Making sense of the polls
Displaying 211 - 220 of 230 articles
This week and last week we have had polls from Newspoll, Morgan and ReachTEL, all giving Labor clear two party leads. While the Nielsen that gave Labor a surprise lead three weeks ago was off-trend at…
Final results have now been released for the September Federal election. The Coalition won 45.6% of the primary vote, up 1.9% on 2010. Labor won 33.4%, down 4.6%, the Greens received 8.7%, down 3.1%, and…
The early polls make it clear that there has not been a post-election honeymoon for the Abbott government. A honeymoon is the expected aftermath of a change in government election, and the Hawke, Howard…
In Western Australia, three Liberals and one Labor candidate are certain of election. The initial results showed that the last two seats were being won by a second Labor candidate, and Palmer United Party…
The table below shows the final Senate results, as announced by the Australian Electoral Commission (AEC) for each state and territory. The results in WA could change because only 14 votes decided a critical…
The ABC’s Senate calculator currently shows the Sex Party winning the final Senate seat in Tasmania. However, the ABC’s calculator treats all Senate votes as above the line ticket votes, though in Tasmania…
Projected Winner: the Coalition The table below has the usual poll, two party result, change from last issue, fieldwork dates and sample size. Newspoll has not made a major election error with its final…
This Week’s Polls As usual, the table below shows the poll, two party result, change from that poll’s last issue, fieldwork dates and sample size. The two party figures in the above table obscure the increase…
At the 2010 election, 84% of votes were either ordinary or pre-poll votes cast within a voter’s electorate; these votes are counted on election night. The remaining votes are postal votes, pre-poll votes…
This Week’s Polls As before, the table below shows the poll, two party result, change from last issue, fieldwork dates and sample size. Newspoll and Morgan both decreased their sample sizes to their usual…