Despite reports Labor might struggle in Braddon and Longman, the byelections delivered a comfortable win in Braddon and a strong one in Longman.
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Dennis Atkins on the Longman byelection
Dennis Atkins, the Courier Mail's national affairs editor, says the result in the Longman byelection is anybody's guess due to preference changes.
On Saturday, five federal seats will have a byelection, with particular attention being paid to tight races in Longman and Braddon. And all have implications for the major parties and their leaders.
With the much anticipated Super Saturday byelections on Saturday, the polls in Longman and Braddon still show a very tight race.
Incoming ALP President Wayne Swan has lashed out at Mark Latham as “someone who ratted on battlers” after the former Labor leader’s robo message to Longman voters, authorised by Pauline Hanson".
More worrying for Labor than Bill Shorten’s bad, though, is Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull’s rising ratings.
Labor’s compromise will allow firms with turnovers under $50 million to keep the tax cut that will be in place at the election.
Creating epithets for political opponents has a long history in Australia – and when it works, it can be devastating.
Albanese’s speech comes against a background of speculation that Bill Shorten’s leadership could be under pressure if the party performs badly at the Super Saturday byelections.
It was a busy week in politics, with the federal government passing its income tax package, more squabbling over the ABC, and all parties gearing up for the July 28 byelections.
While the Turnbull government’s ratings have improved, the focus on its tax policies and the Barnaby Joyce story may be holding back its vote.
Shorten has moved to make the ABC an election issue promising to reverse the Turnbull government’s $83.7 million budget cut and to guarantee funding certainty over the broadcaster’s next budget cycle.
Polls also have good news for the government, with the two-party preferred gap narrowing and the budget well-received.
Labor continues to hold a 51-49% two-party lead in the wake of last week’s budget.
Shorten gave his budget reply speech in less-than-favourable circumstances on Thursday night.
Labor holds its two-party preferred lead over the Coalition, but recent momentum has been with the incumbent government.
Malcolm Turnbull may have lost 31 consecutive Newspolls, but the latest result shows a narrowing between the two major parties, and the Coalition’s best performance since September 2016.
Up to now, both government and opposition were anxious to stay in step.
Despite the government’s 30th Newspoll loss under Malcolm Turnbull, this week’s polls have been a mixed bag for both sides.
The Coalition braces for the next Newspoll, while a redistribution gives Labor reason to smile, and the Batman byelection results are finalised.
Les contributeurs les plus fréquents
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Professorial Fellow, University of Canberra
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Election Analyst (Psephologist) at The Conversation; and Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Melbourne
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Associate Professor, Politics and Public Policy, Flinders University
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Senior Lecturer, School of Political and Social Inquiry, Monash University
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Senior Lecturer of Australian Politics, Murdoch University
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Professor of History, ANU College of Arts and Social Sciences, Australian National University
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Senior Project Manager, Murdoch University
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Honorary Professorial Fellow, Melbourne CSHE, The University of Melbourne
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Senior Lecturer in Political Science: Research Fellow at the Cairns Institute; Research Associate for Centre for Policy Futures, University of Queensland, James Cook University
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Professor, Public Service Research, UNSW Sydney
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Adjunct Professor at the University of Canberra, University of Canberra
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Dennis Altman est un·e adhérent·e de The Conversation
VC Fellow, La Trobe University
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Senior Lecturer in Australian Politics, Monash University
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Senior Research Fellow, Centre for Advancing Journalism, The University of Melbourne
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Professorial Fellow, Jumbunna IHL, University of Technology Sydney
