Many, and varied, inputs make better predictions.
Hands up image via shutterstock.com
It's not a good idea to simply rely on methods that have provided accurate predictions in the past.
Your vote is not insignificant in the bigger scheme of things. It matters.
Not voting can have serious consequences regarding the kind of society we end up living in. Disengagement can mean a lowering of quality of life.
According to a recent poll, 45 percent of Americans believe extraterrestrials have visited the Earth.
Raphael Terra, 'UFO Sunset.'
Whether it's Hillary Clinton's courting the UFO vote or Donald Trump's lending credibility to various conspiracy theories, the "triumph of reason" seems to have gone by the wayside.
Natalie Mast speaks with 'Poll Bludger' William Bowe in the final week of the election campaign to break down how the major parties have faired and which seats could decide the election.
Polls show Malcolm Turnbull and Bill Shorten locked in a tight race as the election campaign nears its end.
When the everyday punter sees or hears opinion polls, many might believe that their fellow punters are indeed evenly split on their voting intentions.
Was Richard Di Natale right about voting intentions among under 30s?
Greens leader Richard Di Natale told Q&A that if there was a vote among people who are under 30 in Australia, there'd possibly be a Greens prime minister. What do the polls say?
Natalie Mast speaks with 'Poll Bludger' William Bowe about how the election campaign has gone so far and what the Senate might look like as a result of changes to the voting method.
Internet polls are offering up quite different results to phone polls. Here are a few suggestions as to why.
Australia’s system of compulsory voting makes the pollsters’ job much easier than under voluntary voting.
Final pre-election Australian polls have usually been accurate, at least on primary votes.
If the opinion polls continue as they are, the Turnbull government will likely be returned with a reduced majority.
Despite a recent surge in the polls, the distribution of marginal seats means it will be difficult for Labor to win the coming federal election.
Hat in the ring. Jeb Bush pictured in 2013.
When considering US elections it pays to "follow the money" -- and not just the campaign donations. Head to the bookies, not the polls, to see who's really in with a shout.
FDR gives an address.
The FDR Library
As Jeb Bush, the 11th declared Republican candidate enters the race for president, a look back at a secretive survey in 1935 that foreshadowed today's ubiquitous horserace polls.
The electoral phenomenon that left David Cameron smiling will have huge implications for future battles.
'Shy Tories' doesn't cut it. There is another anomaly in the election poll data which offers a more useful angle on what went wrong.
Anyone see it coming?
While pre-election polls got their sums wrong, and seemed to ignore biases in the rush to publish, a far more accurate call was being made in the betting shops of Britain.
Which parties will get their lucky numbers?
Britain’s first-past-the-post system is often defended on the grounds that it enables voters to choose between alternative governments. Two qualities supposedly give it this character. First, it gives…
Confused by the news?
befuddled woman image via www.shutterstock.com
Foundation essay: This article is part of a series marking the launch of The Conversation in the US. Our foundation essays are longer than our usual comment and analysis articles and take a wider look…
The cost of independence might just determine the Scottish referendum.
The Scottish independence referendum campaign has now been raging for 18 months, ever since the Yes Scotland (pro-independence) and Better Together (anti-independence) umbrella organisations were launched…
The impending disaster for Julia Gillard’s government at the federal election could also spell trouble for the hopes of the Greens in the Senate.
The publicly available opinion polls are in agreement about the fate of the Labor government. A landslide defeat in the House of Representatives is looming, the magnitude of which might place Julia Gillard…
Mitt Romney campaigns in the crucial swing state of Ohio, one of a number of states which will decide the presidency.
With eight days until the US presidential election, Mitt Romney seems to have a very slight edge in the national polls. However, every respectable poll aggregator, along with all the betting and futures…
Will Mitt Romney’s performance in the first debate boost his previously flagging campagin?
Mitt Romney’s victory in the first presidential debate has given his campaign a much-needed lift with four weeks remaining until the election. But can the strength of Romney’s debate performance really…