Around the world an increasing number of detailed policy road maps are demonstrating the possibility, necessity and urgency of a rapid transition to a just and sustainable post carbon future. The key barriers to this transition are social and political, not technological and financial.
The Post Carbon Pathways report, published by the Melbourne Sustainable Society Institute, University of Melbourne and the Centre for Policy Development has reviewed 18 of the most comprehensive and rigorous post carbon economy transition strategies.
As Australia enters the next phase of the climate change policy debate, this report will provide vital information on how other jurisdictions are designing and implementing large-scale plans to remove carbon from their economies.
The review focuses on transition road maps produced by governments with the strongest emissions reduction targets, such as Germany, Denmark and the UK. It also looks at the most comprehensive and influential non-government authored strategies such as Zero Carbon Britain, Zero Carbon Australia and World in Transition (German Advisory Council on Global Change).
Our analysis of these diverse ways of reaching a post-carbon future highlights several key lessons.
The window is closing fast
A wide range of detailed national and global level strategies demonstrate the technological and economic feasibility of rapidly moving to a post carbon economy. This goal can still be achieved at the scale and speed required to significantly reduce the risk of runaway climate change.
But the gateway for effective action is rapidly closing. Decisive action in the next five to ten years will be critical.
There is a crucial difference between transition strategies that advocate a pragmatic and evolutionary approach and those that advocate more rapid and transformational change.
The less ambitious plans and strategies (which are generally government-led) often fail to adequately address the question, “given that the proposed actions won’t be enough to prevent runaway climate change, what can be done to bridge this gap?”. More ambitious plans and strategies (generally non-government authored), often fall down on answering the question “given that political and social support for rapidly implementing these proposals remains challenging, how do we bridge this gap?”
Technology is not the most significant barrier
Analysis of these strategies shows that technological barriers are not the most significant obstacles to a fair and swift transition to a post carbon economy
The integrated suite of technological and systemic changes needed to reach a just and sustainable post carbon future will clearly need to include:
rapid reductions in energy consumption and improvements in energy efficiency
rapid replacement of fossil fuels by renewable energy
significant investment in forests and sustainable agriculture to draw down and sequester carbon into sustainable carbon sinks.
We already have the technologies to achieve emission reductions at the required speed and scale. Soaring investment in technological innovation, particularly in the United States, China and Germany, is driving down the price of energy efficiency and renewable energy technologies at a remarkable speed.
Financial and economic barriers: significant but not insurmountable
The economic and social costs of failing to take action to reduce emissions are becoming increasingly clear – as are the multiple employment, health and environmental co-benefits of a swift transition to a post carbon economy.
Most strategies advocate a mix of market based and regulatory mechanisms, underpinned by clear long-term emissions reduction targets. Some authors however remain cautious of relying too much on carbon pricing. They recommend additional, more direct interventions such as:
binding renewable energy targets
feed-in tariffs
eliminating fossil fuel subsidies
allocating the funds to close fossil fuel power stations.
Strategies with emissions reduction targets that are more strongly informed by climate science also commonly advocate a significant shift towards economic priorities which focus on improving social and ecological wellbeing rather than unconstrained growth in material consumption.
Investment to improve the capability to cost transition options is an urgent priority. However the most robust estimates of the costs of actions required to rapidly decarbonise the global economy range from $US200 billion to US$1,000 billion per annum to 2030. To give some sense of perspective, the 2008 United States bank “bail out” cost US$700 billion.
There is no solution to climate change without climate justice
Intergenerational justice – the need to respect and protect the livelihoods and opportunities of future generations – remains the most powerful ethical justification for taking prudent and decisive climate change action now.
There is also widespread recognition that political support for a rapid transition to a post carbon economy depends on implementing policies to overcome key social equity challenges – within and beyond national borders.
The key barriers are social and political
The biggest barriers preventing a rapid transition to a post carbon future are social and political – not technological and financial.
The difficulty of securing and sustaining broad social and political support is widely recognised as the greatest barrier to a swift transition to a post carbon economy. The most significant gap in post carbon economy transition strategies is a lack of detailed game plans for mobilising political leadership and public support.
Worryingly, even the most optimistic of the social change theories underpinning these strategies, tend to rely on a variety of ‘Pearl Harbor’ scenarios in which one or more catastrophic ecological events would provide the necessary wake up call. The time lag between rising GHG concentrations and rising global temperatures makes over-reliance on such political tipping points increasingly risky.
A rapid transition to a post carbon economy will require strong leadership by national and local governments combined with broad grassroots mobilisation and enhanced global cooperation to set and achieve clear long term emissions reduction targets.
The development and communication of inspiring stories and compelling images of a just and sustainable post carbon future will be particularly crucial.
Australia’s post carbon pathway leadership challenge
The Australian Government’s 2020 emissions reduction target (a 5% decrease on 2000 levels) is clearly still far from the level required for Australia to make a responsible and fair contribution to global emissions reductions. Australia’s 2050 target (an 80% decrease on 2000 levels) is more robust. But there is no detail as yet as to how this target will be achieved.
Evidence from the most promising transition strategies elsewhere suggests we need a more informed and thoughtful debate about the kind of economic growth and industry mix that Australia should aim for. We need to talk about the fairest approaches to mobilising the required levels of financial, human and social capital.
Most importantly, a far more visionary level of political leadership will be required in order to drive an Australian climate change debate informed primarily by climate science rather than short-term calculations of political and economic feasibility.
Post Carbon Pathways: next steps
The next phase of the Post Carbon Pathways project will ask the following questions:
Which large-scale post carbon economy transition strategies have been most effective in influencing public debate and the attitudes and actions of key stakeholders and decision makers?
What have been the major barriers preventing the rapid implementation of large-scale post carbon economy transition strategies? What have been the most effective strategies for overcoming these barriers?
The answers to these questions will help create a more informed and imaginative debate about the policy choices needed to build a just and sustainable post carbon future.
Read more about Post Carbon Pathways
Comments on this article are now closed.
Luke Weston
Physicist / electronic engineer
It seems like quite a bad idea for these researchers to base their research conclusions (at least in part) on the claims made by non-scientifically-credible activist organisations such as Beyond Zero Emissions or Zero Carbon Britain instead of basing their research on literature reviews of credible peer-reviewed, published, scientific literature and/or conducting their own scientifically credible research and submitting it for scientifically credible peer-review and literature publication.
If…
Read moreMatthew Wright
Executive Director Beyond Zero Emissions
Says, an advocate for Nuclear Energy.
None of those critiques of the Zero Carbon Australia Stationary Energy Plan are peer reviewed, so you've scored an own goal in logic there.
Unfortunately no peer reviewed journals allow the submission of a 200 page book for peer review. The peer review process is not set up for our kind of contribution.
Zero Carbon Australia researchers are authors and co-authors of a number of peer reviewed scientific journal articles.
If other important publications like the Garnaut Review were written off out of hand because they weren't peer reviewed then it would seriously curtail our ability to, build knowledge learn and understand the world.
Mark Duffett
logged in via Facebook
Straw man. Publications like the ZCA Stationary Energy Plan shouldn't be written off because they're not peer reviewed (though neither should they be marketed as if they are), they should be written off because they're fundamentally flawed. You haven't been able to answer the critiques of the ZCA plan in ANY forum, let alone a peer-reviewed one.
Matthew Wright
Executive Director Beyond Zero Emissions
There is a FAQ on the Beyond Zero Emissions websites that answers the common misconceptions about the plan.
At this stage our biggest change for version 2.0 is acknowledging we got the price competitiveness of Solar Photovoltaics wrong, so that tech will feature far more prominently in version 2.0
Most of the critiques radiate out of a known pro-nuclear blog, frequented by the same cadre of guys who work The Conversation, Climate Spectator, The Drum and Reneweconomy comments sections.
While 86% of the public support more renewable energy, less than 50% support exploring nuclear as an option.
Mark Duffett
logged in via Facebook
So the critiques are wrong because of who they come from, and energy policy should be determined by populism rather than engineering and physical realities. Brilliant.
Matthew Wright
Executive Director Beyond Zero Emissions
We have addressed the critiques in the FAQ which is on the BZE website.
I was addressing the original posters logic which was that our report is not peer reviewed and therefore "non-scientifically-credible" and therefore by that logic any non peer reviewed critique of ours is "non-scientifically-credible" and therefore we shouldn't waste our time on it.
David Arthur
n/a
Gday Matthew, I see nuclear power as PART of the solution for Australia, but not as the entire solution.
If we adopt a prudent approach, rather than the usual profiteering bums-rush (ref public statements by ex-Goldman Sachs personnel), perhaps nuclear power generation could be utilised in some Australian locations.
Read more1. No meltdowns. The way to achieve this is to NOT use enriched uranium as fuel, but instead use a fuel that requires continued actuation eg thorium.
2. No inland…
David Arthur
n/a
There are some good aspects of this article, well done.
1. There is recognition that fossil fuel use is the problem, and hence tacit recognition that biofuels are a carbon-neutral way of obtaining transport fuels.
It should not need to be said that food crops and agricultural land should not be used for biofuels. Better to obtain such fuels by either anaerobic digestion of waste materials, or by photosynthetic production based on waste materials (eg algae to make oils from urban wastewater).
2. A pure pricing strategy will go a long way in eliminating fossil fuel use from the economy, and the simplest way to do this is by getting rid of a lot of taxes and replacing them with a consumption tax on fossil fuels. That is, the burden of taxation is transferred FROM all other activities and weighted TO fossil fuel use.
In order for this to work, it is important that all policies that encourage fossil fuel use are eliminated.
Mike Hansen
Mr
Mark Duffet and Luke Weston
You link to BNC posts by Peter Lang
Mark Duffet - you say "So the critiques are wrong because of who they come from"
Yes. I am not interested in reading conspiracy theories from people who are driven by ideology. Climate Change discussions are spammed by loonies - I do not have the time to follow them down every rabbit hole so I try and listen to people with credibility (whether I agree with them or not).
Peter Lang has none.
This is a comment from Peter…
Read moreMike Hansen
Mr
Luke. While you are directing people to comment threads on The Conversation, why not look at comments from Peter Lang, author of many of the BNC posts that you have linked to.
Here is Lang repeating his usual litany of climate denier talking points
"Why are people waking up to the Alarmist’s CAGW scam? See if you can put this together:
First it was called Global Warming
When that didn’t happen it was changed to ‘climate change’
Then people realised the climate is always changing, so the scare became sea levels would flood our cities by 2010
When that didn’t happen the scare campaign was changed to reduced alkalinity of the oceans (but to be scary they called it ‘acidification of the oceans’),
Then it became super scary “extreme weather events”."
https://theconversation.edu.au/news-ltd-carbon-coverage-campaigning-not-reporting-new-report-news-response-4530
Peter Lang's credibility in any discussion of renewable energy - zero.
Matthew Wright
Executive Director Beyond Zero Emissions
Mike,
Great work on pointing to comments by Peter Lang that expose his climate denialism and extreme right wing ideology.
More people need to understand that this is one of the lead contributors to Barry Brook's pro nuclear blog. And that Barry is giving him a platform.
Mark Duffett
logged in via Facebook
Rather than "Which large-scale post carbon economy transition strategies have been most effective in influencing public debate...", surely at least as pertinent a question, apparently not put or planned to be by Post Carbon Pathways, is 'which large-scale post carbon economy transition strategies have been most successful in decarbonising energy?'
The answer, of course, is the French move to atomic energy. As such, it is passing strange that France is not represented in the review of 18 'post carbon economy transition strategies', except possibly under the very broad umbrella of Europe. This can't be due to lack of a suitable 'roadmap' for examination - all you need to do is look at France's tracking log, since they've largely already reached the destination!
Matthew Wright
Executive Director Beyond Zero Emissions
Except France is going to close down half of her nuclear fleet when the socialist party gets elected at the May elections.
So France is a FAIL
Mark Duffett
logged in via Facebook
In which case, the original questions posed by Post Carbon Path become pertinent after all: why would a country step away from a successful decarbonisation strategy, flying in the face of the evidence? I reckon I can answer that one, too: they've been sold the crock that 100% renewables can do the job instead, by people like Matthew Wright.
But we'll see, won't we, both if France actually ramps down atomic energy and if her emissions rise or fall as a result. The initial indications from Germany's embarkation down this path are not good.
Matthew Wright
Executive Director Beyond Zero Emissions
Nuclear phaseout in Germany is proceeding on-time and going better than anyone anticipated.
Last year Germany was net exporters of 6TWh of electricity despite having turned off half of their plants - eight of their oldest most dangerous nuclear facilities.
Last year they installed 7,500MW of Solar Photovoltaic, the same as the year before. They are likely to install 8,000MW this year.
Last year they installed 2,000MW of wind, they may do more this year.
France was the happy recipient…
Read moreMark Duffett
logged in via Facebook
"During the recent cold snap...Germany (sic) wind was propping up France"
Now you're not just being misleading, but deliberately so, since we've had this conversation before: http://reneweconomy.com.au/2012/the-end-of-baseload-it-may-come-sooner-than-you-think-29425
Less than 10% of the highly exceptional export of German electricity to France consisted of wind. How this can be construed as the statement quoted above is beyond me. This time, I'm going to ask you to substantiate your wilder claims (such as "Without German Solar PV production...the French would have had to institute widescale blackouts"
Matthew Wright
Executive Director Beyond Zero Emissions
Actually you have been continually deliberately misleading.
Wind and Solar enabled gas peakers that have limited capacity in there lines (for line packing storage) to be operated at times of higher demand.
Wind and solar saved France from the precipice while it went through this dark in its period in its history of nuclear dependency.
Article in German (use Google Translate to get an idea)
http://www.taz.de/Energiewende-im-Praxistest/!87007/
Here is a chart showing the significant production from the Photovoltaic output in winter in Germany which saved France.
http://www.renewablesinternational.net/files/smthumbnaildata/lightboxdetail/6/3/7/4/1/PVinD.jpg
Mark Duffett
logged in via Facebook
The information in the links you provided is underwhelming to say the least. Indeed, one point I picked up is that 'less than 10% of exported German electricity was wind' was being generous. Apparently 'less than 3%' would be closer to the mark!
And I didn't need the chart to tell me that German PV wasn't producing anything at the time French demand peaked (7 pm).
In short, I've still seen no evidence to substantiate your claim.
Mike Hansen
Mr
From NewScientist
http://www.newscientist.com/article/mg21328551.400-how-to-dismantle-a-nuclear-reactor.html?
"By the start of 2012, according to the International Atomic Energy Agency, 138 commercial power reactors had been permanently shut down. At least 80 are expected to join the queue for decommissioning in the coming decade - more if other governments join Germany in deciding to phase out nuclear power following the Fukushima disaster in Japan last year."
"A standard American or French…
Read moreMatthew Wright
Executive Director Beyond Zero Emissions
I noticed you commented at 12 midday, 1PM and 2PM were you answering on your own time or on Tasmanian taxpayer time?
It doesn't matter what or how they were exporting, what matters is that they could export because solar and wind were producing.
If they had 10,000MW less Solar then they would have been importing rather than exporting on those days. It's clear cut.
Just let me know about the government job thing as well if you could? Do they have a policy for comments on work time?
Marion Brook
logged in via Facebook
"France is a Fail"? Well, France will fail us all if they close down their nuclear plants, because if they do, like Germany and Japan, they will be forced to revert to fossil fuels and their emissions will increase.
http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/05/31/us-german-nuclear-carbon-idUSTRE74U2Y220110531
http://www.nature.com/news/2011/110603/full/news.2011.348.html
"If Germany doesn't import electricity, its domestic carbon emissions are likely to increase — because even a doubling of power from renewable sources combined with a 10% cut in demand can't quite replace the low-carbon nuclear power that will be lost. Analysts put the increase between 170 million and 400 million tonnes of carbon dioxide between 2011 and 2020 (depending on different assumptions about the country's shifting power mix)."
Matthew Wright
Executive Director Beyond Zero Emissions
Firstly, in the same article the analysts who are predicting a rise in Germany's emissions are also predicting a rise in the EU carbon price from 17 Euros.
And yet it has crashed to 6 Euros.
France are ditching nuclear. The socialist party has halving of the Nuclear fleet by 2025 as a pillar of their election campaign. We should know the election results by May this year.
That article from May last year is out-of-date and incorrect. An opinion was published from a couple of analysts…
Read moreMark Duffett
logged in via Facebook
People following this thread may be interested to know that in the last day or two, Mr Wright has seen fit to spam almost every person in my employer organisation (some 50-odd people; not including me though, tellingly), in addition to - get this - just about every Tasmanian state parliamentarian, regarding my comments here and elsewhere.
Some other points.
There is such a thing as 'work breaks'.
I took a day off last week to attend my children's school sports day.
I am the proud owner of an iPad with 3G access.
The reader may draw their own conclusions.
Christine Brook
Librarian
Mark
Thankyou for sharing that - it explains a lot about the character of Matthew Wright.
Wil B
B.Sc, GDipAppSci, MEnvSc, Environmental Planner
christ, you're an [unprintable].
Mark Duffett
logged in via Facebook
Oh, and the photo caption "Looking at how other jurisdictions, such as Germany, are reducing emissions can help guide Australian policy" is quite misleading. German CO2 emission per kWh are currently increasing (http://www.newscientist.com/article/mg21328553.300-fear-after-fukushima-to-push-up-carbon-emissions.html), so if German policies are to guide Australia, it should only be as an example of what not to do.
Matthew Wright
Executive Director Beyond Zero Emissions
Sorry wrong again. If you selectively set your start date when they turned off Germany's eight oldest most dangerous nuclear plants. Then you could be correct, however Germany is using less coal and gas as more Wind and Solar gets deployed, this has been a serious trend for the past decade and this program has accelerated in the last 5 years.
Germany has 30,000MW of Wind Power and 30,000MW of Solar Photovoltaic.
If that same capacity was installed in Australia, we'd have 70% of our economy running on Wind and Solar.
While France will be dropping from 74% nuclear down below 40% by 2025.
And then of course their is Denmark. Denmark will be running 50% wind power by 2020 with a nice quick deployment of modern efficient wind turbines.
Mark Duffett
logged in via Facebook
"Germany has 30,000MW of Wind Power and 30,000MW of Solar Photovoltaic.
If that same capacity was installed in Australia, we'd have 70% of our economy running on Wind and Solar."
Utterly misleading tosh. There were days last month when that German wind and solar capacity, combined, PEAKED at less than 5000 MW (solar peaked at 1800 MW!). In other words, for MOST of the time, that 60000 MW of nominal capacity was producing MUCH LESS than 10% of its capacity. Lower latitudes notwithstanding, there is no way you can run even 70% of an economy on that level of reliability.
Matthew Wright
Executive Director Beyond Zero Emissions
You can run on that, that's why Denmark has chosen a target of 50% wind power by 2020 and Germany will be running 35% Renewables (mostly solar and wind) by the same date.
In a simple scenario for simple minds (one I do not espouse)
You could deliver a 50GW peak grid with 70% of the annual power coming from 30,000MW of Wind and 30,000MW of Solar Photovoltaic by combining that with 30% fossil gas or biogas and burning that in 40GW of gas peaking plant (gas turbines)
This is not much of a stretch on the 20GW+ of peakers (gas turbines) we have at the moment installed around Australia.
Mark Duffett
logged in via Facebook
Again, we'll see if Denmark and Germany actually reach those targets. But they can only even be contemplated because of their access to vast hydro storages in Scandinavia and other importation options (not least French nuclear). These are not options for Australia (though I'd be interested to know your opinion of the PNG hydro + HVDC line to Queensland proposal, not that this would be enough).
And in case, these targets still fall far short of the 80% zero-carbon electricity generated in France, which is the sort of level the climate requires.
Matthew Wright
Executive Director Beyond Zero Emissions
France is not generating 80% of zero carbon electricity in France.
They are dumping 15% of that generation (absolute) on the poor people and unsuspecting grid operators of Italy.
Fortunately Italy is getting off French Nuclear after installing a record 9GW of Solar Photovoltaic last year.
Chris O'Neill
Telecommunications Engineer
"You could deliver a 50GW peak grid with 70% of the annual power coming from 30,000MW of Wind and 30,000MW of Solar Photovoltaic by combining that with 30% fossil gas or biogas and burning that in 40GW of gas peaking plant (gas turbines)"
Even on those figures, you need 100GW nameplate capacity to supply (I presume) 50GW peak demand. There's no two ways about it, using wind and/or solar is going to require a big increase in nameplate capacity which is neither free nor cheap.
Fortunately for Germany, investing in nameplate capacity is probably a better investment than Greek debt. Australia, at least, needs to have a Carbon price to make that nameplate capacity a rational investment.
Christine Brook
Librarian
Several people are intimating that, because Peter Lang comments on www.bravenewclimate.com about energy matters, including costings for various technologies, his political views and his scepticism of climate change must also be supported on Professor Brook's blog. Comments Policy on BraveNewClimate states that blatant political posturing and climate change denialism will not be published. Peter Lang's (and others)violations of the Comments Policy are expunged by the moderator.
Barry Brook supports nuclear power and renewable energy as a solution to the dire prospect of unmitigated AGW. His request is that all possible energy options be on the table for analysis and discussion and that nuclear power should be one of those.
Many other prominent environmentalists including James Hansen, George Monbiot, James Lovelock and Mark Lynas agree with him.
Mike Hansen
Mr
Christine. I am the person who posted Peter Lang's comments. I think that people reading these comments and also people who go to BNC should be aware where Lang stands on climate science given that he has been featured prominently at BNC.
I was aware that Professor Brook banned climate change denialism from his blog.
That may prevent Lang from posting his accusations about it all being a far left plot at BNC but of course he is free to make his claims elsewhere as he does avidly.
Nevertheless I believe that it is dishonest not to include in Peter Lang's profile at BNC that he rejects climate science - as is made clear from his comments that I have quoted elsewhere on this thread.
Matthew Wright
Executive Director Beyond Zero Emissions
Christine,
Barry Brook's blog provides a platform for climate deniers like Peter Lang. That's why much of the science and engineering community are not interested in the commentary from that website.
Including Peter Lang's critique of University of Melbourne and Beyond Zero Emissions Zero Carbon Australia project.
The guy has crazy climate denialist / right wing extremist comments all over the place and then expects people to take him seriously?
And on top of that Barry who would otherwise get some respect provides the platform for his crazy ideology.
Christine Brook
Librarian
I don't think that those people who also support nuclear energy, such as Jim Hansen, George Monbiot, James Lovelock, Bill Gates and the governments who are building a nuclear fleet such as England, China and India could be described as having a "crazy ideology" by anyone except you.
Dan Cass
Dan Cass is a Friend of The Conversation.
Lobbyist for the forces of good at Dan Cass & Co
The core issue: This is a great piece of research work! I've got my full copy and intend to study it carefully.
What I find difficult is that it is hard to have a rational debate about energy futures when the 'hate media' and certain political quarters do so much shouting. The public sphere is so polluted with misinformation that its been hard to even get the notion of 100% renewables on the national agenda, let alone answer all the questions about how to get there.
The Conversation is just…
Read moreTim Scanlon
Author and Scientist
I'm a fan of the Zero Carbon Australia plan. I've seen the authors discuss various aspects and have confidence in their approach. I especially like that they recognised some of the work on placement of facilities that other studies have ignored.
Of course these are just general guidelines and actually doing renewable energy systems is going to be the real challenge. Curt Stager, in his book Deep Future, called this decade the most important in human history. As a species we are aware and have some control over our environment, we don't have to suffer like other species, which would follow natural growth and population crashes.
Lets start making the changes, now.
Bob Weis
Film maker
I've never understood why we don't use human sewerage to extract methane and run through a fuel cell feeding the rest to a worm farm generating a source of fertilizer environmentally cheaper and richer than super phosphate. Or we can keep crapping on our habitat.
Chris O'Neill
Telecommunications Engineer
"I've never understood why we don't use human sewerage to extract methane"
There's not a real lot of methane available from that source. There's a lot more from rubbish dumps but even that doesn't get used.
"richer than super phosphate"
Wasting the phosphate really is short-sighted. Peak phosphorus is going to happen soon enough but it's the same story as peak oil.
Bob Weis
Film maker
The nuclear 'option' is riddled with problems and is far too expensive. Fuel cell generated electricity using hydrogen is a no-brainer except that no-one gets to own it or make a lot of money from it.
Chris O'Neill
Telecommunications Engineer
Where do you get the hydrogen from?
Matthew Wright
Executive Director Beyond Zero Emissions
I don't think that is the cheapest storage option
But Wind and Solar are certainly the source.
Bob Weis
Film maker
Of course the most available source of hydrogen is water and although it is tightly bonded we can use solar driven technology to separate it and store it in carbon fibre tanks for use by fuel cells. There is an informative YouTube and lots of discussion about a man in New Jersey who is off the grid for electricity and petrol doing just this with a bank of PV panels driving the energy required to split water and then apply the resultant hydrogen to fuel cells.
No pollution, no greenhouse, no grid.
Mark Harrigan
Dr
Hi Bob - there is, alas, a major problem with hydrogen as a fuel source. It leaks - like a sieve (H2 is the tiniest molecule thete is). It's notoriouly difficult to contain. Even with double walled and sealed tanks it can empty itself in a week or two.
There was also a Cal_Tech study in 2003 http://media.caltech.edu/press_releases/12405 that showed that if the world's cars, for example, were converted to hydrogen as a fuel the resulting leakage could cause serious damage to the ozone layer.
Alas, this option, like so many. Is not a "free lunch". That's what makes this problem so intractable. Every single fuel alternative (including the existing ones) have serious drawbacks - despite the efforts of the boosters of a particular option to indicate otherwise.
Sorry to rain on your parade :( At one stage I too thought Hydrogen a real possibility
Mark Harrigan
Dr
Bob- this might interest you (on the hydrogen front)
http://www.sciencenews.org/view/generic/id/339230/title/Better_hydrogen_storage_process_unveiled
The breakthrough (still early days) apparently may allow hydrogen to be stored and transported in a liquid solution - to be released when needed to burn.
The article doesn't refer specifically to the tank leakage problem to which I referred (which is very real) - though it does talk about the problem of the need to store (as a gas) at very high pressures (which exacerbates the leakage problem).
This may be a positive sign :)
Christine Brook
Librarian
Matthew you state:
"Barry Brook's blog provides a platform for climate deniers like Peter Lang. That's why much of the science and engineering community are not interested in the commentary from that website"
BNC does not provide a platform for climate deniers as I have just patiently explained. It does, however, provide a platform for careful analysis of the various forms of non-carbon emitting energy in terms of engineering and economics and Peter Lang provides some of that content.
Contrary…
Read moreMike Hansen
Mr
Hi Christine.
You say "no-one on BNC, except the host, has a"profile". Read one of Lang's articles - there is a bio at the start of each one.
If that bio/profile included an explanation that the author of the article (Lang) rejected climate science (in his own words it is a "scam") then I would not have a problem.
You deal with Lang's denial by stopping him from expressing those views at BNC. As you say above "Comments Policy on BraveNewClimate states that blatant political posturing and…
Read moreMatthew Wright
Executive Director Beyond Zero Emissions
Peter Lang a climate denier - ie someone who can't interpret the scientific communities findings to date and is given his platform to attack renewable energy by Barry on Barry's pro nuclear blog.
Barry's blog is anti renewable pro nuclear.
Where on Barry's blog do you find out that France will be shuttering half her nuclear reactors by 2025?
Where do you find out that Denmark is running 25% wind and on track to 50% wind power.
Where do you find out that Japan has 52 of 54 reactors turned…
Read moreMark Harrigan
Dr
Thanks for this article - an important contribution. But I think it is missing evaluation of an important option. Nuclear.
I don't want to get into the debate about Peter Lang that is rampant on this thread(I find his climate science denialism and political ratbaggery objectionable and I think Barry Brooks probably regrets giving him a platform - Prof Brooks is no denier however and is always prepared to debate the data and evidence).
Nor do I want to get into the debate about ZCA - I think…
Read moreMike Hansen
Mr
Mark - you say "I find it disappointing that the anti-nuke ideologues simply cannot countenance a rational evidence driven discussion about nuclear - instead routinely preferring to peddle myths and mis-information and ignore the science."
I take it that you are referring to a comment on this thread. Can you be more specific.
Matthew Wright
Executive Director Beyond Zero Emissions
Agree with you on wind and solar.
But there are no serious options to build reactors in Australia as they are not really on the table in any western country.
They also have the problem that wind and solar keep reducing in cost and by the time a reactor was built (Even if fast tracked) Wind and Solar and capacity for balancing would be cheaper. So given the huge capital outlay and interest on the build (Financing during construction), It's just cheaper to go renewables.
Mark Harrigan
Dr
Matthew - with due respect can you validate that statement? Your affiliation makes it clear you have a particular barrow to push in favour of Wind and Solar which is fair enough but Im not sure your infomration on Nuclear is quite correct. There are some new reactoes being approved in the USA. They cannot be on the table in Australia because they are legislated against - so it's hardly a fair comparison.
I have also seen ample argument that current capital cost of large scale wind and solar, when allowing for the additinoal capacity needed to be built to cope with the intermittency, exceeds the overall cost of nuclear by a fairly wide margin.
Can you point to validated indepedently audited study that clearly establishes it is cheaper for renweables? Every single one I have seen shows that when you take into account capacity factors it is today the opposite.
Mark Harrigan
Dr
Sorry Mike - no - wasn't referring to this thread specifically. But there are plenty of comments on others which can be found. I really don't want to name names though because it just leads to personal attacks both ways.
But I'll give you an example of a myth that IS readily perpetrated - deaths due to radiation from Chernobyl.
Luke Weston
Physicist / electronic engineer
By calling Peter Lang a climatology denier or whatever, you're simply committing a logical fallacy, you're poisoning the well. Whether or not that statement actually has any real truth to it or not is irrelevant.
You're simply trying to use a fallacy to attack Lang's credibility in the actual context of what we're actually talking about here - the economics, scalability, engineering and logistics of deploying fossil-replacement clean energy systems - so that you can try and avoid having to answer to the research and the criticisms that Lang, and numerous others, have presented.
Matthew Wright
Executive Director Beyond Zero Emissions
No one in the science fraternity, would answer Peter Lang on "Climate Change is a scam" so that's a pretty good proxy for not wasting ones time on other areas of science that he maybe commenting on.
This one is clear cut.
Mark Harrigan
Dr
Luke I half agree with you and half agree with Matthew. Peter Lang actually does have plenty of good factual based stuff on nuclear. However he is so rabidlly political and anti-renewables and so soutinely claims that AGW is a scam that it does damage his credibility. It certainly alienates.
I would suggest this so damages the debate that he actually harms his own cause as well as the cause of trying to have a rational discussion about alternate energy options to fossil fuels
Mike Hansen
Mr
Luke
Pot meet kettle.
This is what you wrote above
"If we simply head over to the above-linked recent article on The Conversation and read the whole comment thread, for example, we can very quickly see that certain prominent representatives of Beyond Zero Emissions are about as crackpotty as a Tōhoku pottery shop,"
So you are no position to complain when I direct readers to Peter Lang's comments elsewhere here and at Climate Spectator. Whether you agree with him or not. Matthew Wright's position is transparent and well known. Peter Lang on the other hand attempts to wear two hats.
Christine Brook
Librarian
For those folk reading this article, who do have an open mind and in answer to MW's fallacy that BNC does not post on renewable technology - here is the BNC link to a multitude of posts about renewables. Judge for yourselves.
http://bravenewclimate.com/renewable-limits/
Matthew - your last comment smacks of hubris, lack of humility and a determined intransigence to behave like most scientists and look at the evidence. Your attack on PL is an ad hominem attack - play the ball not the man.
Matthew Wright
Executive Director Beyond Zero Emissions
Barry Brook's blog BNC routinely posts negatively on renewable energy to push its pro-nuclear agenda.
Many of the commenters on the BNC blog are vitriolic and gush with hatred towards advocates of renewable energy or those who work in the industry.
It's easy for people to find that that is the case by reading via the above link.
Mark Harrigan
Dr
Matthew - I know Peter Lang can be vitriolic - especially in his attacks claiming anyone who accepts the science of AGW is a "catastrophic alarmist".
I make no excuses for this behaviour which I find reprehensible - and I have said so directly.
Nevertheless as I have posted above what we need is an open minded debate about ALL the options.
Peter has made some well focused and seemingly well founded criticisms of ZCA.
I would ask you to rise above his personal attacks and directly address…
Read moreMatthew Wright
Executive Director Beyond Zero Emissions
Mark,
Again, as climate scientists would not waste their time on talking with Peter on climate science as he will just change shape and colour every time they correct him on something as he is an ideologue full of hatred, given his vitriolic hatred towards researchers in the renewables field it is flatly a waste of time responding.
However I will give you one or two proxy's for how bad that critique of Global Warming denier Peter Lang's is.
#1 "Comparing Australia’s energy use per capita…
Read moreMark Harrigan
Dr
Matthew - sincere thanks for this. I will go through it in a more considered fashion.
I know you think Peter is not worth responding to and I get why - there is no point in direct engagement with such hate and vitriol. BUT the criticisms on BNC (which I have read extensively and others similar elsewhere) do seem plausible - once you strip out Peter's rubbish.
I really think it would advance the discussion if they were dealt with in an item by item fashion somewhere - because at the moment my desk research on the net would suggest that the critiques have more credence than the orginal plan - perhaps only because I can't find anywhere they've been properly dealt with?
Perhaps you and your colleagues could publish a rebuttal of the main critique points?
If it will help I'll try and pull those together in my response afyer I;ve re-read both.
Matthew Wright
Executive Director Beyond Zero Emissions
Mark,
We are not likely to be bothering with wasting our time on Peter's renewable energy denialism.
I'm happy to discuss those few items that I've run past you as a proxy for the rest of the rubbish in that critique.
My team has limited resources, perhaps the BNC crowd could donate us 20-30K and we'd be happy to write a response. But otherwise we'll be focussing on Buildings, Transport, Land Use followed by Stationary Energy V2.0 (which of course will be an improvement on v1.0 based on what we now know, various tidbits and criticisms we've picked up and new things we've learnt as well as much better Met data and site date for our modelling.
Mike Hansen
Mr
Mark
The chart in this article titled "Nuclear power plant construction cost in the United States – experience and projected" is quite revealing.
The cost estimates vary depending on whether they are coming from advocates (at the low end) or investors (at the high end).
http://www.climatespectator.com.au/commentary/nuclear-too-slow-too-expensive-too-simplistic
That is why the argument expressed in some of the comments here that Lang's climate denier, anti-renewable views are irrelevant to his criticism of ZCA is a furphy.
It is also why Matthew Wright's focus in his comments here and elsewhere on the renewable investment that is actually happening (i.e. investors backing their analysis with actual cash) is a more persuasive argument.
Mark Harrigan
Dr
Mike - thanks - a useful link. But I'm not sure you;ve interprested it's concuslions properly? (apologies if I've misunderstood).
It's final paragraph states: "If you come across someone who tells you the world should be pursuing nuclear to the exclusion of all other options then tell them they’re dreamin’. But equally if someone tells you that nuclear is too slow and too expensive to consider, ask them for a spreadsheet that explains precisely why. "
and in the next bust last
"Daniel…
Read moreMike Hansen
Mr
Mark.
Yes - a pro-nuclear article from Tristan Edis who was described as such by Peter Lang
"Tristan Edis, editor of Climate Spectator, is a far left ideologue."
in one of his usual irrational rants. In so many ways Lang does more to discredit BNC than any anti-nuclear activist could.
Back to the article. The data in the article does not support Edis's conclusion. The "incredibily pessimistic" estimates are not coming from anti-nuclear groups but from the financiers. In any event it highlights the need to be skeptical of the cost estimates coming from the advocates.
Mark Harrigan
Dr
Amen to be skeptical about any claim from advocates or "anti-s".
I've got nowehere with trying to engage Peter Lang - I think I have to agree that he actually does more harm to his own cause than good because of his obvious anger (at least that it seems to me)
But I'm not feeling great about Matthews attacks on Barry Brooks either.
I genuinely don't understand how renewables advocates think it enhances their case to make attacks on nuclear which are frequently shrill, strident and unsubstantiated…
Read moreChristine Brook
Librarian
Sorry - you are wrong. BNC Comments Policy prohibits vitriolic attacks on individuals and they are expunged by the moderator.
Mike Hansen
Mr
Mark. You may be interested in this article.
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-03-19/germany-s-270-billion-renewables-shift-biggest-since-war.html
from the article
"Germany aims to replace 17 nuclear reactors that supplied about a fifth of its electricity with renewables such as solar and wind."
“The German energy transformation is as challenging as the first moon landing,” said Peter Terium, who in July takes over as chief executive officer of RWE, Germany’s second-largest utility.
Mark Duffett
logged in via Facebook
Thanks, Mike. The opportunity cost of this is enough to make you weep. For $270 billion, the 17 nuclear reactors could be triplicated rather than replaced. Instead of running to stand still, blowing $270 billion on wind to try to make up for an unnecessary atomic shutdown, they could have almost entirely decarbonised their electricity supply.
And it might not even work. The Bloomberg article is peppered with a lot of 'ifs' and phrases like "untested systems and policies" "technical hurdles threatening the project" "difficulty on a number of fronts" "lacks a clear technological solution". Hardly the technological sure thing the likes of BZE have tried to paint it as.
Mike Hansen
Mr
Mark Duffet says
"For $270 billion, the 17 nuclear reactors could be triplicated rather than replaced."
Mark - read the article.
Europe's largest and the world's fourth largest economy has decided to spend the $270 billion on *renewables* not on nuclear reactors.
"Germany aims to replace 17 nuclear reactors that supplied about a fifth of its electricity with renewables such as solar and wind."
Mark Duffet says
Read more"The Bloomberg article is peppered with a lot of 'ifs' and phrases like…
Mark Duffett
logged in via Facebook
Mike, you seem to have misunderstood me. Yes, I was aware of what Germany are planning to do (as I thought I'd made quite clear), that's why I used phrases like 'could have' and 'opportunity cost'. I genuinely can't see why you felt the need to restate the "Germany aims to..." line and tell me to "read the article". Surely you're not suggesting that just because Germany's decided to go that way, it's necessarily a viable way to go?
I'm also struggling to see how you got from my "might not work…
Read moreChristine Brook
Librarian
Matthew
Read moreYou say:
"My team has limited resources, perhaps the BNC crowd could donate us 20-30K and we'd be happy to write a response."
BNC is a personal blog run and paid for out of Barry Brook's own pocket. He does not have "a team" to help him run the blog. He writes the posts and monitors the comments in his own time. Sometimes he hosts guest posts written by other individuals.It has nothing to do with his work at the University as you will see if you read his disclaimer. Implying that he receives…
Matthew Wright
Executive Director Beyond Zero Emissions
Then why does Barry constantly post throughout the day if his blog is unrelated to his work?
Christine Brook
Librarian
I didn't say it wasn't related to his work. Barry however pays for and runs the blog without assistance from any Adelaide Uni staff.
The University of Adelaide clearly supports Barry's use of BNC in his work as it is mentioned prominently on the website:
http://www.adelaide.edu.au/environment/climate/
and in official media announcements including a recent YouTube video celebrating 1 million hits on BNC.
http://www.adelaide.edu.au/environment/climate/news/2009/
http://www.adelaide.edu.au/environment/climate/news/2011/bnc/
http://www.adelaide.edu.au/environment/climate/news/2011/bnc/bnc-onemillion.pdf
Matthew Wright
Executive Director Beyond Zero Emissions
Zero Carbon Australia is one of the most detailed reports on decarbonising an economy available globally.
It can be viewed and downloaded at http://zerocarbonplan.org or http:/beyondzeroemissions.org. It was written in conjunction with the University of Melbourne Energy Research Institute who are leaders in Energy Research.
Zero Carbon Australia is a project looking at sector by sector decarbonisation of Stationary Energy, Buildings, Transport, Industrial Processes, Land Use and replacing fossil fuel exports.
Each report will include sub reports on Research Directions, Commercialisation Opportunities, Behavioural Options, Social Impacts and Health Impacts.
We are currently working on Buildings, Transport and Land Use with two leading Australian Universities. The research collaboration now has 6 partners including the not-for-profit Beyond Zero Emissions.
University of Melbourne is recognised as one of Australia's top universities.
Christine Brook
Librarian
Actually, he rarely comments during the day. However, he does during holidays, weekends and while travelling. Most often he comments in the evening and late into the night.
His one and only moderator, who may respond during the day is a volunteer not associated with the University of Adelaide.
Matthew Wright
Executive Director Beyond Zero Emissions
It is clear that Barry does some of his politicking on taxpayer funded University time.
If he wishes to be political that is fine and the right of every Australian citizen, but Australian taxpayers should not (must not) foot the bill.
Here is but a small sample of the massive public log of Barry's activities during times that people would assume he would be otherwise engaged with his work as a climate adaptation specialist and his professorship.
Here is a small sample. Lots of people have…
Read moreMark Harrigan
Dr
Matthew - that comment is unworthy and a personal attack on Barry who is not here to defend himself.
Regardless of how Barry spends his time and how it is funded it is a cheap shot and in no way invalidates his views or his arguments.
I am a supporter of giving renewables a (major) seat at the table of options for the future though I do have some concerns there is a great deal of wishful thinking rather than data driven evidence put forward by their supporters. But as you will see above I…
Read moreMatthew Wright
Executive Director Beyond Zero Emissions
Mark,
It is clear that those of us who engage in the public debate should do so on our own time and funded the appropriate way. In my own case for instance I quit my high paying job, lived on savings, borrowed and begged got money gifted from friends and relatives.
Barry should not be engaging in public political debate like this on University time when receiving a very healthy tax payer funded salary. If he is, this is a huge problem that needs an investigation from the appropriate University…
Read moreMark Harrigan
Dr
Matthew - 3 things
1) I appreciate the information you have provided but it wasn't that long ago - barely 24 hours - and I have a family life. I think it a bit unreasonable of you to require feedback so quickly. I will go through it
2) You haven't provided your own response to my challenge on here (see below - https://theconversation.edu.au/what-australia-can-learn-from-the-worlds-best-de-carbonisation-policies-5805#comment_27523) but I have not taken you to task on that - it was, after all, only a day ago. I expect you to apply the same standard to me?
3) If you want to make a case that Barry is mis-spending his time - then you can make it (I don't agree but no-matter). But it is a separate issue as you should well know. It is NOT relevant to the merits of the argument about nuclear and renewables and to raise it obfuscates the issue and is not a valid point
Matthew Wright
Executive Director Beyond Zero Emissions
Mark,
I have provided you with 4 quick points as a proxy for how bad that critique of climate and renewable denier Lang is. I will leave it at that for now, If you make a reasoned response to that I will comment further.
As for Barry's overtly political activities, they do directly relate to the debate, renewables versus nuclear. If he is using taxpayer funded Adelaide University time to run his blog / blogging for political purposes, those purposes include unsolicited attacks on many people including myself, then that should be a case for the most serious disciplinary action. It is clear cut that I have been defamed on that website on multiple occasions and Barry Brook is the editor, the principal and is therefore legally responsible.
He however chooses to maintain the website as a place of defamatory character assassinations
Mark Harrigan
Dr
Matthew - I have done a search on BNC for "Matthew Wright" and received zero hits. It appears you are not even mentioned on the site? Perhaps I am missing something and I am happy to be corrected but what is the basis for your claim to having been defamed?
Why is it "political" for Barry Brooks to run a website to support the cause of nuclear as a viable solution to AGW? If it is why are your efforts on ZCA not political?
I would also point out that you have not in way established a case…
Read moreMark Harrigan
Dr
This is what the Amercian Secretary for Energy Steven Chu has to say about the energy policy of the USA
http://www.scientificamerican.com/article.cfm?id=steven-chu-all-of-the-above-energy-strategy
One can (rightly) argue about it's decarbonisation aspects and whether it's "best Practice" from that perspective. Probably not but then it's not motivated by that. It's motivated by energy "security".
Nevertheless readers of this thread might find it useful to know that Officially ALL options (renewables, nuclear, gas and traditional fossil fuel) are on the table in the USA
Martin Sevior
Associate Professor of Physics at University of Melbourne
Hi Matt,
Universities often encourage academics to participate in public debate. Certainly mine does. If Professor Brook meets his targets for teaching, research, administration AND he has time to participate in public debate his boss will likely congratulate him.
Mike Hansen
Mr
Matthew.
Martin Sevior's comment is my understanding as well. In any event Professor Brook is entitled to be taken at his word when he says that the blog is produced at his own expense - not that it would matter anyway.
You are barking up the wrong tree.
I understand why you feel aggrieved at the vitriol that is directed at renewable energy and renewable energy advocates by regular posters at BNC. Nevertheless you are not doing yourself any favors by your attack on Professor Brook.
Matthew Wright
Executive Director Beyond Zero Emissions
You haven't looked very hard if you couldn't find a mention of "Matthew Wright" and this
A search using the google engine for "Matthew Wright" site:bravenewclimate.com certainly shows a few results.
My claims are supported by a 200page book, and countless publications, media appearances, debates, opinion pieces and news/blog comments. What more do you want. I'm not going to spend time responding to the perpetual motion/nuclear extreme right fringe. They're a complete waste of time. Just like the climate deniers (which many of them are) they change colour, shape and form as soon as you prove anything and they shift to some other space but never moving from their pre-conceived ideologically developed position.
Matthew Wright
Executive Director Beyond Zero Emissions
If there is a case of significant misuse of resources, authorities can't just take suspects at their word. They need to investigate.
What's at stake here is students academic outcomes and research activities funded by the state(taxpayers).
If the state (Taxpayers) wants to fund a nuclear advocacy publicity front then it would do so and it would be a part of existing service delivery of some government department or there would be a new act of parliament to support that activity.
The closest thing to this is ANSTO. Perhaps anyone wanting to advocate nuclear energy on taxpayer time do it through working in the communications office at ANSTO.
Mark Harrigan
Dr
Sorry Matthew - I searched on the site itself - not using Google. Obviously it doesn't provide references by posters.
I can see (now that I've used Google) that there are some threads (e.g. this one http://bravenewclimate.com/2009/02/21/response-to-an-integral-fast-reactor-ifr-critique/) where what started out as a fairly polite debate between you and Barry degenrated a little after Barry took umbrage at you suggesting he had no industry knowlegde. But that harldy consititutes being defamed…
Read moreMatthew Wright
Executive Director Beyond Zero Emissions
Beyond Zero Emissions is a research and education organisation that does comms. It exists to promote transition to a decarbonised economy. This is recognised by the ATO as being a charitable purpose.
However a climate adaptation specialist's job is not to promote nuclear energy. That would be well out side his remit. Fine if the employer was private and the money private, but a big problem if it is your and my tax payers money being put to misuse.
As for the defamation issue. It is quite…
Read moreChristine Brook
Librarian
How exactly is it political to attempt to solve climate change by advocating the use of nuclear power as one of the future sources of energy. If that is pushing a political barrow then so are you when you insist renewable power is the only replacement for fossil fuel which should be considered.
Barry states on the blog that he is apolitical, belongs to no particular political party and excludes political comment, of either persuasion,from the comments on BNC.
You are really so off track here it is comical.
Christine Brook
Librarian
"However a climate adaptation specialist's job is not to promote nuclear energy."
Why not if yours is to promote renewable power?
Surely the remit is to suggest feasible solutions to replacing fossil fuels. At least nuclear power does not need a fossil fuel back-up - gas -
which your preferred solution requires to be dispatchable, reliable and sustainable.
Marion Brook
logged in via Facebook
Barry Brook analyses discusses and debates possible climate solutions, he doesn't just promote nuclear energy for it's own sake but as a tool for decarbonisation.
Barry Brook holds the Sir Hubert Wilkins Chair of Climate Change; surely it is reasonable to expect such a role to include an appraisal of possible solutions to climate change – including our zero carbon energy options. Here's his bio:
http://bravenewclimate.com/about/
And let's be clear, his assessments of our non-carbon energy supply options include a peer reviewed paper published in the respected journal “Energy”. Barry is in no way speaking out of turn when addressing energy issues pertinent to climate change.
Link to paper below:
How carbon pricing changes the relative competitiveness of low-carbon baseload generating technologies http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S036054421000602X
Mark Harrigan
Dr
Matthew - you still have made claim to be defamed on the BNC website but you haven't substantiated it - merely repeated the claim. You may be right but if you don;t provide evidence to support the claim it looks like sour grapes. On what thread were you defamed and exactly where? Did you complain to the moderator to have the comment removed?
Christine Brook
Librarian
As I have stated elsewhere the University of Adelaide openly supports Barry in running his blog BNC and promotes it on the web pages and in the media.
You are running up the wrong rabbit hole.
Christine Brook
Librarian
Sorry - you are wrong. BNC Comments Policy prohibits vitriolic attacks or defamatory slurs on individuals and they are expunged by the moderator. Many visitors to BNC comment how refreshing it is that the site is so well moderated and therefore kept to civil discourse.
Christine Brook
Librarian
Adelaide University not only supports but also proudly promotes BNC with media releases, youtube videos and prominent links on the Environment Institute website.
You are a mischief maker (where no mischief exists) and not worthy of your position.
Christine Brook
Librarian
Matthew
It is hardly a secret that I Adelaide University officially supports what Barry is doing with BraveNewClimate
http://www.adelaide.edu.au/environment/climate/
It has also sponsored seminars on Nuclear (and Renewable) Power:
http://www.adelaide.edu.au/environment/event/2010/nucleardebate.html
Which Barry presented in his own time after hours.
The University produced a media release and YouTuvbe video promoting the blog after it had received 1 million hits (now over 3 million)
http://www.adelaide.edu.au/environment/climate/news/2011/bnc/bnc-onemillion.pdf
http://www.adelaide.edu.au/environment/climate/news/2011/bnc/
Your personal attacks are unwarranted and do you no credit.
Christine Brook
Librarian
As to your constant complaint of vitriolic attacks on renewable advocates, since the Fukushima incident when the blog received nearly 1 million hits in a week, a strict moderation policy was adopted.
Read moreBarry is not, as you claim, overtly political. He belongs to no political party and states that BNC is apolitical. PL and others complained there was an overwhelming representation of left-wing green ideology on the site whilst others, like yourself, claimed the opposite. BNC Comments Policy now addresses…
Mark Harrigan
Dr
Chritsine - that's a great policy - and I am subsrciber to BMC (though I don;t get the time to read all the posts). I have respect for a number of the posters - like Barry and Tom Blees (for example). I like the site. Although I don't always agree with everything on it I recognise it attemptd to deal with the topic with integrity. It has a particular POV (in favour of nuclear as solution to AGW) but it advocates that with transparency and a genuine desire to be data driven
But I have to confess…
Read moreChristine Brook
Librarian
Hi Mark
To respond to your question:
The section you quoted:
"If you are pro-nuclear but consider climate change to be some alarmist conspiracy, then you are welcome to frequent other energy blogs that are populated by denialists – there are plenty of them. Go ahead, it’s a free internet."
is a comment by Barry but not actually part of the Comments Policy as you will realise if you check the next sentence:
"Otherwise, stay, enjoy, contribute, and follow the commenting rules:
Read more(which then…
Mark Harrigan
Dr
Christine, I'm sorry but that's not a distinction that I think can be sustained. The sentences you posted are word for word what is on the relevant policy statement
http://bravenewclimate.com/about/comments-policy/
It's an integral part of the full policy statement. I do not see how it is possible to argue otherwise and, in my opinion, to do so doesn't promote a good image for you or the site
It explicitly says
"I welcome comments, posts, suggestions and informed debate, from a wide…
Read moreChristine Brook
Librarian
Hi Mark
I have given you my view on the matter. Please ask Professor Brook for an explanation if you have a different opinion. I am sure he would be happy to discuss this with you.
Christine Brook
Librarian
It is a great pity that such a good site as The Conversation doesn't make it a policy to delete personal attacks on individuals.
It would also improve the thread if off topic comments, used to shift the focus when the poster can't or won't answer questions and thus muddy the waters, are also deleted.
Mike Hansen
Mr
Christine. I agree with you about the personal attacks.
However I will point out that they started with Luke Weston's comment
"...certain prominent representatives of Beyond Zero Emissions are about as crackpotty as a Tōhoku pottery shop"
and his linking to climate denier (see his references to the "Alarmist’s CAGW scam" above) Peter Lang's posts at BNC to make his point.
Mark Duffett
logged in via Facebook
Mark H, I think you are misinterpreting the BNC policy statement, or at least its intent. My reading is that it's simply saying to the likes of Peter Lang 'post if you want, but if your comments include denialist or political material, you can expect it to be moderated to oblivion, and don't complain if it is'. No more and no less.
Christine Brook
Librarian
Hi Mike
"...certain prominent representatives of Beyond Zero Emissions are about as crackpotty as a Tōhoku pottery shop"
You are right that statement was made on BNC but stood only briefly until the moderator logged in when it was expunged with a comment - deleted pejorative.
I know that the moderator is a part-time volunteer and isn't on the blog all the time so some violations of the Comments Policy do get through initially. I guess you would have to put everyone on moderation all the time to avoid that and the blog would quickly grind to a halt as happens sometimes on the ABC blogs.
Mike Hansen
Mr
Hi Christine
I did not mean BNC, I meant here at The Conversation on *this* thread. You were complaining about the moderation policy here.
Because the end of long comments here are hidden it may not show up in a page search.
I am a an occasional visitor to BNC and I am aware of your moderation policy - that for me at least has never been an issue.
Mark Harrigan
Dr
Thanks Christine - I appreciate where you are coming from. And I take on board Mark Duffet's perspective - although I do think it is a VERY fine line. And I would point out that many people have expressed their concern about Peter Langs stated "CAGW Scam" approach and propensity not to debate but simply resort to calling anyone who disagrees with him a left ideologue as problematic for Peter's credibility and by extension BNC.
Perhaps that shouldn't be the case but the evidence is clear that this is the perception held by many.
I would suggest Barry might want to reflect on that?
(and hence dismissal - rightly or wrongly) Peter Langs
jim green
friends of the earth campaigner
Here's a critique of the Brook / BNC nuclear advocacy:
http://www.foe.org.au/anti-nuclear/issues/oz/barry-brook-bravenewclimate
the conclusion ...
Many people concerned about climate and energy are wrestling with some enormous dilemmas:
Read more-- Coal burning is a major cause of climate change, and efforts to develop 'clean coal' technology have been half-hearted and progress has been glacial.
-- Widespread nuclear power proliferation will run the WMD proliferation risks "off the reasonability…
Christine Brook
Librarian
Would that be the same parallel universe where James Hansen, Bill Gates, George Monbiot, James Lovelock, Tom Blees, Chuck Till, Yoon Chang and the governments of France, England, China and India(to name just a few rational proponents of nuclear energy) live?
Just a little bit silly Jim.
And while we are on the topic do tell how many non-hydro fossil fuel plants have been replaced worldwide by renewable energy. I can only think of one country - France - where they replaced all their oil burning electricity plants with nuclear power in just 10 years. Could that be why France has the lowest CO2 emissions?
Surely the PRIME objective of FOE and Greenpeace should be to rid the World of CO2 emissions not to promulgate hysteria about nuclear power. Don't tell me renewables can do - not without the gas back-up which you promote. Er,isn't gas a fossil fuel?
http://bravenewclimate.com/2011/01/28/two-countries-two-paths-one-crucial-lesson-learned/
Christine Brook
Librarian
Sorry - I forgot to put up the latest video:
Two countries, two paths, two lessons learned"
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lF7n5tYtkFg
Bob Weis
Film maker
thanks Mark
we went to Monash Uni recently to talk with Prof Andrew McFarland who had invented a carbon nanotube electrode which could be made for hundreds instead of thousands of dollars. His unit also had a compact sized device to extract hydrogen from water which required some electrical energy which could be solar, wind etc.
On the site thread it has been disturbing how much energy has gone into vitriole - on reflection it feels like a family squabbling over minor points which seem major at the time.
If we agree that global warming is man made and real then we can disagree about the responses but I am opposed to nuclear because it hasn't been proven to be safe or viable and pro renewables. In all the discussion I have yet to see a reference to solar concentrators which dramatically increase the yield of PV panels, how rock or any attempt to understand how Germany can commit to an energy future that won't work.
Are the Germans stupid or are we missing something?
Mark Harrigan
Dr
Hi Bob - this comment isn't showing below mine about the hydrogen issue but I'm guessing it's a reply?
The nanotube elctrode development also sounds interesting - perhaps we will hear more about this and realted aspects on TC? Hydrogen as a fuel has a key advantage of being relatively energy dense and also burning "cleanly"
Energy density is VERY important. It's one important reason why fossil fuels have been so "successful" - and is also a key advantage of nuclear. It matters because energy…
Read moreMark Duffett
logged in via Facebook
People who are not stupid are still capable of making stupid decisions. Permanently closing 17 perfectly functional near-zero carbon electricity generators, in the current climate (in all senses), in response to Fukushima, when they're nowhere near a tsunamigenic zone...I don't think 'stupid' is too strong a word to describe that - or at least 'foolish', according to this professor chap: http://www.energytribune.com/articles.cfm/10121/A-Nuclear-Dream-From-London
And, at the risk of invoking Godwin (but clearly there are mitigating factors in this case), it's not like Germany hasn't made catastrophically bad national decisions before ;)
Bob Weis
Film maker
Mark
thanks for the info, have been watching the BBC piece but still not convinced on nuclear.
Given Australia has no nuclear now and that given the political process will and should take some time what is the time frame that a nuclear alternative of fourth generation plants could be built at what cost and what is the embodied CO2 cost of the mining, building, operation and decommissioning of the appropriate systems.
Read moreHow does this compare with geo-themal currently being trialled in Geelong…