When candidates beat pollsters’ expectations, that can mean more positive media coverage.
President Donald Trump addresses the nation from the White House on Iran’s ballistic missile strike against Iraqi air bases housing U.S. troops.
AP Photo/Evan Vucci
Wages, starlight and polls can all be interpreted using statistics. While probabilities, medians and noise can be challenging, a simple dice can provide insights into statistics.
Senator Huey Long at the Capitol in 1935.
Everett Historical/Shutterstock.com
The very first scientific horse race poll, which took place 85 years ago, was shrouded in secrecy and may have changed history – even though it was faulty.
Before an election the media closely follows polls.
Rob Crandall/Shutterstock.com
Women are swinging elections in the US and Australia in ways analysts have struggled to predict. Two recent studies can help explain.
Senator Chuck Schumer holds up the White House transcript of a call between President Donald Trump and the president of Ukraine.
AP Photo/Jacquelyn Martin
US President Donald Trump is in an unenviable position as the race towards the 2020 presidential election heats up. Meanwhile, the UK’s attempts to Brexit continue to be untidy.
Online discussion doesn’t always accurately reflect the real political landscape.
Russ Vance/Shutterstock.com
Joseph Cabosky, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill
Political campaigns and journalists often turn to social media to see how voters feel about an election. But the numbers they see there may not accurately reflect the electorate’s views.
Some states have universal background checks for gun purchases.
Lutsenko_Oleksandr/Shutterstock.com
Professor of Economics and Finance. Director of the Betting Research Unit and the Political Forecasting Unit at Nottingham Business School, Nottingham Trent University
Senior Lecturer in Quantitative Social Science and Director of the Sheffield Q-Step Centre (The University of Sheffield); Statistical Ambassador (Royal Statistical Society), University of Sheffield