Like wearing psychological blinders.
Horse image via www.shutterstock.com.
It's human nature to notice or search out information that supports what you already believe and discount or avoid data to the contrary. The problem comes in when you don't recognize this bias is in play.
What will polling look like in the future?
Person taking survey via shutterstock.com
Pollsters must be as accurate as possible. How will they address the challenges revealed in the 2016 election, and other changes in the coming years?
Polls are best guesses, votes are real.
AP Photo/Lee Jin-man
People around the world were shocked when Hillary Clinton, ahead in many polls, didn't end up the U.S.' president-elect. But that doesn't mean the polls themselves were wrong.
Pollsters seemed to grow reflective as the night wore on.
Many pollsters are now eating humble pie.
Early voting is underway in the US presidential election. Will the outcome reflect the polls?
EPA/JIM LO SCALZO
Given the failure of British polls to predict the outcome of Brexit, is it possible Donald Trump could produce a surprise result of even greater proportions?
Polls and elections are considered vital democratic tools – but there’s more to true democracy.
There are several different ways to approach democracy. Polls, elections and referenda all feature, but they're not the only way to deepen democracy.
Donald Trump has staged mass rallies in swing states in Florida as election day nears.
The 2016 US presidential race has been a strange campaign in many ways, but the swing state map looks very familiar.
Russian President Vladimir Putin in center.
Russian President Vladimir Putin’s approval rating has not dropped below 80 percent since March 2014. Russians overwhelmingly support their president's aggression in Georgia and Crimea. Here's why.
Many, and varied, inputs make better predictions.
Hands up image via shutterstock.com
It's not a good idea to simply rely on methods that have provided accurate predictions in the past.
Your vote is not insignificant in the bigger scheme of things. It matters.
Not voting can have serious consequences regarding the kind of society we end up living in. Disengagement can mean a lowering of quality of life.
According to a recent poll, 45 percent of Americans believe extraterrestrials have visited the Earth.
Raphael Terra, 'UFO Sunset.'
Whether it's Hillary Clinton's courting the UFO vote or Donald Trump's lending credibility to various conspiracy theories, the "triumph of reason" seems to have gone by the wayside.
Natalie Mast speaks with 'Poll Bludger' William Bowe in the final week of the election campaign to break down how the major parties have faired and which seats could decide the election.
Polls show Malcolm Turnbull and Bill Shorten locked in a tight race as the election campaign nears its end.
When the everyday punter sees or hears opinion polls, many might believe that their fellow punters are indeed evenly split on their voting intentions.
Was Richard Di Natale right about voting intentions among under 30s?
Greens leader Richard Di Natale told Q&A that if there was a vote among people who are under 30 in Australia, there'd possibly be a Greens prime minister. What do the polls say?
Natalie Mast speaks with 'Poll Bludger' William Bowe about how the election campaign has gone so far and what the Senate might look like as a result of changes to the voting method.
Internet polls are offering up quite different results to phone polls. Here are a few suggestions as to why.
Australia’s system of compulsory voting makes the pollsters’ job much easier than under voluntary voting.
Final pre-election Australian polls have usually been accurate, at least on primary votes.
If the opinion polls continue as they are, the Turnbull government will likely be returned with a reduced majority.
Despite a recent surge in the polls, the distribution of marginal seats means it will be difficult for Labor to win the coming federal election.
Hat in the ring. Jeb Bush pictured in 2013.
When considering US elections it pays to "follow the money" -- and not just the campaign donations. Head to the bookies, not the polls, to see who's really in with a shout.
FDR gives an address.
The FDR Library
As Jeb Bush, the 11th declared Republican candidate enters the race for president, a look back at a secretive survey in 1935 that foreshadowed today's ubiquitous horserace polls.