The final polls ahead of the federal election on May 21 give Labor a 53-47 two-party preferred leave - if that is repeated on May 21, Labor will win government.
Labor needs substantially more than 50% of the two-party preferred vote – 51.8% according to the pendulum – to win the majority of seats, 76. This equates to a swing of 3.3 percentage points.
The opposition has increased its winning margins in both Newspoll and the Australian Financial Review’s Ipsos poll, as Morrison and Albanese clashed in a shouty, fractious debate on Sunday night
The polls continue to show Labor in an election winning position - but the Coalition will take some heart from the rise in Scott Morrison’s approval rating.
Labor’s confidence will be boosted by two polls showing it holding a strong lead, as Anthony Albanese carried off a well orchestrated party launch on Sunday.
While the latest polls show the Coalition struggling to gain ground on Labor in two-party preferred terms, Scott Morrison maintains his lead as preferred prime minister.
An error-riddled first week of the campaign saw the Labor leader’s personal stocks fall, but Labor maintains and election-winning lead over the Coalition.
Labor has clung to its 53-47% two-party lead in the latest Newspoll, but Anthony Albanese’s ratings have taken a knock after his error-prone first week of the campaign.
Post-budget polls show a small gain for the Coalition on two-party preferred figures, but still point to a Labor victory is replicated on election day.
Labor’s two-party lead has been cut back slightly, to 54-46%, and its primary vote has fallen in the post-budget Newspoll. But Anthony Albanese would have a strong win if the latest poll were reproduced at the election.