Recent political polls in New Zealand and elsewhere have consistently failed to reflect eventual outcomes. Voters and pundits alike should avoid reading them too literally.
Academic rigor, journalistic flair
Articles on Political polls
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People know a lot about their friends and neighbors – and pollsters can learn from that information, if they ask.
During the MMP era, the average vote share of the highest-polling party has been steadily climbing — with big implications for New Zealand democracy.
There was a time when well-known journalists resented preelection polls and didn’t mind saying so. One even said he felt “secret glee and relief when the polls go wrong.” Why did they feel this way?
With the polls showing a clear trend to the left, are we also witnessing a fundamental shift in the way New Zealand governments are formed?
As Canada approaches its federal election, political pundits have been warning of a polarized war among Canadians. But a new survey tells a story of unity.
Ontario voters head to the polls on Thursday. Public opinion surveys and redrawn provincial ridings are making it difficult to predict the race’s outcome.
Top contributors
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Professor of Politics, Massey University
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Associate Professor, School of People, Environment and Planning, Massey University
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Professor of Public Policy, Psychology and Behavioral Science, USC Sol Price School of Public Policy, USC Dornsife College of Letters, Arts and Sciences
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Professor of Sociology, Western University
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University Professor Emeritus, Politics and Public Policy/Administration, York University, Canada
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PhD student in Sociology, Dalhousie University
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Professor of Communication Studies, American University School of Communication
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Professor of Human Social Dynamics, Santa Fe Institute; External Faculty, Complexity Science Hub Vienna; Associate Researcher, Harding Center for Risk Literacy, University of Potsdam
