Newspoll continues to show Labor ahead of the Coalition on a two-party preferred basis, but other polls, and the end of lockdowns on the east coast, may paint a different picture in the coming weeks.
After the Coalition fell behind Labor federally in recent polls, it appears to have clawed some of that back – and voters are keen on opening up once vaccination rates are high enough.
Despite sending Victorians into their fourth lockdown, the Andrews government retains a healthy lead in polling and is favoured to win the next election.
Recent polls have shown a disparity between men and women’s support for the prime minister in the wake of horrendous stories about the treatment of women. How can the data help us understand that?
It’s not clear exactly how many people believe or follow QAnon.
AP Photo/Matt Rourke
Whether you are predicting the outcome of an election or studying how effective a new drug is, there will always be some uncertainty. A margin of error is how statisticians measure that uncertainty.
People have information on how they’ll vote, but also about how others in their community may vote.
AP Photo/Wong Maye-E
Wisconsin proved to be the ‘tipping point’ state in the US presidential election, which Joe Biden won by just 0.6% - despite being likely to win the popular vote by 4-5%.
Where were the best electoral maps to be found during the 2020 U.S. presidential election?
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Professor of Economics and Finance. Director of the Betting Research Unit and the Political Forecasting Unit at Nottingham Business School, Nottingham Trent University