The next set of instructions handed to the Reserve Bank will have to be realistic. That might mean a big change.
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The Reserve Bank cut interest rates on Tuesday because we weren’t spending or pushing up prices at the rate it wanted. On Wednesday we might find things are worse than it thought.
Combined, APRA and the Reserve Bank are about to give households on $150,000 up to $120,000 more borrowing power.
Under cover of a speech from the Reserve Bank governor, the Prudential Regulation Authority has moved to make it 10% easier to borrow.
Frydenberg and Morrison will have to switch from boasting about the economy to fixing it, quickly.
Expect two more interest rate cuts, but they mightn’t be enough.
Interest rate cuts don’t work like they used to, and they help us put off the hard things we need to do to improve our lives.
The Reserve Bank has adjusted rates in previous election campaigns, but it needs to have a very, very, good reason.
Inflation has barely been within the Governor Philip Lowe’s target band his entire time in office. Zero inflation means he should cut now, before the election.
Rates might need to be cut urgently, and because things are good. Governor Lowe has signalled he won’t wait.
The new RBA monetary statement is just like the old one.
As with economic growth and wages, the RBA’s response seems to involve crossing as many fingers and toes as possible and publicly proclaiming that things are looking good.
A whole bunch of folks are on the wire, and if their housing payments go up they are going to struggle.
Two experts argue for and against government intervention when it comes to fixing low wage growth.
If the RBA continues to sacrifice its inflation target on the altar of financial stability risks, inflation expectations and our wages growth will continue to languish.
If we do escape the interest only debacle unscathed it will be pure, dumb luck, not a consequence of good design or sound regulation.
While the RBA might not be able to influence the current cash rate, it can still influence longer-term rates by offering guidance about its future policy decisions.
Statements from the RBA show it’s little wonder markets are not predicting a rate increase this year.
The data shows a tricky balancing act for policy makers. Interest rates will need to rise but too quickly could squash the recovery.
Weak Australian inflation and housing credit data mean the Reserve Bank is unlikely to move on interest rates.
Top contributors
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Visiting Fellow, Crawford School of Public Policy, Australian National University
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Professor of Economics, UNSW Sydney
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Lecturer in Economics, Monash University
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Professorial Fellow, University of Canberra
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Senior Lecturer, Canberra School of Politics, Economics and Society, University of Canberra
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Senior Lecturer, Research School of Economics, and Research Associate, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Australian National University
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Professor of Economics and National Senior Teaching Fellow, Griffith University
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Adjunct Professor, Swinburne University of Technology
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Emeritus Professor of Finance, The University of Melbourne
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Industry Professor, University of Technology Sydney
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Visiting Fellow, Macquarie University Applied Finance Centre, Macquarie University
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Professor, School of Economics, The University of Queensland
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Program Director, Trade and Investment, United States Studies Centre, University of Sydney
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Dean of Business School, University of Southern Queensland
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Vice-Chancellor’s Fellow, University of Tasmania
