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Getting the numbers on population

Long term population projections have a key role in informing policy, researchers say, responding to the government’s recently released population strategy.

“Our modelling indicates there is a 95 per cent chance that by mid-century Australia’s population will be between 29 and 43 million,” UQ’s Dr Tom Wilson said.

The Intergenerational Report’s projection of 36 million, dubbed a “big Australia” by former Prime Minister Kevin Rudd, lies in the middle of this range.

“Our model tells us there is a 50 per cent chance that the nation’s population will be greater than 36 million by 2051, so we could have an ‘even bigger’ Australia,” he said.

Read more at The University of Queensland

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