A redrawing of federal seat boundaries could have implications for the next election.
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Labor had a 52-48% edge over the Coalition in the latest Newspoll, while Albanese’s net approval jumped six points.
Local elections in the UK have swung in favour of Labour, while counting continues for three seats in the Tasmanian upper house.
Hours into the count in the Tasmanian election, the state can expect a hung parliament. Meanwhile, Labor is succeeding in a South Australian state byelection.
Polls aren’t favouring state Labor parties. Based on the latest figures, Labor would struggle to form government in Tasmania, while support for the party in Queensland has dipped.
The Tasmanian Liberal government has called an early election, but some recent polling suggests a rise in the popularity of Jacqui Lambie’s party.
The summer break hasn’t changed the Freshwater polling figures for the two major parties federally. Overseas, the former US President is in a strong position ahead of the Iowa caucus.
While the latest poll gives the Labor government a comfortable lead, this is not supported by other polls.
While it was hoped that having an AFL team at last would bring Tasmanians together, some believe it has split them politically.
Archer is pushing for extensive reform in a party that is electorally on the ropes and out of office everywhere except her home state of Tasmania.
Gutwein left saying he had held the ‘best job in the world’ but the responsibility had taken its toll and he had ‘nothing left in the tank’.
Pokies, housing, hospitals and gun laws might have been the specific issues that dominated the campaign, but the decisive factor was Tasmanians’ enduring apprehension about minority government.
The Liberals went from a losing position in Tasmanian polls months ago to a comfortable victory on election day.
The Liberals should win a majority at Saturday’s Tasmanian state election.
Both major parties have declared they will not form minority government in Tasmania – talk that should be taken seriously, but not literally.
The Jacqui Lambie Network plan is short on detail and unlikely to improve the health system or outcomes for Tasmanians over the longer term.
Bob Brown’s successful High Court challenge to an anti-protest law in Tasmania will cause many states to review their own protest laws.
Malcolm Turnbull’s postal plebiscite on marriage equality is on the cusp of recreating the mistakes of Doug Lowe’s Tasmanian dams plebiscite.
Minority governments can successfully prosecute their policy agendas even while being destabilised.
All three Tasmanian Liberal-held House of Representatives seats – Bass, Lyons and Braddon – will be critical to the election result.
Principais colaboradores
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Election Analyst (Psephologist) at The Conversation; and Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Melbourne
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Professor of Political Science; Director, Tasmanian Policy Exchange, University of Tasmania
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Adjunct Associate Professor, Public and Environmental Policy, University of Tasmania
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Director, Tas Law Reform Institue / Associate Professor, University of Tasmania, University of Tasmania
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Associate at the Institute for the Study of Social Change, University of Tasmania
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Casual Academic, University of Tasmania
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Industry Professor and Chief Economist, University of Technology Sydney
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Professor, Public Service Research, UNSW Sydney
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Senior Lecturer, School of Political and Social Inquiry, Monash University
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Professorial Fellow, University of Canberra
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Associate Professor in Politics, Murdoch University
