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Articles on 2024 presidential election

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A person signs a bus wrapped with an image of former President Donald Trump during the Conservative Political Action Conference on Feb. 22, 2024. Brendan Smialowski/AFP via Getty Images

I went to CPAC as an anthropologist to understand Trump’s base − they believe, more than ever, he is a savior

While Ronald Reagan is closely tied to this conservative conference’s origins, it has become a multiday event for die-hard Trump supporters.
Supporters listen to Republican presidential hopeful Nikki Haley speak at a campaign event in Beaufort, S.C., on Feb. 21, 2024. Julia Nikhinson /AFP via Getty Images

The South Carolina primary is likely to reveal the eventual Republican presidential nominee - 3 points to understand

While Nikki Haley trails Donald Trump in polling ahead of the South Carolina primary, the estimates don’t capture the Democrats and independents who are also able to vote in the Republican primary.
Young voters in Ann Arbor, Mich., fill out applications to cast their ballot in the midterm elections in November 2022. Jeff Kowalsky/AFP via Getty Images

Young people are lukewarm about Biden – and giving them more information doesn’t move the needle much

While young voters say they would be more likely to vote for Biden after they learn more about the economy and other topics, they did not appear affected by Donald Trump’s norm-defying behavior.
Republican presidential candidate Nikki Haley greets supporters on Jan. 3, 2024, at a bar in Londonderry, N.H. Erin Clark/The Boston Globe via Getty Images

Women presidential candidates like Nikki Haley are more likely to change their positions to reach voters − but this doesn’t necessarily pay off

Nikki Haley is the latest American female politician to shift her language, depending on whom she is talking to and where. But this tactic has a flip side, prompting criticism of her as inconsistent.
Former President Donald Trump speaks in Des Moines, Iowa, shortly after his victory in the Iowa Caucus on Jan. 15, 2024. Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images

Iowa was different this time – even if the outcome was as predicted

From the ‘static’ polls to Trump’s ‘dissing’ of voters, two political scientists look at the Iowa caucus and see more than just the fact that Trump won it, resoundingly.
In a year, Joe Biden and Donald Trump will likely square off again – two aging and flawed men each with their own set of weaknesses, though Biden is not under four indictments. (AP Photos/Michael Wyke/Manuel Balce Ceneta)

Trump vs. Biden, the sequel, is a battle of two older men with big liabilities

On Nov. 5, 2024, Americans will likely have to choose between two older men as president. Here’s what to watch out for in the second showdown between Joe Biden and Donald Trump.
Leadership and likability questions help pollsters predict who might win. Osaka Wayne Studios/Moment via Getty Images

Polls have value, even when they are wrong

Data gleaned from even early polls reveals critical clues on how voters view candidates and issues.
Donald Trump may be barred from holding public office due to a constitutional amendment disqualifying those who have taken part in ‘insurrection or rebellion.’ Mike Stobe/Getty Images

Georgia indictment and post-Civil War history make it clear: Trump’s actions have already disqualified him from the presidency

US law actually bars former President Donald Trump from holding office ever again. The recent Georgia indictment of Trump helps make the case.

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