Forget what the betting markets say. Research on past elections points to momentum carrying Joe Biden to a big victory over Donald Trump.
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Articles on Donald Trump
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If Joe Biden becomes the next US president, there are many potential benefits for Australia, particularly in a less combative Sino-US relationship.
Despite the attention paid by the press when two Black hip-hop artists signaled their support for Donald Trump, they do not represent swelling enthusiasm for Trump from young, Black men.
The Republican political strategy that uses Christian language to cast Trump as a divinely appointed protector of an authoritarian Christian nation warrants more scrutiny than it’s received.
Trump made three anti-immigration pledges in 2016: ban Muslims, build a wall and enforce all immigration laws. Four years on, a migration scholar examines his record – and its effect on the country.
The 2020 US election is a battle of two masculinities – one authoritarian, the other paternalistic.
From laughter to funneled lips, the presidential candidates at their last debate signaled via expressions and non-verbal responses what they were feeling.
The future of democracy could depend on how the forthcoming election plays out – so the way in which it is covered will be crucial.
The Trump administration’s overt transgressions of international norms embolden other world leaders to violate human rights.
There are similarities between the law-and-order language used by the 1968 and 2020 presidential candidates and the racial tension and political polarization both years. But much is different.
The rules governing how mail-in voting works and how ballots can be rejected differ state by state. In a close election, this could prove pivotal to deciding who wins.
Laws that have long kept campaigners away from voters at polling places may not work in a world where a T-shirt symbol can be interpreted as campaigning.
Polling shows Joe Biden with a large lead over Donald Trump nationally in the presidential race. But there are many ways that presidential race polling has gone wrong in the past, and could do so now.
From healthcare, to the environment, immigration and racial justice, which areas of Barack Obama’s legacy were the most vulnerable – and most resilient – during Donald Trump’s first term?
For Trump supporters, his domination is a mark of his greatness. But he may be about to lose an election because during a pandemic voters expect a president to be in control, including of himself.
A political action committee of longtime Republican strategists is using satire to attack President Donald Trump and influence American voters.
Americans can survive a second Trump term if they resurrect a language of critique and possibility that draws from history and shields the U.S. from authoritarianism.
In 2016, America’s adversaries seemed to cheer electoral chaos and a withering faith in democracy. Now they seem to be hoping democracy can topple a leader they’ve grown loathe to deal with.
Donald Trump said followers of conspiracy theory ‘are very much against pedophilia.’ What he didn’t mention was the demonic imagery and language that peppers QAnon posts.
Though critics claim Amy Coney Barrett’s nomination jeopardizes the high court’s legitimacy, research shows there are ways the judiciary can bolster its standing and weather controversial decisions.
Top contributors
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Professorial Fellow, University of Canberra
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Election Analyst (Psephologist) at The Conversation; and Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Melbourne
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Tony Walker is a Friend of The Conversation.
Vice-Chancellor's Fellow, La Trobe University
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Professor in U.S. Politics and U.S. Foreign Relations at the United States Studies Centre and in the Discipline of Government and International Relations, University of Sydney
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Assistant lecturer, CY Cergy Paris Université
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Honorary Professor of International Relations, University of the Witwatersrand
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Associate Professor and Director of the Centre on US Politics, UCL
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Professor of International Politics, Clinton Institute, University College Dublin
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Professor of Law, Drake University
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Assistant researcher, University of Sydney
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Lecturer in International Relations, La Trobe University
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Dennis Altman is a Friend of The Conversation.
VC Fellow, La Trobe University
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Professor of American Studies, University College Dublin
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Professor in The Division of Global Affairs and The Department of Political Science, Rutgers University - Newark
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Associate Professor in American Politics and Foreign Policy, US Studies Centre, University of Sydney
