The recent Northern Territory election attracted an unusual amount of media attention amongst the “politically informed public”, especially in the south-eastern states of Australia. Media reporting saw it as a historic shift in Aboriginal support away from Labor, and it was.
In the bush seats, swings to the Country Liberals’ (CLP) Aboriginal candidates ranged from about 16% to Alison Anderson’s nominal swing of 34%, (the CLP did not stand a candidate against her in the previous election when she was Labor). Territory Labor painted the defeat as a vote against the Brough-Howard Federal Emergency Response (the “Intervention”) of 2007 and Federal Labor’s continuation of that policy package as the “Stronger Futures” policy. A counter-view formed in the NT media claimed it was the NT government’s forcible amalgamation of the small Aboriginal Community Governments, into the so-called “super shires”, that alienated the Aboriginal vote from Labor.
The reality is more nuanced than this simple dichotomy allows. For a start, at least two of the CLP candidates – Anderson and Price – were strong supporters of the Intervention. Bess Price, in Stuart, was even slated for this.
There were three reasons for NT Labor’s defeat and they all hold implications for the next federal election.
First, Labor treated the Aboriginal communities unjustly. On coming into office in 2001 the ALP inherited a system where general purpose horizontal equalisation grants to the NT from the Commonwealth (the GST disbursement) were redistributed to the benefit principally of the “whitefella” residents of Darwin. Having surprised themselves by winning the supposedly crucial seats of Darwin’s northern suburbs, Labor continued this system. This, coupled with Clare Martin’s smooth appeal, paid a dividend with the Labor landslide in the 2005 election. This inequity became internalised.
An example of this inequity in process is earlier this year. ERA, the company that owns the Jabiru uranium mine, gave the NT 1,000 surplus concrete culverts. The NT Government spends about two thirds of its Commonwealth roads monies on roads; the surplus goes to boat ramps for recreational fishers, subsidised AFL matches, the V8 Super Cars, and so on (Darwin circuses rather than Aboriginal bread). These culverts should have been a welcome capital input to roads works in the bush.
Instead, the NT spent $1.5m putting these culverts into the sea to form an artificial reef for the recreational fishers of Darwin’s northern suburbs. This seemed self-evidently smart – ie northern suburbs – politics for NT Labor, eventually Aboriginal people in the bush communities noticed and drew the obvious conclusion as to why their roads and services were under-funded. Discontent simmered. The shires issue was emblematic rather than causal. Unless the Federal Government recognises and corrects this perversion of social justice, it will lose support in remote Aboriginal communities.
Second, NT Labor put Aborigines in a mould. They were supposedly rusted-on Labor voters because the CLP governments of the 1980s and 90s attacked land rights. So Aborigines could be ignored or patronised. The possibility that, like other Australians, Aborigines could become instrumentalist and vote for the party that best suited their interests was not entertained or even imagined.
But the major reason Labor lost was that the CLP pursued a canny strategy for the bush. Credit for this must go to Alison Anderson and the CLP leader Terry Mills. When Anderson left the Labor Party in 2010 she initially sat in the Legislative Assembly as an independent. She was evaluating the possibilities. Anderson did a deal with Mills that if the CLP would allow the communities, rather than the party machine, to select the candidates and would listen to the communities, then she would join the CLP. Labor was caught napping. Their Aboriginal candidates were pre-selected by the party machinery; they were Darwin-focused and unable or unwilling to challenge the fiscal status quo.
No matter what the reasoning was for the shift to the CLP, the question that needs to be answered now is what are the federal implications of this sea change in NT politics?
On the NT election figures, Labor would lose the seat of Lingiari in the next federal election. But that is not necessarily certain. If federal Labor learns the lesson that Aborigines are sick of being treated like errant children and want to be properly consulted and allowed to participate in determining their future then the situation becomes more fluid. Terry Mills wisely allowed Aboriginal communities to choose their own candidates.
Can Minister Macklin (and her bureaucrats) actually listen to Aboriginal communities? They are not doing so now.
The Aboriginal vote for the CLP was a vote for change and recognition. If federal Labor does not recognise that, then there will be federal electoral consequences. What happens to Labor’s claim to the high moral ground in Aboriginal affairs if the Aboriginal communities of remote bush Australia vote for Abbott?
Linus Bowden
management consultant
"What happens to Labor’s claim to the high moral ground in Aboriginal affairs if the Aboriginal communities of remote bush Australia vote for Abbott?"
What a bizarre thing to say. The first thing that has - already - happened, is that Aboriginal people have finally woken up to how tragically disastrous the ALP has been for them for decades. You call enslaving a people to welfar. "the moral high ground"! But secondly, if there is only issue that Abbott has credibility on, that issue is Aboriginal affairs.
I hope this site intends to publish some insights from actual Aborigines on this. I think we get more than our fair share of bourgeois white folk as it is.
Steve Hindle
logged in via email @bigpond.com
The ALP has traditionally been the party for people doing it tough whether they be low paid workers, struggling pensioners or many indigenous people.
But something strange has been going on. The most persistent and fearless reporting on indigenous disadvantage has been from News Ltd (seen by many as very right wing). And what ever faults Tony Abbott has, he has put far more personal time into indigenous communities than the Labor leader. There is also no doubt many business leaders, led by Andrew Forest, are making real efforts to offer real hope.
In contrast the more left side of media and politics are fairly quiet on indigenous affairs (with the exception of SBS).
I think the Left find indigenous issues just too hard. The best intentions seem to turn to dust and the rule of unintended consequences never seems to fail. If there is a "moral high ground" ; no one on either side of politics has found it.
Kon Vatskalis
MLA
I am pretty sure that the recent NT Labor loss of governement will be examined, dissected and be analysed to death. There are many theories why it happened but the reality is that the Indigenous vote was driven by family links and relationships rather than political affiliations. This is clear in the case of Alison Anderson and Bess Price in Central Australia.
There is also a clear divide in the indigenous communities with some in the centre favoring the intervention but most in the Top End opposing…
Read moreBob Durnan
Community Development Officer
I believe Kon and Rolf are both substantially correct about some of this, even though at times they seem to contradict each other. It is pretty apparent that during the first five or so years of the NT ALP government it wilfully imitated the CLP governments of the previous 23 years in policy priority terms, and went for an "economic development first" approach, which necessarily favoured the Darwin region and mining companies. Their electoral strategy appeared to be to simply secure the Darwin/Palmerston…
Read moreRolf Gerritsen
Professorial Research Fellow, Northern Institute at Charles Darwin University
Bob
I agree with your analysis of how the NT eventually entered into the funding of infrastructure in the bush. The Commonwealth forced them into it. So they cannot really claim it as a great achievement. And I agree that the new Chief Minister is probably not fully aware of the fiscal problems the NT faces.
I remember when I was Director Economic/Social Policy in the Dept of the Chief Minister and the Wadeye COAG trial was on. The Wadeye mob wanted a swimming pool and the TOs kicked in $350K from their shop rent. The Feds kicked in $150K and then had to force the NTG to put in $50K. A few months later the NT Treasurer announced $3M for a swimming pool for race horses at Fannie Bay racecourse. A dozen or so of the smart set's racehorses more important than 3,000 Aborigines at Wadeye?
Frank Baarda
Geologist
The NT Election was neither a shockwave nor a regional ripple. It was an echo. When Warren Snowdon lost 65% of his support in the bush at the last Federal elections almost all political commentators chose to ignore that. He got in by the skin of his teeth, and several days later was annointed as the Minister for Aboriginal Health with glowing praise ("he is very much in touch with his electorate" "he is the ideal person to take on this new portfolio" etc.)
Read moreYasu Kon, you'd find if you spent some…
adele pace
consultant
I do agree that it was partly referable to the continuation of the Intervention and the shires issue, however the lack of consultation and engagement of Aboriginals has always been a problem. Policy formulation should be informed by greater equity and social justice for Aborigines, enhancing communication within and between aboriginal groups and wider community and Government. The decision to allow communities to select their own candidates was a smart move in the direction of promoting consultation and involvement by remote Aboriginal communities in the conduct of their affairs. This coupled with a low media profile and involvement in aboriginal affairs and rights can't be discounted in the post-mortem analysis
Gary Foley
historian
I agree with Linus when he says it is bizarre to talk of "Labor’s claim to the high moral ground in Aboriginal affairs".
To be precise, over the past four decades it has been ALP federal governments that have done more damage to Aboriginal people and their interests than either the Fraser or Howard governments.
Starting with Gough Whitlam's great backdown on his 1972 election promise of "Land Rights for Aborigines" because of his unwillingness to confront recalcitrant State Governments on the issue, through to the even bigger sell-out by the Hawke Government on Land Rights, the ALP has always treated Aboriginal people with contempt.
The solitary redeeming feature for the ALP is that they have treated us equally in the sense that they have also treated their traditional white working class, "true-believer" supporters with equal contempt.