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Articles on exit polls

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A voter exits a polling location on Election Day, Nov. 3, 2020 in Fort Worth, Texas. Tom Pennington/Getty Images

Election polls in 2020 produced ‘error of unusual magnitude,’ expert panel finds, without pinpointing cause

A task force of polling experts found surveys notably understated support for Donald Trump, both nationally and at the state level. Here’s what may have gone wrong, according to a polling historian.
Biden supporters in Philadelphia celebrate when his win – with a much smaller margin than predicted by polls – was projected by news outlets on Nov. 7, 2020. Chris McGrath/Getty Images

Survey experts have yet to figure out what caused the most significant polling error in 40 years in Trump-Biden race

Stung by their failure to accurately predict the outcome of the 2020 presidential election, pollsters collectively went off to figure out what went wrong. They have yet to figure out what or why.
Asian American voters leave a Temple City, California, polling place in 2012, in the state’s first legislative district that is majority Asian American. Frederic J. Brown/AFP via Getty Images

Asian Americans’ political preferences have flipped from red to blue

Asian Americans were engaged in an electoral realignment long before Kamala Harris was added to the 2020 Democratic ticket.
Joe and Jill Biden address the press the evening of the Idaho, Missouri, Michigan, Washington, Mississippi and North Dakota primaries. AP Photo/Matt Rourke

Biden’s win shows the power of Democratic moderates

It is becoming clear that this election season, the Democratic Party will likely adopt a center-left agenda.
Will voters of the future swing left or right? Cropped from joebeone/flickr

The Democratic Party is facing a demographic crisis

As America becomes more diverse, many think it will also become more progressive. But one analysis of demographic trends points to gains for Republicans.

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