The Conservatives’ manifesto relies on efficiency savings, welfare cuts and a crackdown on tax evasion.
Benjamin Cremel/Associated Press/Alamy Stock Photo
Tax evasion crackdowns, efficiency savings and welfare cuts are easy political sells – but getting these measures to delivery large amounts of revenue is much more difficult.
The 2024 D-day commemorations sent a message of European unity but missed the opportunity to acknowledge Ukraine’s contribution to the defeat of Nazism.
British Prime Minister Rishi Sunak talks to journalists on his plane as he travels from Northern Ireland to Birmingham in May 2024 during a day of campaigning for the British election on July 4.
(HENRY NICHOLLS/Pool photo via AP)
The “PM and the Pendulum” model has been successfully forecasting British elections since 2005. This year’s predictions suggest UK Conservatives are in for a major drubbing on July 4.
The Tories have 346 seats and could lose more than half of those. Labour is aiming for huge gains, the SNP is fighting for relevance – and the Lib Dems are hoping to become the third party again.
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Economic analysis may have influenced the date of the election – but this kind of diagnostic approach could be more widely adopted when it comes to forming policies.