Despite launching an unprecedented attack on Israeli territory, Iran is still trying to avoid a larger war.
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Articles on Lebanon
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Since the war began, Israel has exchanged tit-for-tat cross-border attacks with the Lebanese armed group Hezbollah. It is imperative to prioritize diplomatic solutions that end the violence.
President Reagan said sending troops to Lebanon was his ‘greatest regret.’ Other presidents left office with similar misgivings. Could leaving troops in Syria and Iraq be the next strategic mistake?
A maritime border agreement signed by Lebanon and Israel seemed like a step toward peaceful relations. But now both countries are getting ready for what looks like an unavoidable war.
Iran funds a large network of armed groups across the Middle East as part of its ambition to replace the US as regional power.
The Biden administration has calibrated its strikes so as not to provoke a wider armed conflict in the region.
Iran prefers to engage Israel through its proxies, but the risk of escalation makes this a dangerous strategy.
Iran has expanded its network of partners across the Middle East. But it isn’t a simple case of Tehran dictating the terms of the alliance.
Conflict between Lebanon and Israel looms – it would throw the Lebanese economy further into crisis.
Israel and Hezbollah are engaged in tit-for-tat attacks, but a diplomatic path still exists to avoid an escalation.
Facing opposition to a peace deal within his own cabinet, Israel’s prime minister will find it difficult to agree an international peace deal and hold on to power.
It appears that, for now at least, Iran is happy to allow Gaza to be the epicentre of Middle East conflict. But all that could change quickly.
From Myanmar to Pakistan, these countries have long-simmering conflicts or increasingly dissatisfied publics that could worsen in the new year.
The use of such incendiary devices is only legal under very specific circumstances. A careful examination of the evidence is now required.
Israel is effectively fighting a war on two fronts.
Israel is fighting a broad coalition of armed Palestinian militias in Gaza − and then there’s Hezbollah, just across the border in Lebanon.
Some of the best analysis from our coverage of the war in Gaza.
Lebanon has problems enough of its own without a major conflict on its border.
While Iran is wary of entering into direct war with Israel, Tehran has been lending support to Yemen’s Houthis, Irak’s Shia militias as well as the Lebanese Hezbollah.
Countries like Egypt, Lebanon, Syria and Qatar all have a stake in the outcome of the war – but none want to be actively involved in fighting.
Top contributors
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Professor in Sociology, Queen's University Belfast
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Scholar at Centre for the Study of Ethnic Conflict, Queen's University Belfast
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Director, Institute for Women’s Studies in the Arab World, Lebanese American University
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Associate Professor of Political Science, Aalborg University
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Associate Professor, Department of Political Science, Program Director MA in Middle Eastern Studies, Lund University
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Senior Lecturer in International Relations, Flinders University
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Associate Professor Politics and International Relations, Mount Allison University
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Birmingham Fellow, Institute for Conflict, Cooperation and Security, POLSIS, University of Birmingham
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Tony Walker is a Friend of The Conversation.
Vice-Chancellor's Fellow, La Trobe University
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Project Manager and Researcher at the Institute for Women's Studies in the Arab World, Lebanese American University
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Professor of Migration and Refugee Studies and Co-Director of the Migration Research Unit, UCL
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Honorary Research Fellow, The University of Queensland
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ESRC Postdoctoral Fellow, University of Exeter
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Professor of History and Peace Studies, University of Notre Dame
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Senior Associate Fellow on the Middle East at RUSI; Associate Professor in Politics & International Relations; Deputy Director of the Centre on US Politics, UCL
