Latest results show Labor ahead of the Coalition federally as well as in South Australia, Queensland and possibly NSW.
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Labor has maintained a 55-45% two-party lead in a Newspoll that also sees Anthony Albanese registering good personal ratings, against a background that has elevated national security issues.
Scott Morrison will continue to tip out large dollops of money when he addresses the National Press Club on Tuesday, with his theme “building national resilience”.
Latest polling shows a dramatic slump in voters’ views of the Morrison government, and with an election likely in May, the question now is whether that will change in the coming months.
Labor has opened a 56-44% two-party lead and Scott Morrison’s net satisfaction rating has plunged 11 points in Newspoll, after a disastrous summer in which Omicron has ripped through most of the country and deaths have spiked.
The latest Newspoll puts Labor ahead, 53 to 47, but other surveys suggest the two party race is tighter.
Newspoll continues to show Labor ahead of the Coalition on a two-party preferred basis, but other polls, and the end of lockdowns on the east coast, may paint a different picture in the coming weeks.
Labor continues to show a strong lead in Newspoll, but Resolve shows a markedly different situation, and much may change before the next election.
Labor still leads in two-party preferred polling, while the prime minister’s approval rating has slumped to its worst since the start of the pandemic.
While the Coalition continues to slump in recent polling, the prime minister’s approval rating steadies.
The prime minister has taken a hit in the polls over the poor vaccine rollout as the country’s biggest cities again deal with lockdowns.
Voters are punishing the Coalition, and particularly Prime Minister Scott Morrison, for the vaccine debacle, but they may yet be saved by a strong economy.
Support for Scott Morrison and the government have slumped in Newspoll, in a major backlash against the botched vaccine rollout.
In this week’s Newspoll, Morrison scored his lowest net approval since the COVID crisis started last year. Anthony Albanese also clocked a record low.
Governments rarely experience a big bounce after budgets - and this year’s seems to be no exception.
The government has failed to get any electoral “bounce” from last week’s budget, despite it being widely seen as good for the economy, according to Newspoll.
Scott Morrison’s popularity is holding firm against a troubled vaccine rollout and controversies about the treatment of women.
After a terrible few weeks, the prime minister’s approval rating has plunged. Meanwhile, a redistribution sees Victoria gain a seat and WA lose one.
Scott Morrison’s approval has taken a sizeable hit in a Newspoll showing Labor maintaining its 52-48% two-party lead.
Prime Minister Scott Morrison’s strong ratings in the Newspoll and Essential poll suggest the slow vaccine rollout and anger among women might not be hurting the government yet.
Top contributors
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Election Analyst (Psephologist) at The Conversation; and Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Melbourne
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Professorial Fellow, University of Canberra
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Vice-Chancellor and President, University of Canberra
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Emeritus Professor of Politics and International Relations, Macquarie University
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Adjunct Research Fellow; Journalist, University of Notre Dame Australia
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Professor, the McKinnon Institute for Political Leadership, Monash University
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Tony Walker is a Friend of The Conversation.
Vice-Chancellor's Fellow, La Trobe University
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Senior Lecturer in Clinical Ethics and Health Law, University of Newcastle
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Emeritus professor, Southern Cross University
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Professor of Politics, Griffith University
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Senior Lecturer of Australian Politics, Murdoch University
