The Conversation has assembled a forecasting team of 19 academic economists from 12 universities across six states. Together, they assign a 25% probability to a recession within two years.
The latest survey by IAFEI, Duke University and Grenoble Ecole de Management indicate that nearly half of US CFOs believe the nation's economy will enter a recession by the end of 2019
As fears of a US-China trade war grow, the eurozone is starting to look like a rock.
Stock markets have plunged in recent months on concerns over Trump's trade war and the possibility of a recession. An economist explains how stocks are like used cars – and lemons.
Brazil's new president – often called the 'Trump of the tropics' for his inflammatory, right-wing rhetoric – won over poorer voters by stoking fear and resentment. Can he make them happy?
Financial markets are increasingly worried the US economy is heading for a crash. An economist explains what's got investors spooked.
Private finance crashed the economy and is too consumed by the profit motive to be a reliable ally against climate change. We should not allow COP24 to be their board meeting.
Argentina has been grappling with currency flight and an economy sinking deeper into recession, not to mention the worst drought in decades.
Unaffordable home loans, poor financial advice and unmanageable consumer credit may have serious consequences for many Australians, beyond bankruptcy and debt. Here's what the research says.
The collapse of an obscure corner of the financial market a decade ago foreshadowed the Great Recession. The stock-market swoon in February should offer a similar warning.
The negative effects of job loss have been well-documented and fairly well-understood. But why would studies also suggest that health improves during a recession? The reasons may surprise you.
The sub-imperial formation called BRICS, which pretends to be a progressive global force could be divided by a series of crises.
The best news and analysis of Venezuela's dangerous descent into crisis, written by local economists and political scientists who are living it every day.
South Africa's governing ANC appears to have lost claim to being a leader of society. This is clear from the outcome of its policy conference.
Reforming South Africa’s state owned enterprises should start with greater accountability and financial responsibility.
South Africa has recorded two consecutive GDP contractions. What does it mean?
We shouldn’t be in the business of awarding ourselves prizes to which we’re not entitled.
The current US economic expansion is nearly the third-longest since the 1850s, making a recession likely in 2017. It's time to get ready.
Ghana could learn a great deal from Trinidad and Tobago about how to manage its energy sector – and about what pitfalls to avoid.
Markets have been on a rocky ride all year on concerns another recession looms. Here are a few lessons we can learn from the last one.