Pollster Bud Roper once said of his field that "a good deal more than half is art and ... less than half is science." After the 2020 polls got a lot wrong, is it time for more candor from pollsters?
Academic rigor, journalistic flair
Articles on election polls
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Polls predicted a 'blue wave' that didn't materialize.
A desperate opposition turns to a divisive but determined veteran to rescue its fortunes. But will her old-school politics be enough to combat the 'Jacinda effect'?
Tactical voting and shifting party allegiances mean the final week could change everything.
Crowd-based prediction markets have even been shown to outperform intelligence analysts.
Top contributors
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Professor of Communication Studies, American University School of Communication
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Associate Professor, School of People, Environment and Planning, Massey University
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Professor, Department of Government, University of Essex
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Ashbel Smith Professor, School of Economic, Political and Policy Sciences, University of Texas at Dallas
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Head of the Centre for Collective Intelligence Design, Nesta
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Senior Researcher, Centre for Collective Intelligence Design, Nesta
