Pollster Bud Roper once said of his field that "a good deal more than half is art and ... less than half is science." After the 2020 polls got a lot wrong, is it time for more candor from pollsters?
Polls predicted a 'blue wave' that didn't materialize.
A desperate opposition turns to a divisive but determined veteran to rescue its fortunes. But will her old-school politics be enough to combat the 'Jacinda effect'?
Tactical voting and shifting party allegiances mean the final week could change everything.
Crowd-based prediction markets have even been shown to outperform intelligence analysts.