The majority of Australians would prefer higher living standards. This can take the form of better access to better healthcare services and education, better environmental outcomes, more time for friends and play, more support for the disadvantaged, as well as lower cost, higher quality and new versions of food, clothing, housing and so forth.
Ultimately, someone has to produce the additional and better goods and services. Productivity growth, or producing more with less, is the only sustainable way for Australians as a country and as individuals to provide the expected increases in living standards. A report released yesterday by the Economist Intelligence Unit highlighted Australia’s poor productivity growth (ranked second worst out of 51 countries) and its struggle to remain globally competitive over the past decade.
As noted by David Gruen in his address to the Economic Society of Australia last month, since about 2000, rising living standards of Australians has been supported primarily by a near doubling of the terms of trade, or the quantity of goods and services we can import per unit of goods and services we export. Productivity growth has been negligible, and well below the rates achieved in the preceding 50 years. With the almost certain fall in the terms of trade over the next decade, and continuation of the poor productivity of the 2000s, our expectations for rising living standards will not be met.
Productivity across most segments of the Australian economy is well below world-best practice. The Business Council of Australia, for example, estimates that construction costs of Australian hospitals, schools, and oil and gas plants are 40% or more below US levels. In terms of education, Australian students have fallen further behind the best performing countries according to OECD data on literacy, numeracy and science over the last decade. The good news from this sorry picture is that there is a large potential for catch-up productivity growth to support the aspirations of higher living standards.
So, what is meant by productivity growth, and how is it achieved? At its simplest, productivity growth means producing more valued goods and services per unit of labour, capital and natural resources, or producing the same with less inputs. Increasing productivity involves all of us: politicians, bureaucrats, business managers, employees and households. It involves changes in the way we do things. Higher productivity involves, for example: the production of new and better products which better meet evolving changes in household preferences; the adoption of production processes generating more output per unit of inputs, or working smarter; investing in the development of, and the adoption of, new technology, R&D, better work and management practices; and moving labour, capital and natural resources from less productive uses to more productive uses.
For the private sector, which is responsible for about three-quarters of the goods and services produced in Australia, the profit motive and competition are the drivers of productivity. Firms which deliver better products to buyers at lower costs (that is, improve their productivity ahead of the pack) gain the reward or carrot of higher profits and market share. Their competitor firms, who are slower to improve productivity, lose market share and profits from the competitive stick. For competition and the changes that bring higher productivity to work, firms need the freedom to make changes to the products they produce and the way they undertake production. Also, effective competition requires minimal barriers to enter and compete for innovative and new firms.
Government policy has many important influences on effective competition in the private sector and its adoption of productivity improvements. Unnecessary and over-lapping regulations not only add to costs, but also they act as a brake on the development of new products and technology. Furthermore, many regulations significantly raise the barriers to entry for new firms. A flexible industrial relations system should support the ability of different firms in an industry, and firms across industries, to change work arrangements necessary for the adoption of new technology, better work and management relations. There is a growing list of anecdotal evidence that the Fair Work system is restricting the ability of some managers to adopt better productivity systems. However, it also is the case that the current productivity slump occurred while WorkChoices was in place.
A more neutral and less distorting tax system, such as many of the reforms proposed by the Henry Review, would facilitate the reallocation of capital from less productive to more productive uses. A relatively stable macroeconomic environment of high employment and low savings, with ticks for performance over recent times, provides an important background for a productive private sector. Subsidies to struggling industries slow down the transfer of resources from lower productivity to higher productivity options.
Governments are primarily responsible for the supply of about a quarter of the goods and services of the Australian economy, including education, health, law and order, and much of our transport infrastructure. These areas offer considerable – and not before time – opportunities for productivity improvements. In the absence of competition, formal, transparent and public benefit cost assessment of such major government investments as the NBN and desalination plants are vital to avoid repeating the likely misallocation of large sums of limited capital. New technology and reconsideration of management and work practices, and especially sorting out the duplication and blame games of multi-level governments in the provision of health, education and the NDIS, are promising productivity reforms.
Productivity growth comes at the cost of changes to the way we do things. But it is a positive sum game, and it is the only sustainable way of meeting our expectations of higher and higher living standards.
Gavin Moodie
Principal Policy Adviser
The productivity report by the the Economist Intelligence Unit is as rubbishy as its previous reports. The EIU claims that the top economic performers are Argentina, Botswana, Uganda and Tanzania. It ranks Australia 34 on economic performance behind Italy, Ireland and Portugal. The EIU ranks Australia 19th on industrial relations partly because union membership is a low 20%, so presumably the author thinks union density should be encouraged to improve Australia's rank on this measure.
Australia's labour productivity has increased respectably in the last few years. It is multifactor or total productivity that has fallen, in part because of the big investment in mining which has yet to pay off.
John Harland
bicycle technician
This reads as pure propaganda. The same old economic assertions and the same simplistic assumptions.
It is also based in the same misleading measures.
Human welfare is not primarily reliant on consumption and quality of life is certainly not measurable on a simple quantitative scale.
It is profoundly unimaginitive to suppose that meaningful employment for all requires constantly increasing modification of ecological cycles, under the banner of "economic growth" and the subsidiary concept of "productivity".
Spiro Vlachos
AL
That reads as pure propaganda. No economic growth means no new employment.
Richard Helmer
REsearch Engineer
oh well at least this is being explored
re " Firms which deliver better products to buyers at lower costs (that is, improve their productivity ahead of the pack) gain the reward or carrot of higher profits and market share. Their competitor firms, who are slower to improve productivity, lose market share and profits from the competitive stick."
i'm not so sure about this mantra and am yet to be convinced that the public can generally effectively equate quality and price and link it to quality…
Read moreJohn Meerabux
logged in via LinkedIn
Richard, while I agree with you that they may not effectively link these factors, it is also important that the business' marketing and sales employees are "productive". If a company can product a product cheaper, that does not mean they will charge less for it, price doesn't work that way. It is not driven only by cost of production. If "water" can be sold for a higher price than softdrink, then by all means agree with the market and sell it for that price. Milk wars may be more of a war for the attention of customers, than actually a war about milk price, so again, prices may have little to do with how productive and innovative the cows are and more to do with the marketing strategy overall. They are trying to get people to walk into the store. There will still be room for pricey milk, and consumers that have special milk needs.
James Haughton
Social Policy Researcher
"a growing list of anecdotal evidence". "a growing list of anecdotal evidence"?!!
It may be news to the professer, but the plural of "anecdote" is not "data". There is a growing list of anecdotal evidence that wind turbines are killing hundreds of cows, that the carbon tax has driven thousands of businesses bankrupt, and that grandma smoked all her life and died at 95. And all of it, much like The Australian's opinion pages which appear to be Professor Freebairn's source, is bunkum.
More fundamentally…
Read moreSpiro Vlachos
AL
James, this is a very simple view of the concept of productivity that is often espoused by the hard left. Workers are laid off during recessions since firms revenues have fallen, irrespective of whether they are high productivity workers. In most cases, productivity of a worker is not verifiable. Try leaving your research space to notice that 75% of our workforce is in the services sector that does not produce "output per hour". Productivity does not increase when unemployment increase since it is obvious that output falls and the decrease in employment only offsets this.
James Haughton
Social Policy Researcher
Spiro, It may be "hard left" but has a perfectly respectable intellectual pedigree, from Kalecki onwards. There are a large number of proxies for "productivity" visible to any employer - e.g. do I see the employee slacking off, taking lots of sick leave, or on the phone all the time? Are they not very well educated, or not very sociable?
Read moreMore generally, basic economics of the firm says that marginal productivity per worker declines as workers are added, until a firm reaches the point at which it…
Steve Geoghegan
Manufacturing engineer (electronics)
Yet another load of spin by someone wanting to set the social agenda to suit vested interests.
Plentiful evidence in the book "Extreme Money" points to the fact that the so-called productivity increases in various countries over the past few decades, were largely the illusory result of "financialising" and "securitising" various assets; the result of creative accounting basically.
During the last financial downturn, these productivity increases largely evaporated; but on we roll, never looking back long enough to learn anything...
Spiro Vlachos
AL
Extreme money = pop economics
Andrew Christopher Heap
Policy Economist
I am afraid there is no magic in addressing productivity concerns.In spite of mining projects taking a while to kick in, we still have a problem.If you read the Agriculture 2050 Green Paper, you will note that 95% of the industry that processes Australian food (considered a competitibve strength), is located in regional Australia - and the sector still employs 5 times the number in mining. However, it now costs twice that of the USA to kill a beast and a similar factor to process vegetables compared to NZ. Whether the arguments are tired or not, there is a great deal at stake - including the cost of hidden unemployment, if we wish to protect our living standards. We also need to keep in mind that the cash to fund new ideas often comes from the revenue generated by old ones.
John Robert Davidson
Retired engineer
The mantra of a civilized society should be that "the economy was created for man, not man for the economy". The above article appears to have been written by by someone who has forgotten this.
Read moreMuch of the above seems to be about making life worse for the bulk of the population for the sake of "the economy" and the people at the top of the pile.
In measuring productivity it is important not to confuse value and price. For example, increasing sales of cigarettes will increase a price based GDP…
David Hansell
Analyst
First, citing this report doesn't bode well. The methodology has not been released to my knowledge and so it's relatively meaningless. Productivity can only be reliably analysed by looking at cycles. It is unclear to me that this report does that for Australia, let alone all the other countries. In other words, if one selectively or randomly chooses a point in time, it ignores trend growth.
Second productivity levels necessarily depend on PPP or some type of exchange rate adjustment. So is it…
Read moreLincoln Fung
Economist
I think governments, businesses and economists probably need to have more realistic expectations and understand where the most important constraints to productivity improvements are and how to go about them to help raise productivity.
Read moreIt probably means quite a number of new points or more creative thinking.
For example, the improvement in the terms of trade, as a luck gift to many Australians including Australian businesses, may mean they don't want to work that hard to raise productivity in the…
Spiro Vlachos
AL
Professor Freebairn, I would have to agree with your idea that government intervention by Australian Federal and State governments could affect productivity. Enabling higher productivity by removing unnecessary regulation from employment and from the movement of goods through our ports would be obvious starting points.
However, readers may misinterpret your words to imply government has a large role in driving productivity growth. Government is an impediment. It has been shown that even subsiding…
Read moreDianna Arthur
Dianna Arthur is a Friend of The Conversation.
Environmentalist
I love my veggie patch.
The areas where poor soil, insect pests or other produce-limiting factors prevent the full bloom of my plantings, are given extra consideration. This is not at the expense of the areas where the plants grow tall and strong rather is complimentary to the higher producing sections.
In fact, the healthier my entire garden is, the less work and input it requires than if I neglected it.
Common sense really.
David Arthur
n/a
Thanks for this, Prof Freebairn.
You finish by reminding us that "Productivity growth comes at the cost of changes to the way we do things." I think there's also a further avenue for productivity growth: productivity growth can arise, not just from HOW we do things, but also from WHAT we do.
For example, as I've commented after Prof Geoffrey Brooks's "The Conversation" pieces this year (15 May 2012's "Treasure your metal: why we need to respect embedded energy", 5 April 2012's
Read more"Why Australia…
Dianna Arthur
Dianna Arthur is a Friend of The Conversation.
Environmentalist
Along with wondering why we do not invest more in education, health and the arts, I also wonder why:
"Instead of exporting iron ore, bauxite and alumina , Australia could export iron and steel, and aluminium. "
Instead of high tech - well at least higher tech, we sell at the lowest possible level - raw materials at a pricing structure which overwhelmingly benefits a small and often overseas interest rather than benefiting the Australian nation.
We could also have been at the forefront of developing sustainable technology. Instead we are still arguing over the implementation of NBN, which when/if the Abbott government gains control will be all but eliminated from Australia's infrastructure.
David Arthur
n/a
Thanks Dianna.
I agree with you about health and education, that's a given; you just can't have a productive economy without a healthy, well-educated workforce.
My view is that the decline in Australia's productivity is due to decades of cutbacks in both education and health, which began in 1996 with the change of Federal government. [What's also glaringly obvious is that the very existence of State governments as brokers between funding and service delivery is deleterious to all Australia…
Read moreDianna Arthur
Dianna Arthur is a Friend of The Conversation.
Environmentalist
The trade off on infrastructure in favour of privatisation began well before 1996. It was in 1989 when Hawke introduced HECS and made Austudy a taxable form of income. Which meant, as a struggling student at the time, I wound up owing $400 in tax (a huge amount when a year's income totalled less than $10,000). And no, the ATO would not let me pay in instalments.
As for the NBN - I am more concerned that we will never get a suitable inter-continent communications system at all. So am prepared to wear the complete unprofessional approach taken by the Labor government.
As for "the arts" people do not live on bread alone and music can ease a great deal of angst. Or the meditative state one can attain upon visiting an art gallery. Or the provocation provided by our writers, actors and artists in general - something to stir the proletariat far more than an Olympic medal. You probably respond to the results of arts funding more than you are consciously aware.
David Arthur
n/a
Dianna, I'm not sure there was a "tradeoff" between infrastructure investment and privatisation, at least not in the short term.
Infrastructure investment requires outlays, whereas privatisations are one-off boosts to Treasury coffers.
The boosts to Treasury coffers, such as they may be, from infrastructure investment, generally ensue many years later, well after the retirements of the investing generation of politicians.
Dianna Arthur
Dianna Arthur is a Friend of The Conversation.
Environmentalist
I am fully aware of what you write. However, a trade-off was the ultimate outcome at the expense of our community.
And, yes, well after the retirement of these myopic politicians.
David Arthur
n/a
Dianna, we seem to have markedly different definitions of "infrastructure". When I write of infrastructure, I am referring to physical, built infrastructure - high speed rail, water recycling plants and pipelines, renewable power generation, medical and educational facilities, and so on.
Your use of the word "infrastructure", on the other hand, seems not associated with any of this, but rather with public funding of education and also arts, and hence with engendering productive thinking.
Dianna Arthur
Dianna Arthur is a Friend of The Conversation.
Environmentalist
Then you misunderstand me - or I have not made myself clear enough.
I really don't know what your point is. We (Australia) have lost, in a physical and intellectual sense, due to our various governments' pursuit of $ surplus. Is that clearer?
David Arthur
n/a
My point is, Australian productivity would be a whole lot higher if we value-added our exports. I think your point is that to do this, we need educated, healthy people, and we need to be enlightened.
I make points here and elsewhere on "The Conversation", about what else could be done. For example, in a brief dialogue with Prof Robertson, author of "Gloomy productivity report hides some fatal flaws", https://theconversation.edu.au/gloomy-productivity-report-hides-some-fatal-flaws-8621, I make…
Read moreAdam Butler
Engineer and Data Analyst
".....formal, transparent and public benefit cost assessment of major government investments..."
Indeed, like the billions of $$$ spent on building more motorways to "relieve congestion". Congestion costs the economy billions, building more costly roads does not solve the problem....yet they continue to be built? C/BA please!
One problem with the Prof's premise is that free-marketeers don't really want "free-markets" they just want to make more profit at the expense of everyone and everything…
Read more