The Fed’s Jerome Powell keeps his cards close to his chest. AP Photo/Patrick Semansky September 19, 2019 Fed’s rate cut signals a recession may be ahead – and it may not have enough ammunition to fight it Michael Klein, Tufts University The US economy may be in worse shape than it seems.
Once, emulating Germany would be something to be proud of. Not at the moment. Shutterstock August 22, 2019 Vital Signs: economically, Australia is at risk of becoming Germany, and not in a good way Richard Holden, UNSW Sydney With a relatively low debt to GDP ratio, Australia was never at risk of becoming Greece. But Germany, with negative interest rates and scant prospects for economic growth, is an open question.
Markets know what has happened each time the yield curve has turned negative. The idea of a negative curve without a a recession would take some getting used to. Shutterstock August 16, 2019 What is an inverted yield curve? Why is it panicking markets, and why is there talk of recession? Mark Crosby, Monash University Precedent suggests that what’s happened in the US will lead to a recession, but maybe it’ll be different this time.