While it was clear the Liberals were set to govern in minority weeks ago, the end of the vote count leaves the party with one less seat than expected, making forming government harder.
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Inflation and the cost of living continue to eat away at Labor’s polling advantage.
Polls aren’t favouring state Labor parties. Based on the latest figures, Labor would struggle to form government in Tasmania, while support for the party in Queensland has dipped.
Ahead of the Dunkley byelection on March 2, Labor takes a hit in key polls, but Anthony Albanese’s personal approval is still ahead of Peter Dutton’s.
While two-party preferred polling is steady, a majority of Australians support Labor’s changes to the stage 3 tax cuts.
The summer break hasn’t changed the Freshwater polling figures for the two major parties federally. Overseas, the former US President is in a strong position ahead of the Iowa caucus.
Latest polling suggests Labor’s position might be improving slightly, perhaps due to increased optimism about the state of the economy.
The Labor government’s once-healthy lead has crashed since the October referendum.
The slumping polls show how damaging the heavy defeat of the Voice referendum and continuing cost of living pressures have been to the prime minister and Labor.
After a post-referendum drop in the polls, Labor has bounced back.
The final Newspoll gave “no” an accurate lead. Meanwhile, Labor maintains a strong overall lead against the Coalition.
With less than a week to go until the Voice referendum, the polls are looking grim for the “yes” campaign.
The prime minister’s approval ratings have turned around from the last Newspoll - but the “yes” campaign for the Voice referendum continues to struggle.
The latest Newspoll shows more bad news for the “yes” campaign.
The official pamphlets for the ‘yes’ and ‘no’ cases for the Voice referendum will be released on Tuesday
Labor’s post-election honeymoon, while hitting a snag or two, has not yet ended - but support for the Voice to Parliament continues to slide.
The ‘no’ campaign now leads by a margin of 46-43% nationally. It also has a majority in polls in four states.
While a loss would have a negative impact for the opposition leader, especially in teal seats he needs to win, it would have more serious challenges and consequences for Albanese
The Labor government maintains a healthy lead in the polls, but support for the Voice to parliament appears to be slipping.
This year’s budget hasn’t rated well by historical standards, but has nonetheless given Anthony Albanese a boost in his personal ratings.
Top contributors
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Election Analyst (Psephologist) at The Conversation; and Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Melbourne
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Professorial Fellow, University of Canberra
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Vice-Chancellor and President, University of Canberra
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Emeritus Professor of Politics and International Relations, Macquarie University
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Adjunct Research Fellow; Journalist, University of Notre Dame Australia
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Adjunct Professor of Politics. Griffith Business School, Griffith University
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Tony Walker is a Friend of The Conversation.
Vice-Chancellor's Fellow, La Trobe University
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Senior Lecturer in Clinical Ethics and Health Law, University of Newcastle
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Emeritus professor, Southern Cross University
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Professor of Politics, Griffith University
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Senior Lecturer of Australian Politics, Murdoch University
