careful management more than two centuries ago! Anglos, where ever they go in the world, they seem to have the attitude of rape and pillage with abandon. They can (more or less) get away with this in the vast Americas where the scale & regrowth is efficient, but not in Australia's…
Michael James
Research scientist
You finished your last post with "this is why we still need a hardwood industry."
Certainly. That is why I am so dismayed by the loss of the Red Cedar forests and failure to do much (enough) to bring them back. In fact in 1987 the CSIRO began a Cedar Project. I don't know where it is today.
I love timber (and wood working) and find it awful that we have done little but cut it all down until nothing is left. I own a big solid silky oak table that is probably 100 years old. There are still some…
Read moreMark Poynter
Forester
@ Michael James
You are still in denial about today's reality with comments like " I love timber ... and find it awful that we have done little but cut it all down until nothing is left"
As I said earlier, go and look at the amount of forest contained in parks and reserves that will never be harvested - there are huge areas of forest still around, so it is just untrue to say we have cut it all down until nothing is left ... and of course forests do actually regrow.
I also wonder where you…
Read more