Vote 1 Wikileaks: Senator Julian Assange … or maybe not

Julian Assange has confirmed he intends to have a more “hands-on” influence in the political realm by forming a new WikiLeaks party. The WikiLeaks founder flagged his desire to stand for the Senate earlier this year when he described himself as a “libertarian” and nominated the late Don Chipp as one…

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Wikileaks founder Julian Assange wants to establish a political party and run for the Senate, but his success will depend on preference deals. AAP

Julian Assange has confirmed he intends to have a more “hands-on” influence in the political realm by forming a new WikiLeaks party.

The WikiLeaks founder flagged his desire to stand for the Senate earlier this year when he described himself as a “libertarian” and nominated the late Don Chipp as one of his most admired political figures.

Assange, who is currently residing in Ecuador’s London embassy while seeking to avoid extradition to Sweden over sexual assault allegations, has attracted intense media interest since he began WikiLeaks. The whistle-blowing website aims to publicise the “truth” about important public matters. Assange’s new party would campaign for greater transparency and individual privacy.

While his plans to create a new party have been celebrated by his supporters, Assange is still a long way from being a future senator.

To win a Senate seat at a general election, a candidate needs to win a quota (which is approximately 14.3%) of the state-wide vote. Traditionally, minor parties have fared better in the Senate because of its use of proportional representation.

To win a seat in the House of Representatives, on the other hand, requires a candidate to win 50% + 1 of the votes in the district. This is difficult for minor parties to do. In fact, in 2010 the Greens’ Adam Bandt became the only minor party candidate to win a seat in the lower house at a general election since the end of the Second World War.

Assange’s decision to stand as a WikiLeaks candidate, rather than run as an independent, is a sound approach. If he stood as an independent, he would be listed on the ballot paper with other ungrouped candidates. This would potentially weaken his electoral support come election day.

But by representing a party, Assange would appear alongside the other parties on the ballot paper (sample ballot paper). Voting for WikiLeaks would then be a simple matter of placing the number “1” in the party’s box. Not only would this make voting for WikiLeaks much easier, but it would also enhance Assange’s ability to influence the wider Senate contest through preference wheeling and dealing.

Some media reports suggest that Assange would be “a competitive” candidate, but if Assange is unsuccessful in winning a Senate seat, it’s ultimately through preference deals that he may have the biggest impact on Australian politics.

In recent elections, preference deals have been crucial in getting minor parties into the Senate. In 2004, for example, Family First won just 1.9% of the vote in Victoria but the preference deal it had with Labor meant that it was still able to win a Senate seat.

In 2010 the Democratic Labor Party, an entity thought as being “dead” in Australian politics, entered the Senate after winning just 2.3% of the vote in Victoria. Its preference deals with the major parties got it over the line.

Conversely Pauline Hanson’s One Nation, which in 1998 won a significantly larger percentage of the vote than Family First or the DLP, won just one Senate seat in Queensland as the major parties deprived it of preferences. The Australian Greens have also been burnt by less than favourable preferences with the major parties in recent elections.

The lesson here is that WikiLeaks must engineer a series of beneficial preference deals to enhance its chances of winning Senate representation.

Christine Milne and the Greens may find themselves being bitten by a seemingly friendly Assange if their vote leaks his way. AAP/Alan Porritt

But even before it can think about preferences, WikiLeaks must deal with more immediate issues. First, WikiLeaks needs to sign up at least 500 members to register as a party with the Australian Electoral Commission. Second, it needs a robust constitution. Third, it needs to mobilise support and resources before it can mount a campaign.

As a party, WikiLeaks will need engaged members to staff polling booths and increase its presence in the party-political realm. With some 1.7 million followers on Twitter, the party may potentially be one of the best resourced in the country if they can harness this latent support.

In electoral terms, WikiLeaks may get most support in seats where the Greens have performed strongly; inner-metropolitan electorates with younger voters with higher levels of education, income and lower rates of home ownership. While unlikely to outpoll the more established and broader-based Greens, WikiLeaks has the potential to attract a chunk of votes. This is something Greens’ strategists will no doubt be thinking about in the lead up to the election.

If his candidacy is successful, Assange may enter the Senate as long as he is entitled to vote in Australian federal elections, is an Australian citizen and has not been convicted of treason or offences punishable by more than 12 months imprisonment or been declared bankrupt. As it stands, Assange needs to re-register on the electoral roll but believes he faces no practical obstacle in doing so.

If it is the case that he is disqualified, an alternative candidate from WikiLeaks may take his spot in the Senate.

Assange’s attempt to enter parliament will not fundamentally alter the shape of Australian politics.

Rather, it will continue a tradition of minor parties with specific policy goals trying to influence the national political debate.

Join the conversation

35 Comments sorted by

  1. Sean Lamb

    Science Denier

    I am sure Mr Assange would run a very open, transparent, democratic party.

    Women friendly also.

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    1. CH Soames

      Cytogeneticist

      In reply to Sean Lamb

      I am sure Joe Bloggs would make a very fair, logical and intelligent Conversation participant.

      Deep-thinking also.

      Sarcasm. Time-economical, labour-saving, devastating.

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  2. Cathy Vogan

    Artist, Lecturer & Citizen Journalis

    As a dog lover, he's got my vote, and to the author of this article, a word of advice. When referring original, official documents, "the truth" need not be placed in inverted commas.

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  3. Paul Richards

    strategic foresight

    Thanks for the article Zareh.
    We need more evolved voices in our senate. Bring it on.

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  4. Michael Shand

    Michael Shand is a Friend of The Conversation.

    Software Tester

    It erks me everytime someone writes "seeking to avoid extradition to Sweden over sexual assault allegations" - without giving the full context, he has clearly said he will go to sweeden to face the charges as long as sweeden can promise they will not hand him over to the US....what was the response from Sweeden? nothing

    He also offered to answer any questions from London, they could come to him or do it over video conference......and what did sweeden do? nothing

    Its quite clear that he doesnt want to go to Sweeden for fear of being sent off to the US, not to avoid sexual assault allegations and when you state in one way and not the other its kind of dishonest framing.

    Apart from that, very good article, thanks for posting

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  5. Whyn Carnie

    Retired Engineer

    I think you still have to be living in, or at least be on the Federal electoral roll, in an Australian State, and be a qualified Australian citizen, to start a Party and stand for it come election time. Assange is locked in a room in London without his passport.
    Assange may be a clever strategist, libertine and computer hacker par excellence, but look at how the big Parties treated Hansen when she looked like gaining traction.
    Gillard has already tipped her hand on Assange. He shouldn't look to her for help in escaping asylum and a return to OZ. Gillard's budget is shot anyway bringing in other more worthy asylum seekers. Clive Palmer could fund him perhaps?

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    1. William Bruce

      logged in via Facebook

      In reply to Whyn Carnie

      "....look at how the big Parties treated Hansen when she looked like gaining traction."
      Too right Whyn!

      Seems they (or perhaps their masters both local & foreign) want a duopoly....thus, along with MSM owners they can CONTROL ALL debate & policy....you know, borrow more money, more wars, the BIG Oz (50 million!)...
      It is not democratic., it is the Illusion of this...so much for wars for democracy.

      I want MUCH better debate ..& only more independents will achieve this.

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  6. STABLE POPULATION PARTY

    Written & authorised by William Bourke, Sydney

    A very good, clear article that does neatly highlight to laypersons the complexity and logistics of registering a political party in Australia, as well as the votes/quota/preferences required to get a Senator elected.

    Mr Assange does have runs on the board in terms of setting up complex organisations, so would likely have the former task well in hand - although maintaining unity and avoiding damaging factional splits may be a little harder.

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  7. CH Soames

    Cytogeneticist

    Thanks to the author for almost completely avoiding perpetrating the penumbra of farce that currently obscures the transparency issue as represented by Assange, and even more so, by his predicament.

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  8. Notme Norme

    logged in via Facebook

    Please help promote this link wherever you can; if you believe in freedom of expression and freedom of the press.

    Julian Assange for the Nobel prize for freedom of the press:

    (Please type 3w).avaaz.org/en/petition/Juli­an_Assange_for_Nobel_prize_Fre­edom_of_the_Press/

    Lets see how "Noble" the Norwegians and their righteous Swede neighbors are or claim to be, since they offered Obama the Nobel peace prize!

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  9. Gary Myers

    logged in via LinkedIn

    Section 44 of the constitution makes someone ineligible for the Senate if they are
    "under any acknowledgment of allegiance, obedience, or adherence to a foreign power, or is a subject or a citizen or entitled to the rights or privileges of a subject or a citizen of a foreign power"

    Currently he is a 'refugee' in the Ecuador embassy. Is that a privilege of the subject of a foreign power ? Does their control over that status imply he has an 'adherence' to them.

    Of course, he may maintain he is 'free' to leave there, but that would place him subject to arrest by British authorities. If he was bailed again (unlikely), would the bail conditions imply obedience to a foreign power ? Imprisonment / detention in either Britain or Sweden also suggest a degree of obedience or adherence as they control a lot of his life.

    And if he is disqualified, it will be up to the government in the state in which he has stood to determine who would take that spot.

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    1. William Bruce

      logged in via Facebook

      In reply to Gary Myers

      Ironic? Seems to me far less beholden and obsequious to any foreign powers than the existing cohort.

      Even so, seems it would be a bold or bent judge that would disqualify him!

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  10. Whyn Carnie

    Retired Engineer

    How's this for wishful thinking. Assange is cleverer than his captors. He fairly obviously has sponsors. He dissappears from current incarceration and reappears in OZ. Not really impossible, Tony Mockbel did it in reverse. And getting into OZ is not that difficult even if he leaves his passport behind.

    After reaffirmation of allegiance to the Crown, he puts our Julia to another test of fortitude. With his skills on a keyboard he could already have enough on her to make her fold or at least toe his mark.

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    1. Emma Anderson

      Artist and Science Junkie

      In reply to Whyn Carnie

      Not just Julia....the whole lot of them..all the pollies and the crackers

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  11. Ryan Struk

    logged in via Facebook

    Should there be concern about the potential for leaked documents if he were to become a Senator?

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    1. Meagan Kae

      Media Production at Meagan Kae Pty Ltd

      In reply to Ryan Struk

      Concern? Your implication is that a leaked document is a bad thing. I'm not so sure...
      Imagine if a Slater and Gordon staff member now leaked evidence that Gillard was NOT in Perth to personally witness Blewitt's signature on the Power of Attorney.
      or
      Imagine if a Slater and Gordon staff member now leaked evidence that Gillard WAS in Perth to personally witness Blewitt's signature on the Power of Attorney.

      What I have found very interesting reading Michael Smith's news web site blog (content…

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    2. Ernest Bennett

      Mr (retired)

      In reply to Ryan Struk

      I agree, Ryan. Of course, the only thing worse than lying about a political figure is telling the truth about him/her. Over all, a great post by Zareh..

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  12. Yoron Hamber

    Thinking

    Sort of dreaming as he's stuck inside the embassy but still good. It should worry some politicians, and power brokers. And a free Internet is a wonderful thing, isn't it :)

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    1. Yoron Hamber

      Thinking

      In reply to Emma Anderson

      Used to be. Nowadays? Depends on where you go and how much energy you put into searching for sources I guess. But it's still freer than most press you ever will read.

      And let us not forget. People always get what they want. They don't want to use their brain, no problem.. They don't want to know.. No problem :) There will always be power brokers helping them out with that.

      Maybe it should read: People always get what they want, just not in the way they expected. Even a democracy can't change peoples unwillingness to learn and think.

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    2. Emma Anderson

      Artist and Science Junkie

      In reply to Yoron Hamber

      Yeah that's kind of my point.

      Internet censorship is a reality. It's more than a government proposing a filter at the ISP level, or the Great Firewall of China. It's censorship with corporate controlled websites, Facebook, Youtube, Twitter etc. Link blocking, user blocking, interestingly timed service failures, stacking the deck in a search engine. Putting little xif files on phones and all the rest.

      Whilst we can put up information and try and find reputable sources, there's impediments…

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    3. Emma Anderson

      Artist and Science Junkie

      In reply to Emma Anderson

      *most people don't have those technical skills, I mean. Like php or python, etc, server level languages

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    4. Yoron Hamber

      Thinking

      In reply to Emma Anderson

      Free information is you talking Emma :)
      Or me, or any of us reading or writing here. Then we have ideas that we share, and ideals, dreams, whatever. Maybe only where the beer is best :) But it makes us closer, and allows us to see each other as individuals. and it also opens for discussions on what we think is important. The most important things in life are not touchable, they exist inside your mind and if you don't share them with someone they will cease to exist with you.

      That is human to human. Then we have those that want us to behave :) in certain ways. What I think of as 'power structures', they will try to restrict information, and distort knowledge, just to ensure their own continuing existence. They don't find a free Internet fit their visions of happy consumers consuming :)

      We are talking, aren't we Emma?

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    5. Emma Anderson

      Artist and Science Junkie

      In reply to Yoron Hamber

      The Pub Model is insufficient.

      The Library Model needs to be combined with it.

      If we just have Pub, we have Beer, and Boobs and Loud Noises. All are fun (well depends who you ask) but how much can ya learn or teach when you're drunk?

      If we just have Library, we have lots of books, and we can't talk Shoosh.

      Hence, a combination.

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    6. Yoron Hamber

      Thinking

      In reply to Emma Anderson

      Well, when I read I read, and when I drink I mostly drink, even if I may open a paper now and again, but I doubt I would open a book. But loud noises and beer works splendidly for me too :). As for how much one learn while pubing I'm not sure although I'm willing to give it a try, not expecting any instant success though?

      A programmer Emma?

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    7. Dianna Arthur

      Dianna Arthur is a Friend of The Conversation.

      Environmentalist

      In reply to Yoron Hamber

      Reading above comments like Yoron's is a joy. To know other people think the way you do - even though others may try to intimidate (trolls/people with massive chips on shoulders) I find the majority of people on web-sites like this to be interesting, informative, often very funny. I have even made close friends with a couple. Had I been out clubbing or pubbing (I think pubing might be something a bit more personal ;) ) I doubt I'd be any of the above except entertained.

      While I have conflicting…

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    8. Emma Anderson

      Artist and Science Junkie

      In reply to Yoron Hamber

      Not a programmer. I wish.

      What Dianna said about pubing. I'm sure you could learn from that but I'm not sure it helps the digital liberty cause.

      Loud noises and beer work for some. I was just drawing a bow.

      Personally, I prefer the Library and then going to a nice quiet picnic table and having a chat about it.

      Translate into internet version at your leisure.

      Basicallly, back to main topic. People like Assange are part of a broader movement for digital liberties and free information.

      That's good for every one, but it's particularly good for isolated people with low noise tolerance that don't like beer.

      So, let's keep that movement going.

      But I suppose if there is some kind of intergovernmental conspiracy it's because certain groups don't like the movement.

      In which case....keep picking up the torch.

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    9. Yoron Hamber

      Thinking

      In reply to Emma Anderson

      I don't know Emma, I find most public figures pompous icons for a cause,and I, a cynic here, just want to give them a really big welcome, right into their face. I consider most people seeking public office the ones least suitable for it. I'm most probably older than
      n you, been traveling extensively, and don't really expect anything wondrous anymore.

      But I love honesty.
      And empathy

      But that's no cause, in that case it will be just you.
      And you better be prepared to defend it..

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    10. Yoron Hamber

      Thinking

      In reply to Dianna Arthur

      Thanks Dianna. I think of my version of Australia as a 'breathing hole' :)

      It's not perfect, but then again, what is?
      It's as good as we can get it

      And considering the lineage, I think you will try..

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    11. Emma Anderson

      Artist and Science Junkie

      In reply to Yoron Hamber

      Ha! I agree with everything you just said.

      Tis True, Tis True

      But, sometimes we need to look past the messenger and at the actual message.

      And always, be unsurprised that all they have is a message and nothing useful will actually be done.

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