Our new analysis shows Indigenous voters could play a decisive role in 15 marginal seats – including key battlegrounds in urban and regional Queensland, as well as NSW, WA and Tasmania.
Labor needs substantially more than 50% of the two-party preferred vote – 51.8% according to the pendulum – to win the majority of seats, 76. This equates to a swing of 3.3 percentage points.
Despite Morrison saying how much he respected the “professionalism”, “expertise” and “skills” of the public service, his remarks won’t be lost on federal bureaucrats.
Sitting MPs toppling right, left and centre? Not necessarily. The connection between the safeness of a seat and the chances it will change hands is much looser than we might expect.
The Labor Party has been driving a campaign bus from Cairns to Canberra. On Sunday night Sam Dastyari told supporters they had raised enough money to extend its journey through to Melbourne.
It is a shocking truth that, for the most part, the politicians are leaving their humanity at home as they debate the future of the men on Manus Island.
It has been reported that former Liberal Democrat peer Matthew Oakeshott has donated £600,000 to left-leaning parliamentary hopefuls in the quest to stave off a Conservative victory in the election. Oakeshott…
If the polls are accurate and Labor is almost at level pegging with the Coalition, it would seem we are in for a repeat of the very close election of 2010. But for various reasons this is not necessarily…