Both the Biden and Trump campaigns will work to mobilize their bases and maximize turnout among their supporters. But those votes alone will probably not be enough to ensure victory.
Voters wait in line to cast their ballots in Wisconsin in November 2020.
AP Photo/Wong Maye-E
There are many ways bad mathematics interferes with our democracy. Assigning delegates is just one example.
Young voters in Ann Arbor, Mich., fill out applications to cast their ballot in the midterm elections in November 2022.
Jeff Kowalsky/AFP via Getty Images
While young voters say they would be more likely to vote for Biden after they learn more about the economy and other topics, they did not appear affected by Donald Trump’s norm-defying behavior.
Nikki Haley greets supporters at a campaign stop in Aiken, S.C., on Feb. 5, 2024.
Allison Joyce /AFP via Getty Images
A presidential candidate’s ‘home state advantage’ should help them win a primary, which then bodes well for how they do in successive contests. But if they lose their home state, they’re in trouble.
A major study of 60,000 people looked at who among the US public would favour aid to Ukraine.
Donald Trump speaks after the appeals court hearing on his claim of immunity from prosecution on Jan. 9, 2024, in Washington.
Jabin Botsford/The Washington Post via Getty Images
Donald Trump has claimed he is immune from prosecution for actions he took as part of his job as president. An appeals court unanimously disagreed, allowing the many prosecutions of Trump to proceed.
Volunteers at the 14th District Democratic headquarters for the midterm election in Detroit, Mich., on Nov 8, 2022. The 14th District map must now be redrawn.
Jeff Kowalksy/AFP via Getty Images
The commission has tight deadlines to finalize new maps. 2 voting rights experts explain the messy situation.
One of two digitally drawn murals that are part of the installation and exhibit ‘who claims abstraction?’ by Toronto-based Guatemalan artist Francisco-Fernando Granados.
(Rachel Topham Photography)
2024 is expected to be a year of elections around the world, and as often happens, anti-immigrant rhetoric is on the rise. Art can play a critical role in challenging that rhetoric.
National Socialist troops marching in Berlin to celebrate Adolf Hitler taking over power. Hitler’s accession to chancellor on Jan. 30, 1933, gave the Nazi party its “in” to eventually consolidate absolute control over the country in the months soon after, setting it on the path to the Second World War.
(AP Photo)
From the ‘static’ polls to Trump’s ‘dissing’ of voters, two political scientists look at the Iowa caucus and see more than just the fact that Trump won it, resoundingly.
Former president Donald Trump waves after speaking at a caucus night party in Des Moines, Iowa, on Jan. 15, 2024. He’s just one of several populists who could win elections in 2024.
(AP Photo/Andrew Harnik)
In more than a dozen countries this year, populist leaders are poised to either take power or consolidate their hold on the opposition. Migrants are the unfortunate target of populist ire.
In 2024, more than 40% of the world’s population is eligible to vote in an election. The scale is unprecedented, but not all elections are made equal. What will it mean for democracy?
U.S. President Joe Biden mingles with diners at Hannibal’s Kitchen in Charleston, S.C., in January 2024.
(AP Photo/Stephanie Scarbrough)
Despite what January polls suggest, in a Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden rematch in November, a result similar to 2020 would be probable: a big Biden vote lead and tight state-by-state battles.
Donald Trump has mounted a major effort to teach people how to caucus for him.
AP Photo/Charlie Neibergall, File
Donald Trump’s Iowa caucus campaign is very nuts-and-bolts. That may be a recognition that celebrity will only take him so far and attention to traditional political tools might be in his interest.