The Newspoll, in Monday’s Australian, shows signs of the vote polarising as the campaign formally starts for the May 18 election.
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As Morrison readies to call the election, with speculation he will announce next weekend for May 18, he has also increased his lead over Shorten as better prime minister in Newspoll.
Weak economic data and sluggish wages have contributed to the Coalition’s poor showing in the latest Newspoll, which gives Labor a 54-46 lead on two-party preferred.
The worsening Coalition performance comes after last week’s sluggish economic figures and amid
more bickering on the conservative side of politics, including pot shots from Malcolm Turnbull.
Despite a week of heated debate over the medevac legilation, the latest polls continue to show Labor with an election-winning lead.
The latest polls show Labor holding a solid lead over the Coalition, while seat polls show that Tony Abbott may struggle to retain his Sydney seat.
The latest Fairfax-Ipsos and Essential polls give a strong lead to Labor, with some interesting – and variable - detail on the attributes voters see in the leaders of the two major parties.
The final results post-election Victorian upper house are not a ringing endorsement for democracy - and provide a strong case for reform.
And for the first time since the 1999 republic referendum, those opposed to a republic outnumber those in favour of it.
The Newspolls have been consistently worse for the Coalition since the
leadership change – before that Labor had been cut back to a narrow 51-49% lead.
In the aftermath of the Wentworth byelection, the Coalition government has suffered another set-back in the polls.
The latest polls are a mixed bag for the Morrison government: there were gains in primary and two-party preferred vote, but the polls still have Labor in an election-winning position.
The Morrison and Berejiklian governments might be of the same stripe but, with both facing elections in the first half of 2019, their interests rub up against each other uncomfortably.
Policymaking is no longer based solely on what a party stands for. Now, it also matters how a decision is going to play in the opinion polls – and that’s a problem for our political system.
The Coalition’s recent hit in the polls seems to be subsiding, while Kerryn Phelps may have made a damaging error by announcing she’ll preference the Liberals in the Wentworth byelection.
The Newspoll two party vote remains much worse than the last days of Malcolm Turnbull, and the controversy over his ousting continues.
Another poor showing in the polls for the government, with analysis showing the Coalition most likely to lose support at the next election among the well-educated, the young and in Victoria.
The Liberal party is also reeling after a massive swing has cost it the previously safe seat of Wagga Wagga in Saturday’s NSW state byelection.
The Coalition’s primary vote has plunged 4 points to 33%, and Labor’s vote has jumped from 35% to 41%, in The Australian’s poll, which comes as Morrison moved quickly to announce his ministerial team.
While the two-party preferred polling remains steady, the prime minister has taken a tumble in his personal approval ratings.
Top contributors
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Election Analyst (Psephologist) at The Conversation; and Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Melbourne
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Professorial Fellow, University of Canberra
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Vice-Chancellor and President, University of Canberra
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Emeritus Professor of Politics and International Relations, Macquarie University
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Adjunct Research Fellow; Journalist, University of Notre Dame Australia
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Adjunct Professor of Politics. Griffith Business School, Griffith University
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Tony Walker is a Friend of The Conversation.
Vice-Chancellor's Fellow, La Trobe University
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Senior Lecturer in Clinical Ethics and Health Law, University of Newcastle
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Emeritus professor, Southern Cross University
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Professor of Politics, Griffith University
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Senior Lecturer of Australian Politics, Murdoch University
