NZ Labour had been polling in the mid-20s before Jacinda Ardern became its leader and eventually won the 2017 election.
In both Australian and overseas elections held in 2017, the left generally performed better than expected.
There are signs that non-rich Americans are growing less tolerant of tax cuts that mainly boost the wealthy’s bottom line.
Historically, wishful thinking has blunted pushback.
Nick Xenophon won 46% of the preferred South Australian premier vote in a recent Newspoll.
If the primary votes in Newspoll were replicated at the South Australian election, SA-BEST would probably win a clear majority of lower house seats.
The Bennelong byelection result will boost Malcolm Turnbull’s standing in the Coalition.
The easy win for John Alexander in the Bennelong byelection restores the Coalition's two-seat majority in the House of Representatives.
Annastacia Palasczuk will be able to form majority government after the final results of the Queensland election were announced.
With 45 seats held by parties other than Labor, Labor has won a three-seat majority in Queensland.
Who’s afraid of rising sea levels?
David Goldman/AP Photo
Europeans are, on average, more likely than Americans to say they fear climate change. What explains the gap?
South African Deputy President Cyril Ramaphosa unwittingly fell for an old trick used to discredit politicians.
Instead of ignoring his accusers, South Africa's Deputy President Cyril Ramaphosa entertained them, tried to silence them through court, and then revealed a long-past affair of little interest.
Few saw Labour’s result coming.
The pollsters have had another bad year – and it may be because they were so worried about repeating the mistakes of 2015.
PA/ Andrew Matthew
The exit poll published at 10pm suggests the Conservatives could fall short of a parliamentary majority. Is it to be believed?
Quite a surprising result for this man.
With just a week until the vote, the polling agency has thrown a cat among the pigeons. Here's how to understand the poll everyone is talking about.
All tied up?
If the purple vote turns blue...
Scott Morrison addresses the media on Sunday.
Some predict Turnbull's leadership will be in the frame unless the numbers improve; on the other hand, another change would be extremely hard.
A man in Kisumu City, Kenya walks past a banner advocating for a peaceful poll.
Kenya's next general election is slated for August 8 this year. As the country prepares for the polls, there are fears that political tensions will result in violence. Will history repeat itself?
This budget, led by Scott Morrison and Malcolm Turnbull, will form part of the government’s repositioning as an advocate of equal opportunity and fairness.
The Turnbull government is desperately trying to develop a more convincing economic narrative around good economic management, nation-building and fairness.
Don’t panic: An international survey finds concerns about fake news are overblown.
Concerns over filter bubbles and fake news are often based on anecdotal evidence. There is relatively little systematic research on the topic; a new survey finds widespread fears are unwarranted.
They were way off in 2015 and for the forthcoming election in June it's worth knowing why.
DRC President Joseph Kabila in Kinshasa.
The Democratic Republic of Congo desperately needs a peaceful election but with the UN threatening to scale back its DRC mission, the likelihood of a successful poll is being threatened
A protester against President Trump’s immigration policy and a Trump supporter in New York City.
Data since 1950s show Americans have always been wary of refugees. A public opinion expert explains current attitudes toward Syrian refugees and what it means for building consensus on policy.
Like wearing psychological blinders.
Horse image via www.shutterstock.com.
It's human nature to notice or search out information that supports what you already believe and discount or avoid data to the contrary. The problem comes in when you don't recognize this bias is in play.
What will polling look like in the future?
Person taking survey via shutterstock.com
Pollsters must be as accurate as possible. How will they address the challenges revealed in the 2016 election, and other changes in the coming years?