As Labor goes through the painful process of examining what went wrong at this year’s election and how it might win the next, there are 10 key lessons to be learnt.
Academic rigour, journalistic flair
Articles on Bill Shorten
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Labor needs to better tune into middle suburbia, yet it can’t afford to turn its back on the issues that concern its more progressive supporters. It will be a tricky balancing act.
The Tasmanian seats of Bass and Braddon were always going to be key elements of a Coalition victory – and so it proved to be.
Election data suggests the Coalition’s victory wasn’t so surprising after all – long-term trends pointed toward a Labor loss, given the various factors in play in this election.
Labor’s defeat revives a familiar problem in Australian political history: the left’s inability to show how its policies can improve people’s material conditions.
The outcome is completely opposite to the polls, which all had Labor ahead going into the election, albeit narrowly and with some tightening during the campaign.
After five long weeks, the campaign is drawing to a close, with the polls still pointing to a narrow Labor win, with lots of unknowns in the detail.
Recent polling suggests the race is tightening. Then again, opinion polling suggested the recent Victorian state election would also be a close affair and it turned out to be a Labor landslide.
The Labor leader’s personal popularity is stubbornly low, but this has allowed him to build himself as a team player, and position him well to become Australia’s next prime minister.
At some level, democratic societies have had enough of Murdoch and his propaganda operation masquerading as a news service.
An inquiry into the status of the teaching profession lasted just four months before being shelved with no clear way forward. Is this the best teachers can hope for?
Wentworth remains one of the most interesting individual contests in this campaign.
It remains to be seen whether the Liberals’ campaign woes in Lyons will have any impact on the neighbouring battleground seats of Bass or Braddon, which recent polls suggest the Liberals could regain.
Lack of scrutiny of the Coalition, barrage of criticism aimed at Labor: News Corp’s coverage of the election campaign has been the definition of partisan.
The Christian Democratic Party in NSW could play a key role in the election by funnelling support from voters in electorates with large East Asian populations to the Liberal Party.
No gaffes, no real surprises – the third leaders’ debate was a fairly predictable affair, save for the testy conclusion
The Daily Telegraph story with the headline “Mother of Invention” backfired, handing Shorten the opportunity of a powerful moment on the campaign trail and drawing criticism even within News Corp.
As the campaign wears on, Scott Morrison and Bill Shorten have appeared increasingly stage-managed and rehearsed. Where is the charisma, wit and inspiring ideas?
While Ipsos on Newspoll are telling different stories about leaders’ approval ratings, both are still showing a likely victory for Labor at the federal election.
The reason we know more about a post-election Labor ministry is that most of its occupants are already “shadowing” the jobs they’d hold.
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Top contributors
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Professorial Fellow, University of Canberra
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Election Analyst (Psephologist) at The Conversation; and Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Melbourne
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Associate Professor, Politics and Public Policy, Flinders University
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Senior Lecturer, School of Political and Social Inquiry, Monash University
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Senior Lecturer of Australian Politics, Murdoch University
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Professor of History, ANU College of Arts and Social Sciences, Australian National University
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Honorary Professorial Fellow, Melbourne CSHE, The University of Melbourne
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Senior Project Manager, Murdoch University
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Senior Lecturer in Political Science: Research Fellow at the Cairns Institute; Research Associate for Centre for Policy Futures, University of Queensland, James Cook University
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Senior Research Fellow, Centre for Advancing Journalism, The University of Melbourne
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Senior Lecturer in Australian Politics, Monash University
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Dennis Altman is a Friend of The Conversation.
VC Fellow LaTrobe University, La Trobe University
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Adjunct Professor at the University of Canberra, University of Canberra
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Honorary lecturer, School of Social Sciences, UNSW Sydney
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Emerita Professor, Department of Politics and International Relations, University of Adelaide
