As provinces throughout Canada start to enter Phase 2 of its reopening, mathematical models can help predict and control the spread of COVID-19 with the help of contact tracing.
New Zealand has “eliminated” COVID-19 “for now”, Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern has declared. Two key epidemiologists who worked on NZ’s elimination strategy explain the news, and the challenges ahead.
There's now a 95% chance COVID-19 has been eliminated in NZ, according to our modelling. But as NZ prepares to remove limits on large gatherings, it increases the risk of a very large new outbreak.
National models on the spread of COVID-19 have helped us through this crisis. But we'll need local models to get us through the next stage.