You could compare election opinion polls to penalty shoot-outs at a World Cup final: there’s huge pressure to get it right and we remember the big misses most of all.
Australia needs to rein in the ever-increasing role of private money in federal elections with caps on political advertising and donations.
The Tasmanian seats of Bass and Braddon were always going to be key elements of a Coalition victory – and so it proved to be.
Monday's share market surge was a pure as any a test of what the market thought.
People expect financial institutions to serve them better in the wake of the royal commission. There's reason to believe they won't, for long.
Labor's finance spokesman Jim Chalmers confirmed he is considering standing for leader, which would put him up against leftwinger Anthony Albanese, who is already campaigning hard for the position.
Election data suggests the Coalition's victory wasn't so surprising after all – long-term trends pointed toward a Labor loss, given the various factors in play in this election.
Frydenberg and Morrison will have to switch from boasting about the economy to fixing it, quickly.
Observers will lament that Saturday's result shows it is impossible for an opposition to win with a robust change agenda. It might, however, be the case that just too much was piled into it.
Especially in Queensland, right-wing populist parties like One Nation and United Australia Party had a significant impact on how seats played out, and especially taking votes from Labor.
Labor's defeat revives a familiar problem in Australian political history: the left's inability to show how its policies can improve people's material conditions.
The result in Warringah can be seen as being fought on local issues, where the former prime minister had come to be out of step with his constituents.
The Coalition should not use this unexpected win to allow itself to be complacent and drift. It needs to work out its agenda for the next three years and how it allows internal debate.
Now that the Coalition has won the federal election, how will it meet its campaign promises on taxes, the environment, education, health and infrastructure?
The outcome is completely opposite to the polls, which all had Labor ahead going into the election, albeit narrowly and with some tightening during the campaign.
This result, which is vastly different from what opinion polls were indicating, shows the probability of "herding" in polls, and also emphasises that betting odds are to be treated with great caution.
How did the numbers of election 2019 fall across the country? And what seats are still in play?
No present leader touches Hawke for charisma, popularity or communications skills, even leaving aside the larrikin history.
Online bookies can tap into the wisdom of the crowd better than pollsters.
Leigh Sullivan speaks to Michelle Grattan about the week in politics.