A recent NSW Resolve poll gave Labor 43% of the primary vote, and the Coalition just 30%, though the major party leaders were tied for preferred premier.
While there is some tapering off of support for the Albanese government since the 2022 election, it is still comfortably ahead of the Coalition.
Anthony Albanese extends his lead over Peter Dutton as preferred prime minister as the government’s ‘honeymoon’ period continues.
The Supreme Court’s decision to strike down the landmark Roe v Wade ruling on abortion is having big political ramifications - and favouring the Democrats.
The latest Newspoll show Albanese’s net approval ratings are the highest for a prime minister since early in Malcolm Turnbull’s tenure.
Census and election data show the shift in demographics of the major parties’ voting bases.
While none of the major polls were entirely accurate, Resolve was closest to the mark; meanwhile, seat polls continue to be highly inaccurate.
The final polls ahead of the federal election on May 21 give Labor a 53-47 two-party preferred leave - if that is repeated on May 21, Labor will win government.
There have been few if any elections when, in the last week, it has been the ‘uncommitted’ voters who have turned things around.
Late polls show a tightening on two-party preferred votes, but a slew of seat polls reveal just how close a lot of the contests will be on May 21.
Labor needs substantially more than 50% of the two-party preferred vote – 51.8% according to the pendulum – to win the majority of seats, 76. This equates to a swing of 3.3 percentage points.
With early voting about to begin, Labor has widened its margin in polls to a strong winning position.
A slew of polls show only a modest lift for the government after the budget, and Labor favoured to win the election.
Post-budget polls show a small gain for the Coalition on two-party preferred figures, but still point to a Labor victory is replicated on election day.
Latest seat polling shows a mixed bag for Labor and the Coalition – but seat polling has proved unreliable in the past.
A new poll shows a 3% drop in the Greens’ primary vote, while another has Josh Frydenberg ahead of Scott Morrison and Peter Dutton as preferred Liberal leader.
NSW will conduct four byelections this weekend, while the Essential poll has better news for the Coalition.
The latest Newspoll puts Labor ahead, 53 to 47, but other surveys suggest the two party race is tighter.
The Andrews government’s difficulty in passing its pandemic bill highlights the need for electoral reform it should have embraced years ago.
The prime minister’s approval ratings have suffered a slump in recent weeks - but at this stage that does not mean anything for next year’s election.