Articles on Political polling

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Better opinions polls are more expensive because pollsters need to spend more effort getting a representative and honest sample of voters. Shutterstock

Here’s how to make opinion polls more representative and honest

You could compare election opinion polls to penalty shoot-outs at a World Cup final: there’s huge pressure to get it right and we remember the big misses most of all.
Contrary to expectations, Victoria failed to deliver a government majority to Labor. Wes Mountain/The Conversation, CC BY-ND

State of the states: Queensland and Tasmania win it for the Coalition

The Tasmanian seats of Bass and Braddon were always going to be key elements of a Coalition victory – and so it proved to be.
What will polling look like in the future? Person taking survey via shutterstock.com

What will pollsters do after 2016?

Pollsters must be as accurate as possible. How will they address the challenges revealed in the 2016 election, and other changes in the coming years?
Donald Trump’s victory over Hillary Clinton in the US presidential election defied almost all predictions. EPA/Jim Lo Scalzo

How did we get the result of the US election so wrong?

Swinburne political scientist Bryan Cranton looks at why so many experts got the US Election so wrong
The nation’s political chasm – already wide – has grown even more since 2012. 'Partisanship' via www.shutterstock.com

Can America’s deep political divide be traced back to 1832?

Elected officials and the media are in cahoots. Both have succumbed to a two-party system that treats voters not as independent thinkers, but as blind partisans.

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