His key opponent is an incendiary character in a world of legal trouble. So why isn’t Joe Biden in a better position to win the 2024 presidential race than he seems to be?
The slumping polls show how damaging the heavy defeat of the Voice referendum and continuing cost of living pressures have been to the prime minister and Labor.
Leadership and likability questions help pollsters predict who might win.
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The prime minister’s approval ratings have turned around from the last Newspoll - but the “yes” campaign for the Voice referendum continues to struggle.
Voters often believe they only have two choices in American elections, even when multiple candidates appear on a ballot.
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In covering the final days of the Victorian election, mainstream media fell victim to wanting the most dramatic outcome – no matter how weak the evidence for it may have been.
Lots has been said about the 2022 US midterm elections. But a scholar of democracy says there’s really only one conclusion that can be made about how voters behaved.
A prominent GOP poll said Democratic U.S. Sen. Maggie Hassan of New Hampshire would lose her re-election bid to a Republican. Hassan won by 9 percentage points.
AP Photo/Charles Krupa
Polling for the 2022 midterms was more accurate than the dramatically wrong predictions of 2016 and 2020, leading one pollster to boast, ‘The death of polling has been greatly exaggerated.’
Professor of Economics and Finance. Director of the Betting Research Unit and the Political Forecasting Unit at Nottingham Business School, Nottingham Trent University