While none of the major polls were entirely accurate, Resolve was closest to the mark; meanwhile, seat polls continue to be highly inaccurate.
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The final polls ahead of the federal election on May 21 give Labor a 53-47 two-party preferred leave - if that is repeated on May 21, Labor will win government.
There have been few if any elections when, in the last week, it has been the ‘uncommitted’ voters who have turned things around.
Despite. a small approval drop for the opposition leader, Newspoll still predicts a comfortable win for Labor on May 21.
Labor needs substantially more than 50% of the two-party preferred vote – 51.8% according to the pendulum – to win the majority of seats, 76. This equates to a swing of 3.3 percentage points.
The opposition has increased its winning margins in both Newspoll and the Australian Financial Review’s Ipsos poll, as Morrison and Albanese clashed in a shouty, fractious debate on Sunday night
With early voting about to begin, Labor has widened its margin in polls to a strong winning position.
The polls continue to show Labor in an election winning position - but the Coalition will take some heart from the rise in Scott Morrison’s approval rating.
Labor’s confidence will be boosted by two polls showing it holding a strong lead, as Anthony Albanese carried off a well orchestrated party launch on Sunday.
While the latest polls show the Coalition struggling to gain ground on Labor in two-party preferred terms, Scott Morrison maintains his lead as preferred prime minister.
Labor has maintained unchanged its solid two-party leads in both Newspoll and the Australian Financial Review’s Ipsos poll.
An error-riddled first week of the campaign saw the Labor leader’s personal stocks fall, but Labor maintains and election-winning lead over the Coalition.
Labor has clung to its 53-47% two-party lead in the latest Newspoll, but Anthony Albanese’s ratings have taken a knock after his error-prone first week of the campaign.
Labor’s two-party preferred vote drops for the second time running, a concerning sign at the start of an election campaign.
Post-budget polls show a small gain for the Coalition on two-party preferred figures, but still point to a Labor victory is replicated on election day.
Labor’s two-party lead has been cut back slightly, to 54-46%, and its primary vote has fallen in the post-budget Newspoll. But Anthony Albanese would have a strong win if the latest poll were reproduced at the election.
University of Canberra Professorial Fellow Michelle Grattan and Senior Research Fellow at the Centre for Change Governance Dr Lain Dare discuss the week in politics.
Polls this week were once again music to Labor ears. Newspoll showed the opposition maintaining its strong election-winning margin. A poll in selected Western Australian seats had the Morrison government on the nose.
With two months until a federal election, Labor maintains a big lead in the latest Newspoll, with the opposition leader gaining ground as preferred prime minister.
Anthony Albanese is now level with Scott Morrison as “better prime minister” for the first time in more than two years in Newspoll, as Labor retains its 55-45% two-party lead.
Principais colaboradores
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Election Analyst (Psephologist) at The Conversation; and Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Melbourne
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Professorial Fellow, University of Canberra
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Vice-Chancellor and President, University of Canberra
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Emeritus Professor of Politics and International Relations, Macquarie University
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Adjunct Research Fellow; Journalist, University of Notre Dame Australia
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Professor, the McKinnon Institute for Political Leadership, Monash University
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Tony Walker é um amigo do The Conversation.
Vice-Chancellor's Fellow, La Trobe University
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Senior Lecturer in Clinical Ethics and Health Law, University of Newcastle
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Emeritus professor, Southern Cross University
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Professor of Politics, Griffith University
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Senior Lecturer of Australian Politics, Murdoch University
