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Jacqui Lambie with Centre Alliance senators, who threw their support behind the government’s $158 billion income tax cuts, guaranteeing the package will become law. Sam Mooy/AAP

VIDEO: Michelle Grattan on the 46th parliament’s first week, and Jacqui Lambie

After a hectic first week for the new parliament, Michelle Grattan speaks with Deep Saini about Jacqui Lambie's role in helping pass the government's tax cuts, and a further cut to interest rates - now 1%.
As uncertain as 2019-20 is, The Conversation’s team of 20 leading economists are in broad agreement that the outlook isn’t good. Scott Morrison and Treasurer Josh Frydenberg will also have to deal with the unexpected. Wes Mountain/The Conversation

Buckle up. 2019-20 survey finds the economy weak and heading down, and that’s ahead of surprises

The Conversation's distinguished panel predicts unusually weak growth, dismal spending, no improvement in either unemployment or wage growth, and an increased chance of recession.
Things will continue to look good enough for long enough to help the government fight the election. Beyond that, the Conversation Economic Panel is worried. Wes Mountain/The Conversation

No surplus, no share market growth, no lift in wage growth. Economic survey points to bleaker times post-election

The Conversation has assembled a forecasting team of 19 academic economists from 12 universities across six states. Together, they assign a 25% probability to a recession within two years.
Whether there is a floor beneath which cuts in interest rate are ineffective depends in part on house prices. Shutterstock

Vital Signs: when cutting interest rates might not help

It is thought that it doesn't help much to cut official interest rates toward or beyond zero, and maybe it doesn't, but new research suggests the answer has a lot to do with the housing market.

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