Independent Kerryn Phelps has slumped in the polls ahead of the Wentworth byelection, which was likely caused by changing her position on preferences.
A change of heart on preferences appears to have cost the high-profile independent in Wentworth, while the controversy around Brett Kavanaugh's confirmation has been of benefit to Donald Trump.
Prime Minister Scott Morrison appears to be enjoying a honeymoon period, with the Coalition up two points on two-party preferred in the latest Newspoll.
The Coalition's recent hit in the polls seems to be subsiding, while Kerryn Phelps may have made a damaging error by announcing she'll preference the Liberals in the Wentworth byelection.
The poll comes after Morrison’s burst of intense activity to get on.
the front foot.
The Newspoll two party vote remains much worse than the last days of Malcolm Turnbull, and the controversy over his ousting continues.
The latest Fairfax Ipsos poll gives Labor a 53-47 lead, a two-point gain for the Coalition since mid-August.
Fairfax Ipsos gives Labor another win on two-party preferred, albeit with weird primary vote numbers, while the Labor party in Victoria has another poll win just over two months ahead of the state election.
Morrison’s style of campaigning and how well he goes over on the ground will be carefully watched for indications of his potential strengths or weaknesses come the main game next year.
For Phelps the byelection is important but for Morrison, it is critical. If Wentworth is lost, the Coalition loses majority. There could be some paralysis and the fear in the ranks will increase.
Michelle Grattan speaks with Nick Klomp about the week in politics.
The Liberal Party has pre-selected Dave Sharma for Wentworth, against Scott Morrison’s wish for a female candidate.
The Liberal preselectors of Wentworth have selected Dave Sharma, even though Prime Minister Scott Morrison wanted a female candidate.
View from the crossbench: Cathy McGowan and Rebekha Sharkie on the role of community candidates.
McGowan and Sharkie have given the government their confidence until the Wentworth byelection - after which they will consult with their electorates.
Likely independent candidate for Wentworth Kerryn Phelps could attract a lot of disillusioned Liberal votes.
The byelection is vital for Scott Morrison who will face a very difficult test in his initial days as prime minister. He will encounter a lot of anger in the electorate at the removal of Turnbull.
Morrison talks about a new generation of leadership but the difficulty his ministry had explaining the change makes it look more like the old generation heavily bandaged after a bar room brawl.
We talk about “narratives” in politics. This coup does not have a presentable public “narrative”.
Julia Banks and Julie Bishop were seated next to each other on the backbench when parliament resumed on Monday.
There are three women in the field - Mary-Lou Jarvis, a vice-president of the NSW Liberal party; Katherine O'Regan, a commercial board director, and Maxine Szramka, a rheumatologist.
Phelps, a Sydney City councillor lives and practices as a GP in the Wentworth electorate, and could be expected to attract a substantial vote if she ran as an independent.
Attention is coming on the Minister for Women Kelly O'Dwyer, who issued a general statement last week condemning bullying, to take a stronger stand. O'Dwyer is expected to say more this week.
Most Australians did not want Malcolm Turnbull to be deposed as prime minister.
Australians have never liked sitting PMs being deposed by their own parties - but the outrage over Malcolm Turnbull's destruction is the greatest in modern history.
Morrison did not want Abbott in cabinet, but he does want to be seen to be making a gesture of conciliation to the former leader, who has been a critic of policy on energy and immigration in particular.
Wentworth has a 17.7% margin but Turnbull’s personal vote is large and the campaign there could be difficult and certainly will be expensive.