Whether you are predicting the outcome of an election or studying how effective a new drug is, there will always be some uncertainty. A margin of error is how statisticians measure that uncertainty.
On Dec. 8, 2020, the first members of the public were given doses of a coronavirus vaccine.
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The coronavirus vaccine was developed faster than any vaccine in history. It took just 332 days from the first sequencing of the virus genome to the first vaccines given to the public.
Asking these four questions can help us identify good news when we see it, be more critical of news reports, or delay our judgement until we have more information.
The COVID-19 pandemic has highlighted how much modern societies are governed by statistics. Despite their objective appearance, these numbers gain their strength from very human relationships.
Botswana retained its rating because of its strong case about fiscal strategy, institutional strength, and prudent policymaking.
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African governments must engage rating agencies better, providing them and investors with credible economic data, and regularly address all concerns being raised.
A girl views the body of her father, who died of COVID-19, while mourners who can’t visit in person are onscreen.
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Health statisticians keep careful tabs on how many people die every week. Based on what’s happened in past years, they know what to expect – but 2020 death counts are surging beyond predictions.
The pandemic has exposed many of us to new statistical concepts, on the news, in everyday conversations and on social media. But how many are you getting wrong?
The pandemic leaves its mark in the number of lives ended.
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Health statisticians keep careful tabs on how many people die every week. Based on what’s happened in past years, they know what to expect – but 2020 death counts are surging beyond predictions.
Random testing conducted in Indiana gives public health officials some of the most representative and accurate data to date.
AP Photo/Darron Cummings
A team of researchers from Indiana University performed random testing for SARS-CoV-2 across the state. The results offer some of the most accurate data to date about important aspects of the virus.
The number of confirmed and probable deaths from COVID-19 in New York City was 23,247 as of July 10, which is more than eight times the number who died in the 9/11 attack.
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Many of the more formal models for predicting the pandemic try to understand why changes happen – but often it can be more accurate to ignore the reasons and simply look at the data.
Nurses and other health care workers in New York mourned colleagues who have died during the outbreak of the novel coronavirus.
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Why one city suffers significantly more deaths than another isn’t always obvious. A simple experiment shows how failing to consider certain factors can point policy makers in the wrong direction.
UK opposition leader, Keir Starmer, with a government graph showing an international comparison of COVID-19 death tolls.
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On the 200th anniversary of Florence Nightingale’s birth, we take a look at how her monumental efforts helped shape the way we model health care and disease outbreak data today.
Professor, Future Fellow and Head of Statistics at UNSW, and a Deputy Director of the Australian Centre of Excellence in Mathematical and Statistical Frontiers (ACEMS), UNSW Sydney